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The 2012 NHL Draft Lottery (Edmonton Oilers won)

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Old
04-08-2012, 04:05 PM
  #1
Habsfan18
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The 2012 NHL Draft Lottery (Edmonton Oilers won)

Borrowed from Moo's thread: http://hfboards.hockeysfuture.com/sh....php?t=1158025

Quote:
The odds of winning the lottery are as follows:

30th CBJ = 25.0% (250 combinations)
29th EDM = 18.8% (188 combinations)
28th MTL = 14.2% (142 combinations)
27th NYI = 10.7% (107 combinations)
26th TOR = 08.1% (081 combinations)
--------------------
25th ANA = 06.2% (062 combinations)
24th MIN = 04.7% (047 combinations)
23rd CAR = 03.6% (036 combinations)
22nd WPG = 02.7% (027 combinations)
21st TB = 02.1% (021 combinations)
20th COL = 01.5% (015 combinations) (Pick actually belongs to Washington)
19th BUF = 01.1% (011 combinations)
18th DAL = 00.8% (008 combinations)
17th CGY = 00.5% (005 combinations)

Columbus has the No. 1 pick going in...

Columbus keeps it = 48.2% (482 combinations)
Columbus loses it = 51.8% (518 combinations)
*Remember that only the top 5 teams have a chance at the 1st overall selection, as a team can only move up 4 spots by winning the lottery.

I figured that it would be nice to get some discussion going, as we all know this subject will be taking up much of the discussion over the next 3 days. As soon as the lottery is over, we can take the discussion back to the draft sticky.

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Old
04-08-2012, 04:10 PM
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donghabs98
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watching the lottery last season i said to myself too bad the has will never be on this show


1 year later....

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Old
04-08-2012, 04:12 PM
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Crimson Skorpion
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If Toronto's logo does not appear at #5, my heart will sink to the floor.

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Old
04-08-2012, 04:12 PM
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Em Ancien
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Shoulda made an April 9th GDT before this since I assume some firings will be done tomorrow along with the overall season post-mortem.

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Old
04-08-2012, 04:16 PM
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shamrun
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where is the gif with the skinny midget that has a mustache? We need all the luck we can get.

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Old
04-08-2012, 04:19 PM
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76ftw
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Quote:
Originally Posted by donghabs98 View Post
watching the lottery last season i said to myself too bad the has will never be on this show


1 year later....
Say the same in June in the finals

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Old
04-08-2012, 04:20 PM
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RC51
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I just want to remind all of you that if Toronto ends up picking before the Habs and then they pick the exact player we want, well just how anger will you be that the Habs did NOT dump that last game.
What if it's found out that Burke cut a deal with Molson. That the Habs win that last game allowing Toronto to move up to the bottom 5 for a much better pick, then Burke stabs Molson in the back and steals our player right from under Molson's nose.

HUMMM

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Old
04-08-2012, 04:23 PM
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mlandry
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3rd is ok. 1st would be awesome. 4th would be a little meh since, as far as I know, the top end quality of players drops quite a bit with each pick this year. Not that I think the 4th overall pick will end up being terrible but we have a better chance with someone like Yakupov for example.

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Old
04-08-2012, 04:24 PM
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HomaridII
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A source told me that the Habs have won the lottery ... commence to rejoice.

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Old
04-08-2012, 04:26 PM
  #10
Jack Bourdain
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RC51 View Post
I just want to remind all of you that if Toronto ends up picking before the Habs and then they pick the exact player we want, well just how anger will you be that the Habs did NOT dump that last game.
What if it's found out that Burke cut a deal with Molson. That the Habs win that last game allowing Toronto to move up to the bottom 5 for a much better pick, then Burke stabs Molson in the back and steals our player right from under Molson's nose.

HUMMM
That's the dumbest thing I've ever read.

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Old
04-08-2012, 04:37 PM
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mlandry
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Originally Posted by Jack Bourdain View Post
That's the dumbest thing I've ever read.
Said the regular on HF. Sorry, I'm going to call ******** on that

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Old
04-08-2012, 04:42 PM
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coolasprICE
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nevermind

edit 2

42% chance habs pick 4th!

edit 3 (I think)

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Old
04-08-2012, 04:50 PM
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Old
04-08-2012, 04:50 PM
  #14
mlandry
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Quote:
Originally Posted by coolasprICE View Post
nevermind

edit 2

42% chance habs pick 4th!

edit 3 (I think)
Teams can only go up 5 spots so we only need to worry about :

28th MTL = 14.2% (142 combinations)
27th NYI = 10.7% (107 combinations)
26th TOR = 08.1% (081 combinations)
--------------------
25th ANA = 06.2% (062 combinations)
24th MIN = 04.7% (047 combinations)
23rd CAR = 03.6% (036 combinations)

So in total, there's a 33.3% of one of those 5 teams winning the lottery, thus pushing the Habs back to 4th. Otherwise, we have a 14.2% chance of drafting 1st and the rest = 3rd.

Err according to op it's up 4 spots so redo the math. So around 30% chance of us getting screwed instead.

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Old
04-08-2012, 05:03 PM
  #15
habtastic
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A win and this city will explode

A leafs win and this city will explode

Actually in both cases, both cities will explode

I can handle picking 4th. I cannot handle Toronto picking 1st.

The best case scenario if we don't win, is that the team that's 4 places behind Toronto does.

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Old
04-08-2012, 05:05 PM
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donghabs98
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Quote:
Originally Posted by coolasprICE View Post
nevermind

edit 2

42% chance habs pick 4th!

edit 3 (I think)
lots of edits i see

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Old
04-08-2012, 05:12 PM
  #17
Redux91
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At last...its almost time...

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Old
04-08-2012, 05:16 PM
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coolasprICE
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Quote:
Originally Posted by habtastic View Post
A win and this city will explode

A leafs win and this city will explode

Actually in both cases, both cities will explode

I can handle picking 4th. I cannot handle Toronto picking 1st.

The best case scenario if we don't win, is that the team that's 4 places behind Toronto does.
with the mods approval, i would create a thread titled...

'' congratulations leaf nations, Toronto win the 2012 draft lottery , pick 1st overall''

this would completely jinx them

especially if we can get past 1000 posts

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Old
04-08-2012, 05:19 PM
  #19
Isles Junkie
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CrimsonSkorpion View Post
If Toronto's logo does not appear at #5, my heart will sink to the floor.
Jets & their 2.7% chance can win & the Leafs will pick 6th. wouldn't that make you happy?

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Old
04-08-2012, 05:23 PM
  #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Isle Junkie View Post
Jets & their 2.7% chance can win & the Leafs will pick 6th. wouldn't that make you happy?
I will actually laugh all night if that happens

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Old
04-08-2012, 06:03 PM
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Jets & their 2.7% chance can win & the Leafs will pick 6th. wouldn't that make you happy?
We would all love that.

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Old
04-08-2012, 06:47 PM
  #22
Watsatheo
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Originally Posted by CrimsonSkorpion View Post
If Toronto's logo does not appear at #5, my heart will sink to the floor.
If it's the Jets logo I will laugh though.

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Old
04-09-2012, 01:26 PM
  #23
Habsfan18
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CrimsonSkorpion View Post
If Toronto's logo does not appear at #5, my heart will sink to the floor.
If Toronto wins the lottery...

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Old
04-09-2012, 01:29 PM
  #24
FinnHab
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Go Habs Go!!

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Old
04-09-2012, 01:39 PM
  #25
Gustave
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Is there a better remedy for this abysmal year then winning this thing? It would redeem all the terrible decisions from past management me thinks.

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