Would we get a higher pick in 2013 if we play the season or not?
Borrowed from this thread on the Oilers board, if the whole season goes kaput with the lockout, we have a 2% chance at the first overall pick in a draft lottery. Now I wouldn't expect us to be anywhere near first overall if we play the season, but to play devil's advocate, what do you think the odds would be that we would be picking first overall, as compared to the 2% with the draft lottery?
Just wondering how you came up with 18th overall. I assume you put all the 6% teams first, then all the 4% teams, and then averaged the 2% teams, or something similar?
i'm sure there's some statistical model to actually calculate our most probable spot and our mean and median spots, but i just eyeballed it. 13 teams with better odds than us + 1/2 17 teams with same odds as us = 21.5, actually, so i guess that would be a more appropriate number.