.500 hockey for the balance of the season could mean playoffs
As the Senators finish off their 5th straight win, they have earned a good 7 point cusion in the hunt for a playoff birth. The team is depleated, but spirited in their quest to play each game like it is their last. Some days we get bailed out by goaltending, some days our team outplays opponents through effort and hard work.
In the past few seasons teams have been able to get into the playoffs with around 92pts in 82 games (sometimes less). If we convert that into a point-per-game ratio we would only need 28 points out of our remaining 28 games in order to make the playoffs.
All this being said I think it will be a tall task for the Senators to get enough wins, but at least due to their strong start they have a little more leeway in their ability to make the post season.
If we go on another 3-4 game winning streak soon, do you see Murray making a move early to help this team rather than trade deadline? It;s not uncommon with Bryan Murray.
I think the only moves Murray would make at the deadline are ones that would increase our team strength moving forward into the future, something like the Turris trade. In the past Murray has made short term moves to solidify our team going into the postseason, but I think it was more based on the team's mentality of "win now". I think Murray knows the organization is looking to be stronger moving forward and won't sacrifice futures for short term assets.
If the right deal comes along that helps us now, but is also a young asset that we can control then he may pull the trigger.
Funny I just looked at that earlier. I based it on 94 points and your in for an 82 game schedule. With 28 games left and 26 points in the bank they would need to win the equivalent of 14 games (28 points) + 1 more point for a total of 55 points over the 48 game schedule.
Earned points %
48 x 2 = 096 max points 55/096 =0.5729 or 57%
82 x 2 = 164 max points 94/164 =0.5732 or 57%
An extra win or 2 would be nice but it is certainly within reach now.
Not if they keep handing points to our rivals in the Atlantic and NE.
It is better to have 1 terrible division, like the SE, then have 2 good teams in it. Even if they give those points out the teams in Atlantic and NE will even out through the more divisional games they play. It then basically becomes a 10 team race for 7 spots. Take out the Islanders and Sabres, and the odds look pretty good when you consider someone in those divisional games must lose points.