This isn't high risk at all. It's $3.5M. That's nothing. Even if the cap goes to $58M and goes up every year. $3.5M is Matthew Lombardi (18 points) money. Worst comes to worst, we have a $3.5M plug on our team. It's barely anything.
That's my thinking. Besides serious injury problems or a steep and unforeseen drop off in production (both risks in any contract of this length), he's already at worst a very good 3rd centre, or serviceable 2nd. Maybe $3.5M is an overpayment for that, but not a significant one. I could see this contract maybe turning into a not great one, but it doesn't seem likely to ever be a disaster.
He's basically the new Mike Fisher. Fans will crap on him nonstop if he doesn't produce and the term is waaaaaaaaaay too long for someone that hasn't proven anything.
Murray is way too generous with his contract signings, but maybe this one works out for us.
Worse comes to worse we waive him or just buy him out.
No offense dude but it is people who make stupid comments like this which lead to players becoming whipping boys for their respective teams!