This has all the makings of a loss. I think the Rangers have gained tremendous confidence from the officiating dynamics this series. They are not afraid to play too aggressively defensively or on the forecheck because they been given unilateral carte blanche to do as they please. The Caps, on the other hand, are on the league's short leash and I expect them to play tentatively, at least early on. I see this playing out with the Rangers 1-4 on the PP and the Caps 0-2. Final score 3-1 Rangers.
I want to be wrong so badly but I really believe momentum and the league are on their side.
We are going to win. We are going to have the PP advantage. We are going to win. Rangers fans will whine about the reffing after the game. We are going to win. Torts will be a huge dick in his press conference. We are going to win. Ovechkin and Backstrom will step it up. We are going to win.
vegas has been right every game this series so far and has caps slight favorite -130
although thats the down from the -140 from game 5
Vegas is just a conglomeration of people who bet. You see in Las Vegas the house just wants the bets placed as evenly as possible so they don't lose money and they charge like 10% on every bet placed. They want bets and will adjust those numbers based on how many fans bet on which team.
NY teams are always skewed since so very many of their fans will be on their team no matter what. This is the case with most large markets.
Its fair to extrapolate that the unbiased fan (degenerate gambler) believes the Caps are even greater favorites than those numbers suggest. The line is brough closer to 50/50 due to the large number of irrational thinking NY fans.
Gotta watch this in public. The smugness of the Leefz, Broonz, and Rongos fans sure to be in attendance at the bar will be just vaguely bearable. The ambient Canucks fans rooting for the Caps will probably not.