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Are playoffs still makeable?

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Old
03-28-2013, 11:42 PM
  #576
SK13
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Originally Posted by Lessy View Post
I don't buy this theory though I'm certainly in the minority. You need to play to get 2 points yourself and let everything else work itself out. The Oilers have put themselves in a position where they need help. Why would you take a chance late in the game where you could piss away a point and a chance at the bonus point because you're worried about the other team you're playing against? Tonight is a perfect example and Horcoff even said in the second intermission how they wanted to take it in regulation. Is Columbus really going to be the team standing in their way of the playoffs? It's not the end of the world if CBJ picked up a point tonight as long as the Oilers got their 2. The Oilers just need to keep getting the 2.
It's absolutely in the Oilers best interests to keep any of the seven teams fighting for two playoff spots from getting ANY points - but you're right, not at the expense of losing the points for yourself.

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03-28-2013, 11:47 PM
  #577
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San Jose up 2-0 with 5 mins left over the Wings they'll jump to 38 points.

Looks like St Louis (36) is the team the Oil are chasing 3 points back (33)

Edit: I'm predicting a loss on Saturday against the Canucks but then 2 wins back to back against the Flames which would keep the Oil right there still in the hunt.

Edit #2: with St. Louis losing 3 in a row, they're very catchable


Last edited by Powder: 03-28-2013 at 11:53 PM.
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Old
03-29-2013, 12:02 AM
  #578
nexttothemoon
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No help from the Wings as they are shutout by the Sharks.

Blues are on a little 3 game losing streak so there's a tiny window for 8th there.

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03-29-2013, 12:04 AM
  #579
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Originally Posted by Powder View Post
San Jose up 2-0 with 5 mins left over the Wings they'll jump to 38 points.

Looks like St Louis (36) is the team the Oil are chasing 3 points back (33)
In a sense, considering it was a regulation win, the Detroit/San Jose result could be favorable. With their next game against Chicago, it's very possible we could be three points back of them with a game in hand on Sunday night.

So basically, three playoff spots could be contested if the following scenario happens:

1) Edmonton beats Vancouver on Saturday (regulation, OT or SO)
2) Phoenix beats San Jose on Saturday (regulation, OT or SO)
3) Chicago beats Detroit on Sunday (in regulation).

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03-29-2013, 12:09 AM
  #580
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Originally Posted by nexttothemoon View Post
No help from the Wings as they are shutout by the Sharks.

Blues are on a little 3 game losing streak so there's a tiny window for 8th there.
pretty much have to beat out San Jose or St louis.

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03-29-2013, 12:10 AM
  #581
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And the Oil have two winnable games against the Flames next week.

They could have rolled over and died tonight but didn't. I liked they're fight back.

Edit: that LA win tonight was huge for the Oil, going to need lots of help like that the rest of the way


Last edited by Powder: 03-29-2013 at 12:15 AM.
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03-29-2013, 11:09 AM
  #582
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I know the SJ-Det game looks like it didn't exactly go in our favor. But it did keep the Wings from jumping out to an even bigger lead. I think those last three playoff spots are all up for grabs (albeit there are 8 teams in the hunt for them).

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03-29-2013, 11:14 AM
  #583
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What is ther percentage for the Oilers making the playoffs?

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Old
03-29-2013, 11:20 AM
  #584
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After looking at the WC standings, they probably look a lot like what they're going to look like at the end of the season. Can't see any of those teams dropping off enough for us to catch.

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Old
03-29-2013, 11:28 AM
  #585
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Pos. Team GP W L OTL PTS MN PTS MN W RMN PTS RMN W
1 Chicago 32 25 4 3 53 53 26.5 11 5.5
2 Anaheim 33 22 7 4 48 46 23 20 10
3 Vancouver 34 19 9 6 44 40 20 24 12
4 Minnesota 32 20 10 2 42 42 21 26 13
5 Los Angeles 33 19 12 2 40 38 19 28 14
6 Detroit 34 17 12 5 39 35 17.5 29 14.5
7 San Jose 33 16 11 6 38 36 18 30 15
8 St. Louis 33 17 14 2 36 34 17 32 16
9 Nashville 34 14 14 6 34 30 15 34 17
10 Dallas 32 15 14 3 33 33 16.5 35 17.5
11 Edmonton 33 13 13 7 33 - - - -
12 Phoenix 34 14 15 5 33 29 14.5 35 17.5
13 Columbus 34 13 14 7 33 29 14.5 35 17.5
14 Calgary 32 13 15 4 30 30 15 38 19
15 Colorado 33 11 18 4 26 24 12 42 21

MN PTS - Magic Number Points
MN W - Magic Number Wins
RMN PTS - Reverse Magic Number Points
RMN W - Reverse Magic Number Wins

Magic Number
For every point the Oilers receive or for every point that an opposition lose, their magic numbers go down. This magic number is set up to represent pure elimination, which means if the number reaches 0 the Oilers are guaranteed to finish at least 1 point ahead of the opponent so no tie breakers will be assessed. At 0.5 tie breakers apply.

