Kelly vs Seguin is a tough call but Seguin's star power might rob him of some votes because some might forget how far he has come since last June. Many nights last year he looked out of place and, aside from the 2 games vs Tampa he didn't look too threatening in the playoffs. If you told me Seguin would finish this year with 20 goals I would have gladly taken it. If you asked me which forward would be an all star and lead the team in goals I would have guessed any of the other top 6 before I would have guessed Seguin.
Seguin was basically drafted as the 1A overall. I see the 2nd year of Tavares (67 points) and Seguin is on a near identical pace.
It's not a crime at all if he gets the 7th player award, but the expectations for a player of this calibre are often pretty high.
I made no predictions but I wouldn't have been tremendously upset if Seguin had a 50 point season as that would have been nice progress. But I think a 65-70 point season is about right for his talent/situation. I think that's about where he'll end up as well.