remember when the Devils won to pick 4th? in the new scenario they would have the 1st pick, their is a good chance if you are the worst team you will still get the 1st pick
Last edited by Darcy Regier: 02-04-2013 at 12:20 PM.
remember when the Devils won to pick 4th? in the new scenario they would have the 1st pick, most likely if you are the worst team you will still get the 1st pick
Tell that to columbus
You are less likely today to get the #1 pick, if you are the worst team, because you are drawing against 13 other teams... in the past you were drawing you ~20-25% against 4 teams (since the other 9 couldn't move to #1)
In 2012... the odds were
25.0% - Columbus Blue Jackets - 65 points
18.8% - Edmonton Oilers - 74 points
14.2% - Montreal Canadiens - 78 points
10.7% - New York Islanders - 79 points
8.1% - Toronto Maple Leafs - 80 points
6.2% - Anaheim Ducks - 80 points
4.7% - Minnesota Wild - 81 points
3.6% - Carolina Hurricanes - 82 points
2.7% - Winnipeg Jets - 84 points
2.1% - Tampa Bay Lightning - 84 points
1.5% - Washington Capitals (from Colorado) - 88 points
1.1% - Buffalo Sabres - 89 points
0.8% - Dallas Stars - 89 points
0.5% - Calgary Flames - 90 points
But in reality, Columbus really had these odds :
48.2% - Columbus Blue Jackets - 65 points
18.8% - Edmonton Oilers - 74 points
14.2% - Montreal Canadiens - 78 points
10.7% - New York Islanders - 79 points
8.1% - Toronto Maple Leafs - 80 points
Because the teams outside the bottom 5, couldn't move to #1
If the percentages stay the same, the worst team goes from a 48% chance to get the first pick...down to a 25% chance
It's a good change IMO. It also increases the odds that you'll lose a draft position, but the tradeoff for anyone to get that first overall make that ok IMO.
Based on this season thus far, Jones is our greatest need for sure, but seeing Mackinnon on a regular basis in Halifax makes it very hard for me to choose otherwise. He is SO good.
I don't know seems that Drouin is giving MacKinnon a run for his money
I don't even this it will be a discussion who the top 2 picks will be come draft day, for Buffalo I would in all likely hood prefer Barkov or Lindholm over him.
I don't even this it will be a discussion who the top 2 picks will be come draft day, for Buffalo I would in all likely hood prefer Barkov or Lindholm over him.
Me too, I've had enough of the small shifty forwards here in Buffalo. I love his puck skills but we have enough small forwards.
It's probably just an assumption since this is the only Entry Draft lottery change in the summary:
Quote:
Entry Draft
All Non-Playoff Clubs will participate in a weighted drawing. The Clubs shall be ranked in inverse order based on points earned by each of them in the previous Regular Season. The winner of the weighted drawing will receive the first pick in the first round of the Draft.
Jones, right now he is the best player available and our center situation looks decent for the future, even though right now it's not very good. Only reason I'd take MacKinnon is because d-men can be tougher to evaluate and usually take longer to develop, but Jones looks like a different breed...I don't see him busting.
It's a good change IMO. It also increases the odds that you'll lose a draft position, but the tradeoff for anyone to get that first overall make that ok IMO.
Personally, I think it sucks. The purpose of the draft was to put teams with a lack of talent/depth into a draft order that would allow the worst team (as evidenced by their record) the "best" (as deemed by the selector) player available in the draft as a method of improving that lacking roster the most. Heck, since the lottery went into effect, only four times has the worst team "won" the selection -- shockingly the same percentage as their chances under the old system since 1995.
Wait for another Ovechkin or Crosby type player and the worst team getting hosed out of that opportunity. I can't wait for someone like the Pens to just miss the playoffs and win the draft lottery.
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Personally, I think it sucks. The purpose of the draft was to put teams with a lack of talent/depth into a draft order that would allow the worst team (as evidenced by their record) the "best" (as deemed by the selector) player available in the draft as a method of improving that lacking roster the most. Heck, since the lottery went into effect, only four times has the worst team "won" the selection -- shockingly the same percentage as their chances under the old system since 1995.
Wait for another Ovechkin or Crosby type player and the worst team getting hosed out of that opportunity. I can't wait for someone like the Pens to just miss the playoffs and win the draft lottery.
You could make an argument that with the parity in the league, a 9th place team may not be much better than the team that finishes 15th.
Example, us placing 9th last year and Montreal finishing 15th.
Mackinnon. Our defensive prospect pool is strong enough right now. Makinnon, Grigorenko, Girgensons sets us up down the middle for years to come. Similar to what Pittsburgh has albeit not quite the talent level. Crosby/Malkin/Suter
