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Carl Hagelin's offensive potential

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02-25-2012, 06:24 PM
  #51
JayQueensNY88
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..probably a consistant 15-18 goal scorer....

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02-28-2012, 05:42 AM
  #52
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Here is a very interesting & telling stat I thought I might bring up.
It shows PPG at even strength (or shorthanded) and omits the the struggling Flowerplay
Quite surprising results I must say:

EVEN STRENGTH STATS AFTER 61 GAMES
Player GP ES/SH Points PPG Avg min/g PP/60 Min icetime
Carl Hagelin 43 25 0,63 13,50 2,79
Marian Gaborik 61 38 0,62 15,68 2,38
Ryan Callahan 61 33 0,54 15,42 2,11
Derek Stepan 61 29 0,48 14,48 1,97
Artem Anisimov 60 28 0,47 12,68 2,21
Brad Richards 61 27 0,44 15,90 1,67
Brandon Dubinsky 58 24 0,41 13,45 1,85
Michael Del Zotto 61 22 0,36 17,18 1,26
Ryan McDonagh 61 21 0,34 21,35 0,97
Anton Stralman 38 10 0,26 15,60 1,01
John Mitchell 43 11 0,26 10,10 1,52
Brian Boyle 61 15 0,25 12,55 1,18
Jeff Woywitka 26 6 0,23 10,20 1,36
Brandon Prust 61 14 0,23 10,32 1,33
Ruslan Fedotenko 54 12 0,22 12,15 1,10
Dan Girardi 61 13 0,21 21,70 0,59
Stu Bickel 30 6 0,20 8,67 1,38
Sean Avery 15 3 0,20 6,98 1,72
Michael Sauer 19 3 0,16 16,60 0,57
Mike Rupp 39 5 0,13 6,42 1,20
Marc Staal 25 3 0,12 16,97 0,42
Andre Deveaux 9 1 0,11 5,20 1,28
Steve Eminger 37 4 0,11 12,00 0,54
Tim Erixon 13 0 0,00 12,45 0,00
Mats Zuccarello 3 0 0,00 6,32 0,00
Brendan Bell 1 0 0,00 11,43 0,00
Kris Newbury 7 0 0,00 5,48 0,00

Thoughts?


Last edited by BBKers: 02-28-2012 at 06:48 AM.
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02-28-2012, 06:09 AM
  #53
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BBKers View Post
Here is a very interesting & telling stat I thought I might bring up.
It shows PPG at even strength (or shorthanded) and omits the the struggling Flowerplay
Quite surprising results I must say:

EVEN STRENGTH STATS AFTER 61 GAMES
Player GP ES/SH Points PPG Avg min/g PP/60 Min icetime
Carl Hagelin 43 27 0,63 13,50 2,79
Marian Gaborik 61 38 0,62 15,68 2,38
Ryan Callahan 61 33 0,54 15,42 2,11
Derek Stepan 61 29 0,48 14,48 1,97
Artem Anisimov 60 28 0,47 12,68 2,21
Brad Richards 61 27 0,44 15,90 1,67
Brandon Dubinsky 58 24 0,41 13,45 1,85
Michael Del Zotto 61 22 0,36 17,18 1,26
Ryan McDonagh 61 21 0,34 21,35 0,97
Anton Stralman 38 10 0,26 15,60 1,01
John Mitchell 43 11 0,26 10,10 1,52
Brian Boyle 61 15 0,25 12,55 1,18
Jeff Woywitka 26 6 0,23 10,20 1,36
Brandon Prust 61 14 0,23 10,32 1,33
Ruslan Fedotenko 54 12 0,22 12,15 1,10
Dan Girardi 61 13 0,21 21,70 0,59
Stu Bickel 30 6 0,20 8,67 1,38
Sean Avery 15 3 0,20 6,98 1,72
Michael Sauer 19 3 0,16 16,60 0,57
Mike Rupp 39 5 0,13 6,42 1,20
Marc Staal 25 3 0,12 16,97 0,42
Andre Deveaux 9 1 0,11 5,20 1,28
Steve Eminger 37 4 0,11 12,00 0,54
Tim Erixon 13 0 0,00 12,45 0,00
Mats Zuccarello 3 0 0,00 6,32 0,00
Brendan Bell 1 0 0,00 11,43 0,00
Kris Newbury 7 0 0,00 5,48 0,00

Thoughts?
Initial thought is that the numbers are slightly off since you include SH points while excluding SH TOI/game.

