IMO there are probably three who you really can't be wrong with: Brodeur, Theodore, and Luongo. They all have numbers to make strong cases for themselves. I don't buy or get how anyone can say that one goalie "easily" should win the Vezina.
I think its a toss up between Theodore and Brodeur unless Luongo gets Florida in the playoffs. Even though his numbers are good, the stigma of a non playoff goalie I think will hurt him.
How can one argue with Cloutier? Look at his stats, no defense. He is the only reason the Canucks have won a game. He is a sure fire HOF goaltender. Cloutier>>>Roy+Brodeur+Sawchuck+Hasek Combined baby.
Brodeur will win, he has what 10 shutouts right now. And while some of them are due to team defense, at the same time holy crap.