You're expecting this team to score 288 goals this upcoming season. Last year, we finished with 226.
Your expectations are a joke, and I don't think you have the slightest idea what Stepan's ceiling is if you think 72P is a realistic possibility next year.
well 226 goals - 26 goals from AA/Dubi is 200 goals. Add a full season of Kreider, a better season for Richards, and Nash's 30+ goals (at least). We will be in the 250-260 range. I agree though, no way in hades that Stepan gets 72 pts.
Hagelin scores (on pace) 20+ goals and 50+ points
During his first ~40 games as a Ranger, Carl Hagelin was top 20 in the league in ES points per minute and it was no coincidence that whatever line he was on, was the line that played best. He then hit the infamous NCAA wall, and his play petered out until he was almost a complete non-factor in the playoffs. While he doesn't have the hands to be an elite scorer, his speed, tenacity and intelligence makes him a formidable player that makes his linemates better. This year he'll be able to keep up his performance during the whole season.
Marcel Hrivik plays 30+ games and scores >0.5 PPG.
Callahan scores less than last year on ES, but an improved PP allows him to score ~30-25-55.
Nash and Richards mesh very well together, Nash scores 35+ goals and 70+ points while Richards puts up 80+ points.
While the third line performs admirable defensively, Boyle and Pyatt both score less than 30 points.
Krieder shows flashes of brilliance, but his first full season is inconsistent and he puts up ~20-15-35.
Stepan struggles intitially, but finishes the season very strongly with Gáborík on his wing and ends the season with 55+ points.
McDonagh takes another step offensively and puts up ~40 points.
Based on OP's expectations, we would be the #1 offensive team in the league and the #2 defensive team (assuming the goals for/against around the league stay about the same as they did last year). Our goals for/against differential would be over +100. I've don't remember that ever happening.
Way, way too optimistic.
The reason for the irrational exuberance is the fact that OP (and others) don't want to recognize that someone will have a bad season, as a couple players on every team always do. There might be a realization that it will happen, but it doesn't go into the calculations, either on offense or defense.