Hags is nevertheless the runaway team leader in ESP/60 mins with 2.584 which puts him ~20th in the league alongside guys like Seguin and St: Louis.

The only guys from the Atlantic division that score more than him at ES are Malkin and Giroux.

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02-28-2012, 06:43 AM
  #54
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blue Blooded View Post
Initial thought is that the numbers are slightly off since you include SH points while excluding SH TOI/game.

Hags is nevertheless the runaway team leader in ESP/60 mins with 2.584 which puts him ~20th in the league alongside guys like Seguin and St: Louis.

The only guys from the Atlantic division that score more than him at ES are Malkin and Giroux.
Yeah, saw that. Will fix & repost omitting SH points altogether. Thanx

Edit:will not fix.These are basically the Evenstrength numbers.Will not change much at all...

But here is another interesting comparison - Hagelins ES production (omit SH) Year 1 compared to Cally/Dubi their 1st three years:
Player Season GP ES Points PPG Avg min/g PP/60 Min icetime
Carl Hagelin 1 2011-12 43 25 0,58 13,50 2,79
Ryan Callahan 1 2006-07 14 6 0,43 9,62 2,67
Ryan Callahan 2 2007-08 52 12 0,23 11,03 1,25
Ryan Callahan 3 2008-09 81 37 0,46 13,75 1,99
Brandon Dubinsky 1 2007-08 82 39 0,48 11,95 2,39
Brandon Dubinsky 2 2008-09 81 37 0,46 13,37 2,05
Brandon Dubinsky 3 2009-10 69 36 0,52 15,12 2,07


Last edited by BBKers: 02-28-2012 at 07:20 AM.
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02-28-2012, 08:31 AM
  #55
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BBKers View Post
Thoughts?
We use decimal points here, damn it!

Interesting stuff for sure. The kid was made for this team. I admit that I didn't think that his offensive game was going to translate to the NHL, but he's definitely proving me wrong.

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02-28-2012, 08:47 AM
  #56
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I am probably most surprised at his excellent board work. In college all I saw was a massive amount of speed that he used to create chances but he is excellent along the boards and winning strength battles. He looks like another Callahan almost to a 'T'.

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02-28-2012, 08:51 AM
  #57
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Originally Posted by Glennsoe View Post
I said it before and I'll say it again;

Hags is this years zuccarello; young,fresh, exciting and hungry....

It's next season that counts....
No he isn't. Hagelin has the smarts and speed to be an effective player on any line on the team and be an effective and productive player even if he isn't scoring. You can't say that about Zuccarello.

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02-28-2012, 09:12 AM
  #58
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Originally Posted by SingnBluesOnBroadway View Post
No he isn't. Hagelin has the smarts and speed to be an effective player on any line on the team and be an effective and productive player even if he isn't scoring. You can't say that about Zuccarello.
This.

Hagelin is adeqaute along the boards, Zucc isn't.

Hagelin has the speed to create space for himself, Zucc doesn't.

Hagelin can win puck battles with NHL players, Zucc can't.

In terms of pure skill Zucc > Hagelin. Skill doesn't mean anything if you can't get open chances. Zucc has neither the strength or speed to create chances in the NHL, which is why, despite having a very high skill level, he will never succeed in our system, which emphasizes forchecking, winning puck battles, and transition offense.

In a different system, Zucc might be able to excel. Hagelin is excelling. Hagelin's game is sustainable within our system, Zucc's is not. To act like Hagelin is in any way comparable to Zucc is pure fallacy.

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02-28-2012, 09:24 AM
  #59
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Glennsoe View Post
I said it before and I'll say it again;

Hags is this years zuccarello; young,fresh, exciting and hungry....

It's next season that counts....
Not even close...his Hockey IQ in every zone is unreal and Zucc isn't even in the same conversation, he's also stronger on his skates than MZA.

I said this a month or so ago, but he reminds me more of Steve Thomas than Christian does.

He needs a little more bulk but that will come, I don't think anyone knows what his ceiling could be.

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02-28-2012, 09:25 AM
  #60
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NYR Boyler87 View Post
I am probably most surprised at his excellent board work. In college all I saw was a massive amount of speed that he used to create chances but he is excellent along the boards and winning strength battles. He looks like another Callahan almost to a 'T'.
Totally agree with that. Really surprised over the season he's having!

