I expect Cena to win and pick 26th position, which I think is statistically the most likely to win the rumble isn't it? It's somewhere around there I think. This way they still have the 30th spot for a good surprise, Cena doesn't look like he's taking too much of an easy way out by coming out 30th...and he will of course win the rumble.
IIRC, 27th is the number that's had the most wins, with 3 or 4 guys winning from that position
Punk's promo was all it needed to be. Serious, dramatic and all business. Thank God they aren't billing Punk as a coward heel this time around.
I think they realized that for the match vs the Rock to work, and be believable, Punk had to be booked really strong. Maniacal in some ways. Otherwise nobody would ever expect Punk to win. Even still, they need to do more IMO. I still think that Punk needs to cut a promo to close the show tonight to reiterate that the Rock isn't a wrestler, but rather an entertainer, and that the game has changed since Rock was last a big player in the ring. They need to do more to add an extra ounce or two of doubt...cuz right now I don't think anyone expects Punk to be able to leave champion.