You're missing Matt Read's 1 way contract ($900,000). And Backlund's 1 way contract ($800,000). You've also failed to include Simmonds @ the lowest qualifying offer (he's currently on our cap for $577,500) and Kalinski was also tendered for his lowest possible salary of $670,000. And Schenn was actually on the roster for 57 games (doesn't matter how many he played) so he actually counts against the cap for $962,258.
All totaled, you've ignored $3,909,758 in salary, thus we currently only have $5,627,980 in cap space and could not have already offer sheeted Stamkos.
Sorry to burst your bubble.
Sorry to burst your bubble, but we've only got $5,515,723 available due to an additional $142,257 in proportional cap hits from Wellwood, Holmstrom, Gustafsson, and Syvret last year.
I kind of agree. I'd like to try and weasel some deal out without giving up Giroux, JvR, Couturier, or Schenn at all. That'd be an ultimate win. But if not...ehhh I'm not sure.
There is a $2 BILLION dollar tv contract going into effect, the NHL is marketable and we just moved a franchise from a dead city to a very hot hockey city. The cap WILL go up more.
Couturier stays! Anyway...I would rather pass on the Stamkos sweepstakes. Just reminds me too much of the Lindros affair. We came up short on that one despite all the fanfare..mostly due to injuries and Carle and Bonnie!
Any chance that the reason we haven't signed Simmonds or any other free agent is because we DO have an offer sheet in for Stamkos and our $$$ is frozen because TB is waiting to match?
piggy-backing off this thought from earlier...Arnott, Langenbrunner, and Konopka all just signed for peanuts within the last two days, and Miettinen left for the KHL. I'd be quite surprised if we weren't interested in any of them at all AND couldn't have offered them more money.
I know a lot of people get more and more excited about Stamkos not signing yet but last year Bobby Ryan didn't sign until the 14 of september.
But the signing of mcginn to an ELC puts us at 49 contracts with simmonds yet to be signed and im not sure if Kalinski signed his QO or not. So something is up its just the question of is it minor or a major move?
i doubt we'll see as big of a jump as we did this year though. bettman would basically be pulling the plug on smaller market teams if that's the case.
We saw a 4 mil jump this year. The new NBC/Verses contract begins this fall and each team gets an INCREASED TV money of about 6 mil. Thus, unless there is a LOT more loss shown by many teams, I think it will be safe to assume that we will see a LARGER increase in the cap for the 2012/13 season than we saw for the 2011/12 season. Many teams like the Flyers will most likely see an increased revenue on their own let alone what they get from national TV money. The salary cap could reasonably reach 70 mil for the 2012/13 season.
Taking this one step further, the US economy, although not doing great, IS in fact showing signs of rebounding. Projections now put us at a slow but steady growth of 2.25-2.75 % for the near forseeable future. The housing industry and auto industry are leading indicators for the economy. When thos markets take a downturn, the rest of the economy sees a downturn in 6-12 months. They are also the first industries to see a rebound when the economy is on the rise (hence the reason for Oboma giving the "new car buyer" and "new home buyer" tax breaks, he was attemtoing the jumpstart the economy). Knowing the housing industry as I do I can tell you that it IS increasing. It should see somewhere between 2 and 2.25 % growth in new home sales this year (slightly lower than they initially predicted but still within their 10-year projections). This shows an increase in disposable cash as a whole for the US economy and should translate into about a 4-5% growth in entertainment spenditure. Carrying this through for the 2013/14 season, if we see just a 4% growth in the NHL (most likely a conservative number) the 70 mil cap limit for the 2012/13 season will likely grow to at least 73 mil.
In just 2 years we will most likely see an increase in the cap of around 10 mil.
However, the new CBA may throw a HUGE monkey wrench into the entire working machine that is the NHL financial network.
I still maintain Stamkos wont sign any contract that takes him past his first year of UFA eligibility. He probably would want 45/5 which would be a problem for TB I suspect.
you also gotta think Stamkos cant be all that thrilled watching Yzerman let key players leave via free agency.