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Old
08-21-2012, 06:18 PM
  #151
TheHudlinator
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Originally Posted by MarkGio View Post
Updated. Scary, I know.
Roy as your top center, you are right I am scared for you

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08-21-2012, 08:07 PM
  #152
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Listen guys, I know ganging up on me seems like it will help alleviate the humiliation of loss, but you're only emphasizing the focus and fear towards my team. Although, I was expecting this.

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08-21-2012, 10:44 PM
  #153
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Quick adding, I think I have the following stats, in case someone wants to compare. With only 1 regular pick left, I guess I don't care about my drafting strategy being released anymore.

Goals: 312, Assists: 460, Points: 772

I'm expecting more in the assists and points areas. Schenn, Carle, Gilbert, and Quincey will be getting significantly more ice time. I expect improvements from Sutter, Morrow, Roy, and Berglund. I chose worst-case-scenario type players because they'd be steals when returning to form. I think any team could beat me any week in these areas, but players are generally streaky here so I didn't worry about it.

+/-: -16, PPP: 84

I avoided choosing too many players from the same team because I could lose the +/- category in a week if some of my teams get litten up. The +/- category varies so much each week, I didn't want to focus on it.

I'll obviously improve PPP because most of my picks will see increased ice time. This is a controllable stat if people are choosing top 4 defensemen and top 6 forwards. That's all I cared about. Not 100 point potential rookies or anything like that.

FOW: 2633, GWG: 43

I don't know if clutch, GWG players perform the same year after year, so I didn't focus on it. FOW however, can easily be won if you choose the right wingers on the right teams and you're deep down the middle. I'm probably not the best in this category because some teams are stacked down the middle. Still, I'll come away in this area some weeks.

Hits: 1825, Blocks: 1275

I focused here because they're dependable stats. Players don't become soft or aggressive all of a sudden, and it's not really a streaky stat. I wanted 2 of 14 categories guranteed every week.

Wins: 59, Losses: 38, GAA: 2.32, Sv%: 0.922, SO: 10

Another area to focus on. Winning teams win, and strong defensive teams comes with good goalie stats. If I win 3 categories each week because of goaltending, I'm playing better odds.

In summary, most of these stats simply vary. Players are streaky, teams are streaky. It's a roll of the dice every week. I wanted to help my odds by choosing consistent, non-risk players that perform well in non-streaky stats. I don't think I'll win by dominating 14 categories to none, but I should come away with 5 categories at least each week, while I'll let the streaky odds help or hurt my favour. Since I only need another 2 categories to tie each week, my odds are pretty good I think.

I also calculated my salaries. 76.691 million, including bench and not including Evander Kane's unknown salary. I didn't look at salaries out of fear I'd subconciously choose cheap guys

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08-21-2012, 11:11 PM
  #154
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MarkGio View Post
Goals: 312, Assists: 460, Points: 772

+/-: -16, PPP: 84

FOW: 2633, GWG: 43

Hits: 1825, Blocks: 1275

Wins: 59, Losses: 38, GAA: 2.32, Sv%: 0.922, SO: 10
Mine breaks down as follows:

G: 265
A: 474
P: 739
+/-: 52
PPP: 246
FOW: 2819
GWG: 31
Hits: 1236
Blocks: 966

Wins: 35
Losses: 23
GAA: 2.54
Sv. %: 0.906
SO: 1
(But I'm carrying Crawford and Bernier)

Other than goaltending as a flaw, my numbers don't stack up quite equally to anyone's due to two "problem" players.

One is Damien Brunner, who is a 26 year old scorer to yet play the game but slated for duty on Datsyuk's right wing at the beginning of the season. I expect a 40-point season out of him.
The other is Zajac, for whom I pulled 2010-2011 stats for due to his injury shortened year. However, I don't think that's a bad comparison due to his strong playoffs and play style should rebound to pre-injury levels, IMO. But no guarantees in the end.

Also, I still need to fill 2 spots, but the comparison I feel is close enough.

Bolded your "winning" numbers. You're winning 9-5, especially against my suspect goaltending.

For the record, after filling my last two roster spots which should bring up my total points to around 780ish with about 280 goals scored and 500 assists, I'm fully expecting without a doubt that my team should reach around 820-850 points total for this upcoming season barring drastic injury. I have a few players on shortened seasons, players on short contracts/contract years, new players on top pairings/lines and many players expecting a "rebound" season after a trade or signing. Expecting an extra 40-70 points in all from my roster is not an outlandish expectation.
And of course, I'm hoping for Bernier to get traded sooner than later and for Crawford/Chicago to have a bounceback/hot season.


