I see a lot of people posting hypothetical rosters lately that include Kindl and Smith each signing for around $1.5M, and I'm not sure I buy that. In Smith's case, its possible. He'll be a UFA in 3 years, so $1.5M per year for the next 2 years allows the Wings to reevaluate him while he's still a RFA. On the other hand, I can't see Kindl signing for $1.5M, unless it were a 1 year deal, which would be utterly stupid on Holland's part given that Kindl is a UFA next season and has had a solid season since becoming a regular.
I also think signing Kindl to a short-term deal is against Holland's MO.
Filppula: As a 24 year old coming off a 36 point season, he got a 5 year, $3M deal under a $56.7M cap. Kronwall: As a 26 year old coming off a 22 point season (over 68 games played), he received a 5 year, $3M deal under a $56.8M cap. Abdelkader: As a 25 year old, with a 15-20 point history over 3 years, 1.8 over 4 years.
These guys are in slightly different situations: Ericsson: As a 27 year old and 2nd year player (which, as you may recall, was comprised of a horrific season followed by, at best, a mediocre season for a 5/6 defenseman) got $3.25M over 3 years. Of course, he was an unrestricted free agent. Helm: As a 25 year old, $2.1M over 4 years. This signing IMO is relevant due to its length and Helm's age, but Helm was easily already worth $2.1M when he signed this deal.
I think a more reasonable estimate for Kindl is something like 2.25-2.5 over 3 years or 2.75-3M over 4 years.
Anything 2.75 and under is fine with me. He still needs some work on the defensive side but his offensive side is more than obvious. If 3 is what Kronwall got then anything around there (a little less hopefully but the cap did go up so....) is pretty OK I think.
Holland is going to try to sign Smith longterm, which would be 5 yrs or thereabouts-- if he and Smitty's agent can actually agree on what those years after the next 1-2 might be worth. No way would Holland prefer to go 2 yrs, have him blossom and then pay a hefty amount that soon.