Correlation between production in junior and the NHL...
Are there many (any) stars in the NHL who played in, but did NOT dominate junior?
I define dominate as more than 40 goals in a healthy junior season, or more than 1.25 points per game for forwards (the NHL equivalent of a 100 point pace), during any year of their junior eligibility. (So no overagers please.)
I'd also ask that we exclude players who jumped straight from the draft to the NHL. I think it's safe to assume they would have been dominant junior players were they not in the NHL.
Last edited by InvalidUsername: 11-04-2011 at 07:56 PM.
Are there many (any) stars in the NHL who didn't dominate junior?
I define dominate as more than 40 goals in a healthy junior season, or more than 1.25 points per game (the NHL equivalent of a100 point pace) during any year of their junior eligibility. (So no overagers please.)
Most guys who didn't dominate at a young age and develop into stars are either European or went the college route. Example: Zetterberg, Datsyuk, Demitra, St. Louis, etc.
Only guy I can think of right now is Jamie Benn but he was drafted out of the BCHL & did fairly well in the WHL after that.
Ah just thought of another one, Ryan Getzlaf. His career high in points in the WHL was 75, he's topped that 3 times in the NHL.
Last edited by Adam Tilander: 11-04-2011 at 11:32 AM.
I think the OP is getting at the reverse of this. We all know that many stars in junior can't turn that into pro stardom, but how often do average players in junior leagues become stars in the NHL? Basically, what portion of NHL scorers are late bloomers?
Are there many (any) stars in the NHL who didn't dominate junior?
I define dominate as more than 40 goals in a healthy junior season, or more than 1.25 points per game (the NHL equivalent of a100 point pace) during any year of their junior eligibility. (So no overagers please.)
Mike Green is similar. Career high in the WHL was 14 goals lol 31 in the NHL
But he also had 52 assists that season. And it's not like he was instantly a star at the NHL when he moved in.The year after his 66 point WHL season he played 56 games in the AHL, the next year 12. So it took him three years after his draft to become a NHL regular. And besides that one 31 goal season he has never hit 20 (mainly due to injuries but still has yet to surpass 20). Either way though a 66 point in 67 games as a defencemen in the WHL is insane numbers. He did dominate juniors, just not so much with his shot (which he has yet to do except for one season)
But he also had 52 assists that season. And it's not like he was instantly a star at the NHL when he moved in.The year after his 66 point WHL season he played 56 games in the AHL, the next year 12. So it took him three years after his draft to become a NHL regular. And besides that one 31 goal season he has never hit 20 (mainly due to injuries but still has yet to surpass 20). Either way though a 66 point in 67 games as a defencemen in the WHL is insane numbers. He did dominate juniors, just not so much with his shot (which he has yet to do except for one season)
Yes he had 66 points in 65 games however he did that as a 19 year old. We see that type of production every year from 19 year olds...
Example: Ryan Kavanaugh put up 70 points last year in 68 games.
Josh McFadden put up 72 in 67.
Stefan Elliott had 81 in 71
Do you see one of those guys putting up 30+ goals in the NHL at some point?
There are a number of guys who break out in junior after their draft year, but it's fairly rare for someone to go the entirety of junior without dominating at some point, then turning into a top-level NHLer
Rick Nash was decent, but not spectacular. Score one for scouting over stats, because he was a consensus top pick despite being ho-hum (72 points in his draft year).
Nash has averaged more goals in the NHL than he did in the CHL.
Jordan Staal went from PPG in the OHL to 41 points and 29 goals in the NHL. His PPG only went down by half, which is actually insane.
Another unlikely junior player who has done well in the NHL is Dave Perron. His draft year, which was technically his post-draft year because he wasnt drafted as an 18 year old, he had 83 points in 70 games.
Kris Versteeg is no star but he didn't take the easy road to the NHL.
I believe Versteeg played a lot of defense in junior. That's why his numbers were deflated.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Joe Hallenback
Off the top of my head
Getzlaf
Getzlaf had 1.53ppg in his post draft year, which falls under the OP's definition of dominant. That's 107 pts if he plays a full season that year.
To the OP: I think you could find a lot of stars that don't meet your criteria because they stepped right into the NHL. But that's sort of a loophole because one would think that if you're good enough to play in the NHL then you'd dominate juniors.
To the OP: I think you could find a lot of stars that don't meet your criteria because they stepped right into the NHL. But that's sort of a loophole because one would think that if you're good enough to play in the NHL then you'd dominate juniors.