Last edited by Signature: 08-21-2012 at 11:20 PM.
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Old
08-21-2012, 11:40 PM
  #155
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Autograph View Post
Mine breaks down as follows:

G: 265
A: 474
P: 739
+/-: 52
PPP: 246
FOW: 2819
GWG: 31
Hits: 1236
Blocks: 966

Wins: 35
Losses: 23
GAA: 2.54
Sv. %: 0.906
SO: 1
LW:James Neal C: Mike Richards RW: Jaromir Jagr
LW: Dany Heatley C: David Krejci RW: David Jones
LW: Dustin Penner C: Danny Briere RW: Damien Brunner
LW: David Booth C: Travis Zajac RW: Dan Cleary
D: Ryan Suter D: Keith Yandle
D: Ducan Keith D: Denis Seidenberg
D: Slava Voynov D: Roman Josi
G: Corey Crawford
G: Jonathan Bernier
Extra: Frans Nielsen ( C )

I see how you beat me in the PPP and face-offs. I'm not sure how we're close in points however, as you clearly (dan clearly) have better top end talent. Penner, Zajac, Booth, Richards and Heatley are likely to improve, but Jagr, Suter, and Brunner are risks. I too carry some risk players, as does everyone.

I think Voynov and Josi are risk players, but anybody without at least two seasons to compare is a risk to me. I guess it tells you how much I gamble

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08-21-2012, 11:42 PM
  #156
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Many of my best players missed time last year or are extremely young and expect them to break out and yet they put up

G:274
A:484
P:746
+-: -31(thats what I get having 2 from NYI and CBJ )
PPP: 219
GWG: 48
FOW: 2879
Hits: 1731
Blocks: 1104

Wins: 56
Losses: 38
GAA: 2.35
SV%: .923
SO: 9

I won't rub it in to bad when I sweep this league

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08-21-2012, 11:52 PM
  #157
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheGleninator View Post
Many of my best players missed time last year or are extremely young and expect them to break out and yet they put up

G:274
A:484
P:746
+-: -31(thats what I get having 2 from NYI and CBJ )
PPP: 219
GWG: 48
FOW: 2879
Hits: 1731
Blocks: 1104

Wins: 56
Losses: 38
GAA: 2.35
SV%: .923
SO: 9

I won't rub it in to bad when I sweep this league
Holy crap. There's some stats we're almost identical in. Our goaltending stats are way too similiar it's eerie.

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08-22-2012, 12:10 AM
  #158
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Originally Posted by MarkGio View Post
I see how you beat me in the PPP and face-offs. I'm not sure how we're close in points however, as you clearly (dan clearly) have better top end talent. Penner, Zajac, Booth, Richards and Heatley are likely to improve, but Jagr, Suter, and Brunner are risks. I too carry some risk players, as does everyone.

I think Voynov and Josi are risk players, but anybody without at least two seasons to compare is a risk to me. I guess it tells you how much I gamble
Even top end talent struggles and have off years due to injury or environment or whatnot, and you listed pretty much all the players that I carry that, while they are top line material or top six material, they almost all had suspect years last season. My most consistent players are Briere, Neal, and Krejci. Every other one of my players in my forward roster had off years.

Richards had a very bad fallout from 66 points in 2010 and a career high of 80 points in 2008 to 44 in 2012. I'm hoping for a 55+ point season.
Heatley scored 53 points last season. His previous totals in the last two seasons were 82 and 64. With the new talent surrounding him with Granlund and Parise, I believe I'll see around 60-65 points.
Penner picked up his play late in the season Gained a lot of confidence under Sutter. He picked up only 17 points but registered 39, more than twice his total from the previous year. But, he's also on a contract year and had a great playoffs so I'm expecting a 45 point season from him.
Booth had a 30 point campaign but the season before, he recorded 40. I expect around a 35-45 point season in 2013.
Brunner is a pure scorer who has never touched NHL ice and as such I can't predict his stats. I'm hoping for 40-50.
Roman Josi paired with Hal Gill for 52 games and netted 14 points. I'm hoping that, potentially paired with Shea Weber, he'll see upwards of 20 points.
Duncan Keith recorded only 40 points last year, down from the past three years of 44, 69, and 45 in previous seasons. I'm hoping he gets 45-50 points. Every point counts, especially from defencemen.
Voynov netted 20 points over 54 games. I'm projecting 30-35 points over 82 provided he stays healthy and is paired with Mitchell.

A very large chunk of my best performers and top-end talent underperformed. That's all there is to say about last season. Thankfully, the new season should have a lot of surprises, hopefully pleasant, for my roster.

From those listed players alone, I'm expecting +105 points overall on average increase. Is that asking a lot? Maybe, but it's why I tempered my initial predictions this year by mentioning 40-70 point increase earlier.

