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Perhaps the worst/most painful thing about this whole mess...

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03-09-2012, 08:02 AM
  #176
number72
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Originally Posted by 4evaBlue View Post
A league average goalie would have automatically became horrible with Wilson's defensive system. We would have needed elite level goaltending in order for him to get average numbers on this team.
Look at it from goaltending perspective.
The leafs goalies are giving up bad/soft goals at a rate of 1 extra goal every 2 games
Over the course of the season, that is 40 goals against

But that extra goal is sometimes the difference between a 4-3 loss and a 3-3 OT point.
Or a 2-1 OT loss and a leaf win. Think of those bad goals, that the leaf goaltenders are guilty of, that is the type of goals that league average goalies do not give up.

That is the biggest bang for your puck the team can make.
That is, one less goal every other game is huge (Kessel is scoring at 1 goal every other game 40 goals/year). So you can see how league average goaltending has that realm of impact.

If you get an elite goalie, then the goals against will be closer to 50 goals less per year (i.e a stamkos type player).


Get a league average goalie and the team instantly looks better.

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03-09-2012, 08:03 AM
  #177
LeafsNation92
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For starters Ottawa already guys like Spezza, Michalek, Alfredsson, Karlsson and Anderson and Phillips. They just added to this. Also Murray tends to keep his mouth shut and Burke tends to bark bark bark and has no bite that is the difference. It is the same crap every year with this organization.

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03-09-2012, 08:04 AM
  #178
DirtyDion03
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Originally Posted by LeafsNation92 View Post
For starters Ottawa already guys like Spezza, Michalek, Alfredsson, Karlsson and Anderson and Phillips. They just added to this. Also Murray tends to keep his mouth shut and Burke tends to bark bark bark and has no bite that is the difference. It is the same crap every year with this organization.
What did the Leafs start with?

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03-09-2012, 08:04 AM
  #179
LeafsNation92
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Also Ottawa has a great coach in Maclean and good assistant coach in Dave Cameron that is the difference.

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03-09-2012, 08:06 AM
  #180
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Originally Posted by GordieHoweHatTrick View Post
Relax, they'll collapse next year. Their best players are having career years, I've seen this fairy-tale before. They'll have a 38 year old Gonchar skating in the back-end and Karlsson will be a minus player again. All force in the galaxy will be restored back to it's rightful place
The Leafs will be the same pile of crap next year too....Good to see that you can mock other teams with such a garbage team to root for ourselves. Leaf fans lose more credibility every passing day. So much so that I find it hard to relate or sympathize with my hometeam anymore. I almost feel like the fans of Toronto deserve what they get. No wonder so many Leaf fans switch allegiance. You even have the nerve to mock the young D-man who trails the Leafs "God" Phil Kessel by 4 points. Nice.

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03-09-2012, 08:10 AM
  #181
Jazz Jackrabbit
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lol as soon as I saw the title I knew this would be about the Sens.

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03-09-2012, 08:11 AM
  #182
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Originally Posted by dystemper View Post
agreed. i think it's pretty ignorant for people (who have the benefit of hindsight) to say things like "they could have had karlsson!!!"

even when ottawa drafted him, the fanbase was confused, especially because the first thing they heard was his weight: 165 lbs (or thereabouts).

nobody could have predicted karlsson would rip up the NHL just a couple years later. in every scout's eyes, schenn was considered the premiere shutdown defenseman in that draft, with doughty being the best dman overall. nobody could have guessed how epic that 2008 dman class would end up being.
Epic for everybody else that picked a d but not is, we got the worst dman in the end after picking at 5

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03-09-2012, 09:38 AM
  #183
Dayjobdave
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For this year I am cheering every point Karlsson gets because I want him to have the largest cap hit possible.

:-)

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03-09-2012, 09:49 AM
  #184
RedeyeRocketeer
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Overall in the last decade, Ottawa has been a much better run organization, and it's not close. So it's not really fair to compare the last 6 months given the head start.

The really troubling thing is what Ottawa has prospect wise to insert into their lineup in 2012-2014. And getting Bishop on top of that makes them probably the second best team in the division no matter how you slice it. And Ottawa's cap space is incredible too.

Outside of Brian Lee, they draft damn well, and they develop even better.

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03-09-2012, 09:51 AM
  #185
DirtyDion03
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Originally Posted by RedeyeRocketeer View Post
Overall in the last decade, Ottawa has been a much better run organization, and it's not close. So it's not really fair to compare the last 6 months given the head start.

The really troubling thing is what Ottawa has prospect wise to insert into their lineup in 2012-2014. And getting Bishop on top of that makes them probably the second best team in the division no matter how you slice it. And Ottawa's cap space is incredible too.

Outside of Brian Lee, they draft damn well, and they develop even better.
Their cap space is going to change when they re-sign Karlsson.

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03-09-2012, 09:53 AM
  #186
1927
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Let's revisit this thread in 3 years when the following happens to the Senators.

Declining players due to age:
Jason Spezza
Chris Neil

Most likely retired:
Daniel Alfredson
Sergei Gonchar
Filip Kuba
Chris Phillips

The Senators have the next 3 years to draft/trade/sign players to replace some of the core above. The chances of drafting another Alfredson is very slim at best. Sometimes the grass may look greener elsewhere, but when you look closely it always doesn't look as green as it may seem.

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03-09-2012, 09:56 AM
  #187
RedeyeRocketeer
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Originally Posted by DirtyDion03 View Post
Their cap space is going to change when they re-sign Karlsson.
With Auld, Cheechoo's buy out, and Kuba probably all gone, I doubt it will change a ton. They have 12M in room right now, lol. Worst case that probably drops 4M (figure he gets 6.5M) after Karlson gets his money. Only other must sign guy is Foligno, and he didn't do himself that many favors as it relates to a new deal.