Reverse Magic Number
For Every point the Oilers lose or for every point the opponents gain this number will go down. This magic number is set up to represent pure elimination, which means if the number reaches 0 the Oilers are guaranteed to finish at least 1 point below of the opponent so no tie breakers will be assessed. At 0.5 tie breakers apply.

Tie Breaker Rules

1. The fewer number of games played (i.e., superior points percentage).

2. The greater number of games won, excluding games won in the Shootout. This figure is reflected in the ROW column.

3. The greater number of points earned in games between the tied clubs. If two clubs are tied, and have not played an equal number of home games against each other, points earned in the first game played in the city that had the extra game shall not be included. If more than two clubs are tied, the higher percentage of available points earned in games among those clubs, and not including any "odd" games, shall be used to determine the standing.

4. The greater differential between goals for and against for the entire regular season. NOTE: In standings a victory in a shootout counts as one goal for, while a shootout loss counts as one goal against.

Todays Important games:
Anaheim at Chicago
Minnesota* at Dallas
Columbus at Calgary*

Chicago/Anaheim really doesn't matter, but from the other games we need a Wild win over the stars and a Flames win over Columbus. But more importantly we hope for no 3 point games.

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03-29-2013, 11:37 AM
  #586
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Originally Posted by rockinghockey View Post
What is ther percentage for the Oilers making the playoffs?
Eight per cent as of yesterday. It changes daily.

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03-29-2013, 04:19 PM
  #587
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The Edmonton Hamsters... running to stand still.

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Old
03-29-2013, 06:42 PM
  #588
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Originally Posted by MoneyGuy View Post
Eight per cent as of yesterday. It changes daily.
13.5% after last nights win.

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03-29-2013, 06:56 PM
  #589
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Hoping for a MIN win tonight against DAL and that CAL beats CBJ.

Thinking that we'd rather not let CBJ jump ahead of us and CAL can't catch us tonight.

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03-29-2013, 07:51 PM
  #590
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Originally Posted by SK13 View Post
13.5% after last nights win.
If we win tomorrow and it hits 18.8% we know we have it just from past experience

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03-29-2013, 07:54 PM
  #591
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Well I predicted a bottom 5 finish, looks like the oilers will make me wrong here.

I still don't think the playoffs will happen. (Maybe that will get them in )

If the stars align this team will get whooped first round, but I suppose it's good for playoff experience.

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03-29-2013, 07:57 PM
  #592
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Because thread is not yet buried on page 4 there still is a chance.

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03-29-2013, 08:06 PM
  #593
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Those Flames games are ours. Can't wait to play a Iggy-less Flames. Tables are about to finally turn as far as BOA's go!

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Old
03-29-2013, 08:12 PM
  #594
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With 15 games left I'm liking the schedule for the Oilers. They have 1 game against a team fighting for their playoff lives (Phoenix). 4 games against teams with no chance to make the playoffs (Calgary, Colorado). 10 games against teams that pretty much have a playoff spot locked up ( Vancouver, Minnesota, Anaheim, Chicago, LA). If this team plays with heart and intensity over these last 15 games then 7th or 8th seed should be possible.

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03-30-2013, 09:37 AM
  #595
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Of course it is possible for the Oilers to still make the playoffs if they work hard. The key right now are if any games remain against the few teams in front of them. Those games need to be won in regulation to get the two points to jump up close to tie or better with those teams. After that it is only an issue of a point or 2 than any of those teams to round out the season and the Oilers could make it in.

Regulation wins against any team ranked around 5th or lower in the standings are incredibly important to the Oilers to make sure they don't give out too many additional points to those teams

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Old
03-30-2013, 10:40 AM
  #596
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Whether or not the Oil actually make the playoffs, I really believe these meaningful games they're playing are erasing the losing culture that has followed around this team the last few years, and it's creating an attitude of playoff expectations for seasons to come.

Hopefully this little run can keep going and they continue to grow and learn about what it takes to win, night in and night out.

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Old
03-30-2013, 10:54 AM
  #597
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Quote:
Originally Posted by flashy View Post
Well I predicted a bottom 5 finish, looks like the oilers will make me wrong here.

I still don't think the playoffs will happen. (Maybe that will get them in )

If the stars align this team will get whooped first round, but I suppose it's good for playoff experience.
If we sneak into 8th then we might play Chicago in the first round. Potential nightmare matchup for them. I think we can beat Chicago or Anaheim in a 7 game series.

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03-30-2013, 11:30 PM
  #598
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Looking better

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Old
03-30-2013, 11:33 PM
  #599
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8-4-2 is my count to make the playoffs. That's not too bad but still tough road ahead.

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Old
03-30-2013, 11:33 PM
  #600
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Originally Posted by Oiltankjob 4 93 64 View Post
Looking better
Coupled with the Colorado(?) win over Nashville, a shame that game went to OT though... :/

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