Draft Lottery Simulator

[RJQuack]

I ran it 1 time and it was Anaheim as winner... So I closed the window and quit while I was ahead

[Bring_Bak_Damphousse]

Only needed to hit it once, before I got the results I wanted.

[birddog*]

Originally Posted by hawkeyexp

How do teams like buffalo move up to first?

they don't unless they trade the team with the first. any team winning the lottery can only move up 4 spots. So only the bottom 5 teams have a shot.

[blinkman360]

If Edmonton wins I'll be pissed. 3 1st overalls in a row? I mean, they are obviously going to get a sick prospect regardless of whether they pick 1, 2 or 3, it's just the principle of the matter.

[Hardyvan123]

Originally Posted by Leaffan44

I ran the simulator ten times and got these results, in the following order:
NYI
Buf
cbj
cbj
mtl
cbj
tbl
cbj
car
cbj

Maybe I'm wrong but isn't there a maximum level of spot andy team can move up?

here it is I looked it up

"Odds

Hockey Joe Yerdon broke it down for everyone last summer:

30th team - 25.0%
29th - 18.8%
28th - 14.2%
27th - 10.7%
26th - 8.1%
25th - 6.2%
24th - 4.7%
23rd - 3.6%
22nd - 2.7%
21st - 2.1%
20th - 1.5%
19th - 1.1%
18th - 0.8%
17th - 0.5%

These odds are a bit misleading, since the lottery is restricted. The odds listed above are to win the lottery, not to wind up with the first overall pick. According to an article form 2009 on NHL.com, the last place team actually has a 48.2% chance to retain the top pick. This is due to the fact that if a 25th - 17th place team win the lottery, they move up four spots, and then the standings take over.

The 26-29th place teams would need to win the lottery to get the first overall pick, so their odds of that happening remain the same as their lottery chances.Odds

Hockey Joe Yerdon broke it down for everyone last summer:

30th team - 25.0%
29th - 18.8%
28th - 14.2%
27th - 10.7%
26th - 8.1%
25th - 6.2%
24th - 4.7%
23rd - 3.6%
22nd - 2.7%
21st - 2.1%
20th - 1.5%
19th - 1.1%
18th - 0.8%
17th - 0.5%

These odds are a bit misleading, since the lottery is restricted. The odds listed above are to win the lottery, not to wind up with the first overall pick. According to an article form 2009 on NHL.com, the last place team actually has a 48.2% chance to retain the top pick. This is due to the fact that if a 25th - 17th place team win the lottery, they move up four spots, and then the standings take over.

The 26-29th place teams would need to win the lottery to get the first overall pick, so their odds of that happening remain the same as their lottery chances."

So only the bottom 5 teams have a shot at 1st overall.

So Leaf fans can relax as they will not be picking 1st

[skip2mybordeleau]

1.ducks
2.jets
3.hurricanes
4.blue jackets
5.canadiens
6.blue jackets
7.oilers
8.oilers
9.leafs
10.ducks

[rockinghockey]

Ran 10 times
1. TO
2. MON
3. EDM
4. CBJ
5. EDM
6. CBJ
7. ANA
8. CBJ
9. CBJ
10. CBJ

That looked good for CBJ

[zetterberg40]

Originally Posted by VerySuperFamous

How funny would it be if Toronto won....


we would have riots that would rival................

and than Burke would trade the pick.

and than we would have more riots............

Please God of Random Luck let Toronto win and Burke trade the pick for Michael Handzus and Colin White.

Burkie would still mess it up. Probably draft someone like Bystrom first overall or something random.. Like subban or Dansk.

[xlnc66]

1) nyi
2) mtl
3) cbj
4) edm
5) wpg
6) edm
7) car
8) wpg
9) edm
10) nyi

[George Maharis]

Since I have no life, I ran it 50 times.

Columbus - 16
Edmonton - 7
Montreal - 6
New York I - 5
Toronto - 5

Anaheim - 4
Minnesota - 2
Buffalo - 2
Tampa Bay - 1
Winnipeg - 1
Washington - 1

[Morgan Gardiner]

Ran it 10 times:

Columbus (4 times)
Montreal (3 times)
Toronto (once)
Washington (once)
Edmonton (once)

[CCF23]

I ran it 6 different times and got 6 different winners (Columbus, Carolina, NYI, Toronto, Edmonton, Minnesota) before a repeat winner came up (NYI).

Poor Columbus.

[HABsurde]

Originally Posted by rey72335

Since I have no life, I ran it 50 times.

Columbus - 16
Edmonton - 7
Montreal - 6
New York I - 5
Toronto - 5

Anaheim - 4
Minnesota - 2
Buffalo - 2
Tampa Bay - 1
Winnipeg - 1
Washington - 1

I have no life too, ran it 100 times

Columbus - 25
Edmonton - 23
Montreal - 12
New York I - 14
Toronto - 6
Carolina - 7
Anaheim - 6
Minnesota - 1
Buffalo - 2
Tampa Bay - 1
Winnipeg - 2
Washington - 1

[ShadowDuck]

So when will we find out what day the lottery is on?

[Kulemon]

Originally Posted by ShadowDuck

So when will we find out what day the lottery is on?

April 10th on tsn

[Faidh ar Rud Eigin]

Ran thirty times, got weird results...

1. Montreal Canadiens
2. Montreal Canadiens
3. Montreal Canadiens
4. Montreal Canadiens
5. Tampa Bay Lightning
6. Carolina Hurricanes
7. New York Islanders
8. Columbus Blue Jackets
9. Edmonton Oilers
10. Calgary Flames
11. Toronto Maple Leafs
12. New York Islanders
13. Columbus Blue Jackets
14. Columbus Blue Jackets
15. Columbus Blue Jackets
16. Columbus Blue Jackets
17. Columbus Blue Jackets
18. Columbus Blue Jackets
19. Montreal Canadiens
20. Columbus Blue Jackets
21. Winnipeg Jets
22. Columbus Blue Jackets
23. New York Islanders
24. Anaheim Ducks
25. Edmonton Oilers
26. Winnipeg Jets
27. Montreal Canadiens
28. Montreal Canadiens
29. Edmonton Oilers
30. Columbus Blue Jackets

[Teamwork]

^
Lots of Montreal Canadiens, nothing weird about that

[Smoke]

1. Islanders
2. Blue Jackets
3. Lightning
4. Blue Jackets
5. Islanders
6. Oilers
7. Wild
8. Blue Jackets
9. Oilers
10. Canadiens

[Victorious Secret]

There better be some Vcash riding on the lottery winner.

[NeilYoung]

Ran it once and got Washington...

[YogiCanucks]

It's crazy! I ran this trial n times and I got the exact same percentages of winning as in my trials!

Who knew.

[LickTheEnvelope]

wtf I ran it 5 times and got:

-Habs
-Habs
-Habs
-Habs
-Wild

Though I was getting trolled...

[5cupstandard]

Originally Posted by dolorous edd

washington are in the playoffs but they have colorado's first round pick from the varlamov trade. That pick is currently 12th but can end up anywhere between 7th and 11th.

fixed!

[Et le But]

I got Montreal the first time.

Not doing it again.

[5RingsAndABeer]

Originally Posted by YogiCanucks

It's crazy! I ran this trial n times and I got the exact same percentages of winning as in my trials!

Who knew.