HFBoards

Go Back   HFBoards > NHL Western Conference > Pacific Division > Los Angeles Kings
Notices

Score Adjusted Fenwick : Is Your Team for Real? (Kings rule)

Reply
 
Thread Tools
Old
03-01-2013, 02:41 PM
  #1
deeshamrock
Registered User
 
deeshamrock's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2011
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Posts: 2,411
vCash: 500
Score Adjusted Fenwick : Is Your Team for Real? (Kings rule)

This is an article which explains score adjusted Fenwick and how it supports that the Kings are still the best team in the League.

http://www.hockeybuzz.com/blog/Travi...Real/134/49651

Quote:
Score-Adjusted Fenwick (shot differential, adjusted for in-game score effects) -- has proven over, and over, and over to be one of the deadliest forecasters of future success/failure

What the analysis shows:

Quote:
6) LA Kings? Still the best team in hockey. Chicago's going to be a worthy challenger to the throne this year, as will a couple of other legitimate Western Conference contenders. Playoffs should be fantastic.

deeshamrock is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 02:47 PM
  #2
Gentle Ben Kenobi
That's no moon......
 
Gentle Ben Kenobi's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Tatooine
Posts: 18,814
vCash: 863
**** yeah!

Gentle Ben Kenobi is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 02:54 PM
  #3
KopitarFAN
Reno Sucks!
 
KopitarFAN's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: Lost Wages, NV
Country: United States
Posts: 9,312
vCash: 500
Every single sort of analysis like this says the Ucks are going to falter, it's just a matter of when.

KopitarFAN is online now   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 02:55 PM
  #4
Vic Vinegar
Registered User
 
Vic Vinegar's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 3,215
vCash: 500
Quote:
Originally Posted by KopitarFAN View Post
Every single sort of analysis like this says the Ucks are going to falter, it's just a matter of when.
Hopefully in the playoffs.... Against us.

Vic Vinegar is online now   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 03:00 PM
  #5
Muzzinga
Regehr GOAT
 
Muzzinga's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 7,856
vCash: 500
Kings lead in Corsi close aswell by a big chunk

Whats sick is that they have around the 5th worst pdo in the league, yet are still 4 games above .500

Muzzinga is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 03:00 PM
  #6
kingsfan
#SutterforanOscar
 
kingsfan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Manitoba, Canada
Country: Canada
Posts: 8,910
vCash: 500
Not only are we close to Chicago, but we are well ahead of any other team. By those numbers, it's Chicago, us, and the rest of the NHL.

I agree on his other point, Ottawa is going be a big watch come the playoffs if Spezza and Karlsson return. Even at 75% they upgrade that team, and Ottawa is already doing very well without them.

kingsfan is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 03:01 PM
  #7
bobafettish*
 
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 5,961
vCash: 500
i dont know what any of these numbers mean but repeat!!!!

bobafettish* is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 03:04 PM
  #8
RonSwanson*
Gadfly
 
Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Food 'N Stuff
Country: United States
Posts: 8,769
vCash: 500
Funny how the Sharks' blog is drastically different with similar numbers.

http://www.fearthefin.com/2012/1/28/...justed-fenwick

RonSwanson* is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 03:05 PM
  #9
DaAnimal
Registered User
 
DaAnimal's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Pasadena
Country: United States
Posts: 1,369
vCash: 500
nice

DaAnimal is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 03:06 PM
  #10
Reclamation Project
#1 Dustin Brown Fan
 
Reclamation Project's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2011
Posts: 17,781
vCash: 592
Yes yes yes! GKG!!!

Reclamation Project is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 03:17 PM
  #11
kingsfan
#SutterforanOscar
 
kingsfan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Manitoba, Canada
Country: Canada
Posts: 8,910
vCash: 500
Quote:
Originally Posted by RonSwanson View Post
Funny how the Sharks' blog is drastically different with similar numbers.

http://www.fearthefin.com/2012/1/28/...justed-fenwick
That article is from January 28, 2012.

kingsfan is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 03:19 PM
  #12
Buddy The Elf
Kings!
 
Buddy The Elf's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Belmont Shore
Country: United States
Posts: 9,577
vCash: 500
I just looked in my fenwick crystal ball and what did I see? The Kings winning the Stanley Cup again!

