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Is PDO "Random" From Game to Game?

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03-30-2013, 12:24 PM
  #1
YotesFan19
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Is PDO "Random" From Game to Game?

If, over 20 games, a team is averaging a PDO of 1030, is that team's PDO in its next game more likely to be closer to 1000 or 1030?

Edit: I'm not really sure how to explain my question, so if you want me to elaborate further, I can try.


Last edited by YotesFan19: 03-30-2013 at 01:02 PM.
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03-30-2013, 01:13 PM
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PavelDatsyuk
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More likely closer to 1000. But if you are asking if its more likely that its 1005 or 995, I would say that it is indeed more likely to be closer to 1005 than 995 (players and systems can influence PDO numbers but not significantly)

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03-30-2013, 03:00 PM
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Master_Of_Districts
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Quote:
Originally Posted by YotesFan19 View Post
If, over 20 games, a team is averaging a PDO of 1030, is that team's PDO in its next game more likely to be closer to 1000 or 1030?

Edit: I'm not really sure how to explain my question, so if you want me to elaborate further, I can try.
It all depends on what the team's true talent PDO number is - that will inform your predication about what to expect from the team going forward.

If the only information available was that the team had posted a PDO number of 1030 over 20 games, a reasonable person would assume that the team had a true talent PDO number of ~1005.

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