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08-22-2012, 04:10 AM
  #159
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stats for my team with one player left

goals - 307
Assist - 428
Points - 735
ppp - 91
GWG - 43
Hits - 1444
Blocks - 1167
+/- -36
FOW - 1814


not to bad consitering the 4 players that didnt play half the year. So good luck everyone in this upcomming season

well scrap the goalie stats i dont want to do them now after i picked mason


Last edited by drewskiv: 08-22-2012 at 10:30 AM.
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08-22-2012, 08:54 AM
  #160
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I still need to get more blocks, but my next pick will cover that.

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08-22-2012, 10:26 AM
  #161
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MarkGio View Post
Quick adding, I think I have the following stats, in case someone wants to compare. With only 1 regular pick left, I guess I don't care about my drafting strategy being released anymore.

Goals: 312, Assists: 460, Points: 772

I'm expecting more in the assists and points areas. Schenn, Carle, Gilbert, and Quincey will be getting significantly more ice time. I expect improvements from Sutter, Morrow, Roy, and Berglund. I chose worst-case-scenario type players because they'd be steals when returning to form. I think any team could beat me any week in these areas, but players are generally streaky here so I didn't worry about it.

+/-: -16, PPP: 84

I avoided choosing too many players from the same team because I could lose the +/- category in a week if some of my teams get litten up. The +/- category varies so much each week, I didn't want to focus on it.

I'll obviously improve PPP because most of my picks will see increased ice time. This is a controllable stat if people are choosing top 4 defensemen and top 6 forwards. That's all I cared about. Not 100 point potential rookies or anything like that.

FOW: 2633, GWG: 43

I don't know if clutch, GWG players perform the same year after year, so I didn't focus on it. FOW however, can easily be won if you choose the right wingers on the right teams and you're deep down the middle. I'm probably not the best in this category because some teams are stacked down the middle. Still, I'll come away in this area some weeks.

Hits: 1825, Blocks: 1275

I focused here because they're dependable stats. Players don't become soft or aggressive all of a sudden, and it's not really a streaky stat. I wanted 2 of 14 categories guranteed every week.

Wins: 59, Losses: 38, GAA: 2.32, Sv%: 0.922, SO: 10

Another area to focus on. Winning teams win, and strong defensive teams comes with good goalie stats. If I win 3 categories each week because of goaltending, I'm playing better odds.

In summary, most of these stats simply vary. Players are streaky, teams are streaky. It's a roll of the dice every week. I wanted to help my odds by choosing consistent, non-risk players that perform well in non-streaky stats. I don't think I'll win by dominating 14 categories to none, but I should come away with 5 categories at least each week, while I'll let the streaky odds help or hurt my favour. Since I only need another 2 categories to tie each week, my odds are pretty good I think.

I also calculated my salaries. 76.691 million, including bench and not including Evander Kane's unknown salary. I didn't look at salaries out of fear I'd subconciously choose cheap guys
Wow, when you break it down into such detail, I can see why everyone thinks your team is so painfully average

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08-22-2012, 11:05 AM
  #162
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Team Updated



Pacioretty-Spezza-Gaborik
Clowe-Plekanec-Purcell
Stalberg- Granlund-Hansen
MacArthur-Hodgson-Kopecky


Doughty-Shattenkirk
Goligoski-Greene
Petry-Grossman


Lehtonen
C.Anderson

BENCH: Jussi Jokinen (C)
BENCH: Mark Stuart (D)
BENCH:

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08-22-2012, 11:13 AM
  #163
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MarkGio View Post
I guess I don't care about my drafting strategy being released anymore.

You had a drafting strategy and that's the team you ended up with? And people thought Sutter did a bad job when he was here

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08-22-2012, 11:23 AM
  #164
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You had a drafting strategy and that's the team you ended up with? And people thought Sutter did a bad job when he was here










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08-22-2012, 12:21 PM
  #165
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LW: Jamie Benn C: Jordan Staal RW: Nathan Horton
LW: James van Riemsdyk C: Patrice Bergeron RW:Martin Erat
LW:Alex Tanguay C Jonathan Huberdeau RW:Jordin Tootoo
LW:Gabriel Bourque C Darren Helm RW:Lee Stempniak


D: Brent Seabrook D Dennis Wideman
D: D:Joe Corvo D Joni Pitkanen
D: D:Braydon Coburn D Johnny Boychuk

G:Jonathan Quick
G:Jhonas Enroth

Bench D Matt Niskanen
Bench LW Vladimir Sobotka
Bench

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08-22-2012, 01:36 PM
  #166
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derpppp

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Old
08-22-2012, 02:09 PM
  #167
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Didnt do my goalies, but

G: 309
A: 513
P: 822
+/-: 64
PPP: 222
GWG: 50
FOW: 3647
hits: 2010
blocks: 1236

Plus I have a few of rookies

Be afraid my friends


Last edited by Sean Monahan: 08-22-2012 at 03:28 PM.
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08-23-2012, 02:02 AM
  #168
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LW: Scott Hartnell C: Nicklas Backstrom RW: Jason Pominville
LW: Brad Marchand C: Valteri Filppula RW: Radim Vrbata
LW: Vinny Prospal C: Mike Fisher RW: PA Parenteau
LW: Chris Higgins C: Kyle Wellwood RW: Mikael Samuelsson
D: Erik Karlsson D: Michael Del Zotto
D: Erik Johnson D: Ian White
D: Filip Kuba D: Andrew Ference
G: Mike Smith
G: Anders Lindback
Extra: Tyler Kennedy (LW)
Extra: Paul Gaustad
Extra: N/A

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08-23-2012, 02:34 AM
  #169
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I used a list for the first 3 rounds or so, and then just completely winged it. It probably shows.