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02-28-2012, 10:41 AM
  #61
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Trxjw View Post
Am I the only one who didn't interpret that post as "Hagelin is the same player as MZA?" Seems to me like he was comparing the fact that they both few under the radar and then came up and had a big impact on the team mid-season.

This board is like a giant game of whack-a-mole. Except instead of moles, we have posters bringing up MZA's positive qualities.
No I didn't take it as "Hagelin is the same player as MZA" I took it as he's this years MZA as in shiny new toy...but it's hard not to start comparing

And neither of those could be the OP's intent

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02-28-2012, 11:33 AM
  #62
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What has struck me most with Hags is that most of the goals he 's scored have not been of the slick/skill variety. He's just used his speed or put himself around the net.

Most importantly he never stops moving.

I can't wait to see what happens when he feels a bit more comfortable and is able to think the game a bit less.....and just go.

Looking like a major late round steal right now.

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02-28-2012, 11:41 AM
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He reminds me of a less offensively gifted Zetterberg.

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02-28-2012, 11:42 AM
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Originally Posted by Pizza View Post
I can't wait to see what happens when he feels a bit more comfortable and is able to think the game a bit less.....and just go.

Looking like a major late round steal right now.
It does. I look forward to what happens to him when he fills out his body more and gains a little more size. Hopefully that will not detract from his speed.

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02-28-2012, 11:48 AM
  #65
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The last two goals he had were either a bad mistake by the goalie or a bit fluky. I wonder if he has the skill to be a consistent 20 goal scorer. A couple of times he scored on a very nice shot but I feel like we don't see it enough.

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02-28-2012, 11:48 AM
  #66
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It does. I look forward to what happens to him when he fills out his body more and gains a little more size. Hopefully that will not detract from his speed.
Ah yes, the Dube Conundrum.

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02-28-2012, 11:51 AM
  #67
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I see Jere Lehtinen when I see him play. Maybe not as good defensively, but he's very close. Hagelin could easily score 50-60 points while playing a great two-way game just like JL used to do.

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02-28-2012, 12:00 PM
  #68
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Carl hagelin <3 enough said

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02-28-2012, 12:34 PM
  #69
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Ah yes, the Dube Conundrum.
Oh, wow did you go to the bottom of teh ocean with that one. I think that unless he starts to eat horsemeat, he will be fine.

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02-28-2012, 12:50 PM
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Originally Posted by SingnBluesOnBroadway View Post
Ah yes, the Dube Conundrum.
it'll be +15 or so pounds. Callahan at 5'10" is 190#. Hags is 5'11"

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02-28-2012, 12:53 PM
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Who is more skilled at this point of his career? Hagelin or Callahan? Cally would probably have hit 30 last year and is on pace for another 30 this year. ho would have thought he'd be a 30 goal scorer?

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02-28-2012, 02:01 PM
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http://www.behindthenet.ca/nhl_stati...16+17+18+19+20

Hagelin is now 17th in the league in ESP/60 min. He has almost caught Henrik Sedin as the #1 Swede.

He his scoring more than D. Sedin, Loui Eriksson, Zetterberg, Alfredsson, Bäckström etc. etc.

I look at his underlying statistics and the way he impacts the team when he's on the ice, and I have a hard time not seeing him as a deserving Calder nominee.

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02-28-2012, 02:05 PM
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Guy is a stud. Not even going to bother trying to guess his ceiling.

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02-28-2012, 02:14 PM
  #74
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His scoring pace would put him at about 50 points over the course of an 82 game season. Not too shabby!

That being said, he'll likely assume a 3rd line role once we have some more top-6 depth up front so I would peg his projected point production at closer to the 40-45 point range moving forward in the coming years.

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02-28-2012, 02:20 PM
  #75
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Quote:
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His scoring pace would put him at about 50 points over the course of an 82 game season. Not too shabby!

That being said, he'll likely assume a 3rd line role once we have some more top-6 depth up front so I would peg his projected point production at closer to the 40-45 point range moving forward in the coming years.
Considering it's all at ES/SH it's extremely impressive. 50 ES points is elite 1st line numbers. Claude Giroux had 50 ES points last year for 12th place in the league.

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