Buddy The Elf is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 03:28 PM
  #13
tsanuri
Registered User
 
tsanuri's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Grants Pass OR
Country: United States
Posts: 2,034
vCash: 500
Quote:
Originally Posted by RonSwanson View Post
Funny how the Sharks' blog is drastically different with similar numbers.

http://www.fearthefin.com/2012/1/28/...justed-fenwick
That just shows we got our act together within the last month.

tsanuri is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 03:30 PM
  #14
Whiskeypete
Registered User
 
Whiskeypete's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Location: stuck in the middle
Country: United States
Posts: 2,353
vCash: 500
this is why the games are actually played. otherwise they could just run a sim of the season in one day and wrap it all up without anyone touching a puck or stepping on the ice.

Whiskeypete is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 03:34 PM
  #15
santiclaws
Registered User
 
santiclaws's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 1,956
vCash: 500
Quote:
Originally Posted by RonSwanson View Post
Funny how the Sharks' blog is drastically different with similar numbers.

http://www.fearthefin.com/2012/1/28/...justed-fenwick
That's from a year ago.

santiclaws is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 03:36 PM
  #16
tsanuri
Registered User
 
tsanuri's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2012
Location: Grants Pass OR
Country: United States
Posts: 2,034
vCash: 500
Quote:
Originally Posted by santiclaws View Post
That's from a year ago.
I missed that in my response and just saw the 1/28.

tsanuri is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 03:39 PM
  #17
RonSwanson*
Gadfly
 
Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Food 'N Stuff
Country: United States
Posts: 8,769
vCash: 500
Quote:
Originally Posted by kingsfan View Post
That article is from January 28, 2012.
Ahhhhh, I just saw the Jan 28 date, ignored the year.

RonSwanson* is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 05:31 PM
  #18
cyclones22
3 Year Window B****!
 
cyclones22's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Ontario
Country: United States
Posts: 1,263
vCash: 500
Quote:
Originally Posted by KopitarFAN View Post
Every single sort of analysis like this says the Ucks are going to falter, it's just a matter of when.
Watching the Ducks this season was like watching the Dodgers last season. I'm a big Dodgers fan, but I knew that they were operating on smoke and mirrors early on and it was doubtful they could sustain that level of winning. I'm really not impressed with the Ducks at all. With such a short season, they've piled up enough wins early that they'll likely get in the playoffs without issues. That being said, they don't instill any kind of fear in me. They have some top end talent, but not impressed with the rest of the team depth.

cyclones22 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 05:35 PM
  #19
Catcherman
Kings fan in MN
 
Catcherman's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Becker, MN
Country: United States
Posts: 31
vCash: 500
I just looked at my Fenwick and it makes me want to go out and fish.

Catcherman is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 11:22 PM
  #20
Asheru
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jun 2011
Posts: 584
vCash: 500
Fear the Fin has run score adjusted Fenwick for all teams from the very start of the season. You can see the rank of every team as part of their weekly playoff odds post.

Here is the one from last Sunday: Week 5 Playoff Probabilities.

Fun to read every week. Kings have been #1 for a while, I think, but Vancouver has been close.

Asheru is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 11:36 PM
  #21
Rorschach
33 #nottobedenied
 
Rorschach's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Los Angeles
Country: United States
Posts: 5,990
vCash: 500
The Kings won't have a four rounds of four wins best of seven, they'll have a countdown to 16 wins.

Rorschach is online now   Reply With Quote
Old
03-01-2013, 11:49 PM
  #22
johnjm22
16,005
 
johnjm22's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Barstow, CA
Country: United States
Posts: 8,383
vCash: 500
Someone should post this on the main board.

johnjm22 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-02-2013, 09:42 AM
  #23
Model62
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 891
vCash: 500
Nerdstats never lie!

Model62 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old
03-02-2013, 11:11 AM
  #24
KINGS17
Smartest in the Room
 
KINGS17's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2006
Country: United States
Posts: 15,528
vCash: 500
Generating more scoring chances than your opponents leads to winning more games over the course of a long season, who knew?

Seriously, it is an interesting analysis and the gathering of the information to generate these numbers must not be much fun.

KINGS17 is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply

Forum Jump


Bookmarks

Thread Tools

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off



All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:26 AM.

monitoring_string = "e4251c93e2ba248d29da988d93bf5144"
Contact Us - HFBoards - Archive - Privacy Statement - Terms of Use - Advertise - Top - AdChoices

vBulletin Copyright ©2000 - 2014, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
HFBoards.com is a property of CraveOnline Media, LLC, an Evolve Media, LLC company. 2014 All Rights Reserved.