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03-09-2012, 10:53 AM
  #188
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Quote:
Originally Posted by exporta View Post
Edmonton is in year three, NYI in years like 5-6 and so on. Burke didn't take the traditional approach, but to think the rebuild is just beginning or the last three years were a waste is naive.

We aren't a playoff team now, but we were for 3/4 of the season. That's what you call progress.
sigh... this is what slays me. Our Leafs can't be mentioned in the same breath as the Bruins, Rangers, Canucks... we have to be compared to, and make the same excuses as, the dregs of the league, because that's who we are too, simple as that.

And I admire the positive thinking, but really, not being a playoff team again is not cause for optimism by any stretch of the imagination.

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03-09-2012, 11:00 AM
  #189
BonMorrison
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 1927 View Post
Let's revisit this thread in 3 years when the following happens to the Senators.

Declining players due to age:
Jason Spezza
Chris Neil

Most likely retired:
Daniel Alfredson
Sergei Gonchar
Filip Kuba
Chris Phillips

The Senators have the next 3 years to draft/trade/sign players to replace some of the core above. The chances of drafting another Alfredson is very slim at best. Sometimes the grass may look greener elsewhere, but when you look closely it always doesn't look as green as it may seem.
The Senators have one of the best prospect pools in the league. In three years, they will probably be even better.

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03-09-2012, 11:08 AM
  #190
Beleafer4
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Originally Posted by BonMorrison View Post
The Senators have one of the best prospect pools in the league. In three years, they will probably be even better.
I think they will probably be a #4 team.

If some of their vets were younger, they could have been contenders soon but I personally doubt it.

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03-09-2012, 11:44 AM
  #191
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An aging core that was already in place having a fluke year and still only made it to 7th in the conference!

Yep, what a team to aspire to be.

2007-2008: 94 points, 7th place
2008-2009: 83 points, 11th place
2009-2010: 94 points, 5th place
2010-2011: 74 points, 13th place
2011-2012: 95 points, 7th place

They are just in their cycle. Next in line is a drop back down out of the playoffs.

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03-09-2012, 11:50 AM
  #192
BonMorrison
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I find it amusing that people think Ottawa is having a flukey year, is getting lucky, etc. Insecure fans can't accept that they not only have a better team now, but look better than us in the future going forward.

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03-09-2012, 11:50 AM
  #193
Beleafer4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Whydidijoin View Post
An aging core that was already in place having a fluke year and still only made it to 7th in the conference!

Yep, what a team to aspire to be.

2007-2008: 94 points, 7th place
2008-2009: 83 points, 11th place
2009-2010: 94 points, 5th place
2010-2011: 74 points, 13th place
2011-2012: 95 points, 7th place

They are just in their cycle. Next in line is a drop back down out of the playoffs.
well, their prospects are great at least. But next year I do expect a bit of a fall, perhaps even out of a playoff spot. My reasoning being:

1)Alfredsson retiring
2)Michalek, cowen and karlsson having a bit of an off-year (relative to this year)

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03-09-2012, 11:57 AM
  #194
Guster Burton
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Quote:
Originally Posted by number72 View Post
Look at it from goaltending perspective.
The leafs goalies are giving up bad/soft goals at a rate of 1 extra goal every 2 games
Over the course of the season, that is 40 goals against

But that extra goal is sometimes the difference between a 4-3 loss and a 3-3 OT point.
Or a 2-1 OT loss and a leaf win. Think of those bad goals, that the leaf goaltenders are guilty of, that is the type of goals that league average goalies do not give up.

That is the biggest bang for your puck the team can make.
That is, one less goal every other game is huge (Kessel is scoring at 1 goal every other game 40 goals/year). So you can see how league average goaltending has that realm of impact.

If you get an elite goalie, then the goals against will be closer to 50 goals less per year (i.e a stamkos type player).


Get a league average goalie and the team instantly looks better.
Goaltending is definitely the number one thing the Leafs need. I can't really think of a game this tandem has stolen for this team.

Anderson has stolen or kept the Sens in a ton of games. That's the difference between making the playoffs and not making it.

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03-09-2012, 01:21 PM
  #195
81Leafs50
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Ottawa already had much of what it takes a build a decent team.

Plus some guys are over achieving big time. They are good. But they will not be this good next season.

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03-09-2012, 01:50 PM
  #196
Clark4Ever
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Alfie, Gonchar, Spezza, and Neil are getting old, and they represent the core of their club.

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03-09-2012, 02:11 PM
  #197
Beleafer4
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Originally Posted by Clark4Ever View Post
Alfie, Gonchar, Spezza, and Neil are getting old, and they represent the core of their club.
I would hardly consider spezza and neil old...

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03-09-2012, 02:13 PM
  #198
Crispy Crust
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Originally Posted by Beleafer4 View Post
I would hardly consider spezza and neil old...
Chris Neil is starting to get up there in the age but Spezza is still in his prime.

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Old
03-09-2012, 02:39 PM
  #199
Eb
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What makes this more insane is that no NHL insider, HF'er, heck even the Sens fans called them to make the playoffs.

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03-09-2012, 02:49 PM
  #200
indigobuffalo
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Quote:
Originally Posted by maplehawk View Post
it took the Sens about 6 months to accomplish what Burke hasn't be able to do in 4 years...

if you asked anybody at this time last year who was in a better position moving forward, everyone would've said the leafs, but looks what's happened.

looking at what the sens have done over the last year and what they have moving forward really makes you realize the mistakes that burke has made.

i never thought i'd say this, but you have to envy what they have right now.
Totally similar situations, because Toronto had massive amounts of talent to ship out, and TONS of prospects in the system waiting for a chance... right...

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