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08-23-2012, 10:33 AM
  #170
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Edit.


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08-23-2012, 10:45 AM
  #171
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Devils auto selects Willie Mitchel..
wrong thread

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08-23-2012, 12:40 PM
  #172
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Now looking at the big picture my team does not even look like it can compete very well with you guys lets hope for all those bounce back seasons im hoping for

G:265
A:389
P:654
+-: -5
PPP: 155
GWG: 46
FOW: 2408
Hits: 2176
Blocks: 1145

Wins: 45
Losses: 60
GAA: 2.49
SV%: .915
SO: 6

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08-23-2012, 01:06 PM
  #173
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Now looking at the big picture my team does not even look like it can compete very well with you guys lets hope for all those bounce back seasons im hoping for

G:265
A:389
P:654
+-: -5
PPP: 155
GWG: 46
FOW: 2408
Hits: 2176
Blocks: 1145

Wins: 45
Losses: 60
GAA: 2.49
SV%: .915
SO: 6
Don't sweat it. Even those who have high stats, they might not have drafted positionally and will be forced into placing waivers or begging for trades because they have 9 centremen or something crazy like that. They're high stats are likely due to choosing the best player available, and then only when the Yahoo positions are finalized will they realize the best player available wasn't the best selection available. I know I'd hate to gut my team before the season starts.

When I see a crazy amount of face-offs, I know that team needs gutting before the season starts. Obviously an actual winger isn't taking 800+ face-offs! Yahoo will designate them as a centre and people will have a surplus on the bench and be forced to re-arrange their roster. Simple as that.

And these annual stats won't be reflected each week. The numbers vary so much. For example, Sam Gagne had something silly like 20% of his total points occur in one week. Obviously he was a bad fantasy pick every other week! So don't worry about it, you're team looks good. IMO anyways.

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08-23-2012, 01:24 PM
  #174
Sean Monahan
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Don't sweat it. Even those who have high stats, they might not have drafted positionally and will be forced into placing waivers or begging for trades because they have 9 centremen or something crazy like that. They're high stats are likely due to choosing the best player available, and then only when the Yahoo positions are finalized will they realize the best player available wasn't the best selection available. I know I'd hate to gut my team before the season starts.

When I see a crazy amount of face-offs, I know that team needs gutting before the season starts. Obviously an actual winger isn't taking 800+ face-offs! Yahoo will designate them as a centre and people will have a surplus on the bench and be forced to re-arrange their roster. Simple as that.

And these annual stats won't be reflected each week. The numbers vary so much. For example, Sam Gagne had something silly like 20% of his total points occur in one week. Obviously he was a bad fantasy pick every other week! So don't worry about it, you're team looks good. IMO anyways.
Felt like this was directed right at me

My plan all along was drafting players with multiple eligibility. We'll see when the season starts

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08-23-2012, 02:21 PM
  #175
Savoie16
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Originally Posted by MarkGio View Post
Don't sweat it. Even those who have high stats, they might not have drafted positionally and will be forced into placing waivers or begging for trades because they have 9 centremen or something crazy like that. They're high stats are likely due to choosing the best player available, and then only when the Yahoo positions are finalized will they realize the best player available wasn't the best selection available. I know I'd hate to gut my team before the season starts.

When I see a crazy amount of face-offs, I know that team needs gutting before the season starts. Obviously an actual winger isn't taking 800+ face-offs! Yahoo will designate them as a centre and people will have a surplus on the bench and be forced to re-arrange their roster. Simple as that.

And these annual stats won't be reflected each week. The numbers vary so much. For example, Sam Gagne had something silly like 20% of his total points occur in one week. Obviously he was a bad fantasy pick every other week! So don't worry about it, you're team looks good. IMO anyways.
I do have 3 players i expect a rebound season from (bourque, stewart and duchene)

then i got Montreal Canadiens galore hoping for a rebound season from the whole team (so emelin, gorges, subban, price and bourque from the big 3 rebounds)

then we got Couts who im hoping to have another solid year so my stats may be deceiving for good or bad as my team might under perform but that goes for every team theirs a chance that any player can under or over achieve thats the fun of the game!

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