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14 of next 18 on the road...

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Old
02-02-2012, 11:16 AM
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kingsfan
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14 of next 18 on the road...

To me this is the make or break time of year for LA. We've had a good overall road record this season (10-5-6), good for 26 points and a .619 winning percentage, and we have a number of very winnable games of these 14 on the road (We have more points than our opponent in nine of the 14 road games).

What you figure will be our record over the next 18 games. I'm going to say 9-4-5, since we love to get those overtime/SO losses.

That'd be 23 points, do you think 23 points is enough over the next 18 games to A) keep us at least where we are in the playoff picture, and B) keep us close to San Jose in the Pacific Division race? Keep in mind, San Jose has a busy February with 17 games IIRC.

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02-02-2012, 12:03 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kingsfan View Post
That'd be 23 points, do you think 23 points is enough over the next 18 games to A) keep us at least where we are in the playoff picture, and B) keep us close to San Jose in the Pacific Division race? Keep in mind, San Jose has a busy February with 17 games IIRC.
A) Yes - looking at team's paces over the season, going .500 the rest of the way should keep the Kings in that #7 position, though not as comfortably as they'd like, of course... going .500 would allow Dallas/Minnesota the chance to go on a hot streak and drop the Kings out.

B) No. If San Jose just keeps their current pace, the Kings are going to need to accumulate standings points at approximately a .750 pace to have a chance to win the Pacific -- partially because of San Jose's games in hand.

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02-02-2012, 01:28 PM
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The Battle for 3rd or 8th is on in earnest. I'm excited, both because I like our chances and because of the earlier starting times!

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02-02-2012, 02:43 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HansH View Post
A) Yes - looking at team's paces over the season, going .500 the rest of the way should keep the Kings in that #7 position, though not as comfortably as they'd like, of course... going .500 would allow Dallas/Minnesota the chance to go on a hot streak and drop the Kings out.

B) No. If San Jose just keeps their current pace, the Kings are going to need to accumulate standings points at approximately a .750 pace to have a chance to win the Pacific -- partially because of San Jose's games in hand.
Is this taking into account the remaining head to head games the Kings have with SJ?

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02-02-2012, 03:58 PM
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Originally Posted by kingsholygrail View Post
Is this taking into account the remaining head to head games the Kings have with SJ?
No - just the current points percentages of the teams. If you want to separate out the head-to-head, and run percentages for 79 games then factor head to head in...

San Jose - 102 points

So, the Kings would need to get 97 points in the other 79 games for those head-to-head matchups to be meaningful. That's 37 more points than they have now, in 28 games... a percentage of .660 for the chance to have to win all three games in regulation for the Pacific. Still a steep hill, and more points than Kingsfan speculated the team would get in this stretch of 18. I stand behind my prior answers

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02-02-2012, 11:54 PM
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Hockey fans are so overdramatic as to what's necessary to move up in the standings.

For all we know San Jose can go winless for 10 games out of nowhere...

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02-02-2012, 11:58 PM
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03-12-2012, 03:55 PM
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Well, we went 7-9-2, good for 16 out of a possible 36 points, or a .444 winning percentage. Of the road games, we were 5-7-2, or a .375 winning percentage.

We are lucky to be in the position we are in after those 18 games and surived largely because of lengthy losing streaks to San Jose and Phoenix.

With seven home games and six road games (including a four game homestand and a four game road trip) LA IMO needs to get about 18 points at least to get into the playoffs, So I figure a record of 8-3-2, give or take.

One extra kink in the current situation that wasn't there at the start of the 14 road games in 18 nights is the fact we will (likely) no longer be playing San Jose with a shot at the division on the line. Rather, we could eliminate San Jose from playoff contention altogether, and vice versa.

Only one game is against an eastern conference team (Boston) while we play eight times against teams with either a weaker record than us or a team very close to us in the standings.

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03-12-2012, 03:57 PM
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I *have* to think that the Kings are due for an extended winning streak. Every team in the west has had one, and honestly the Kings have a more favorable schedule to make a run than they've had in a very long time even though the opponents will be tough. The Kings always seem to perform better against tough competition.

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