Zac Rinaldo (2013-14 season) -- Update Apr. 7, 2014: Suspended four games
How much longer will Zac Rinaldo continue to get a pass? How much longer will he be allowed to fail as an NHL hockey player and be a liability to the team?
In just a half season of limited minutes (282 TOI), Rinaldo is a -11 and has taken 13 more penalties than he's drawn. He has 0 goals and 1 assist and ranks dead last amongst Flyers forwards in nearly every detailed metric.
+/- is not the most precise stat, but extreme outliers should not be ignored. With regular forward minutes (~12 or more minutes per game), Rinaldo is pacing below -40 when the next closest Flyers regular will not break -20. This would go along with -50 penalties taken/drawn over a full season of regular minutes (the equivalent of handing 10 excess Power Play goals to your opponent).
With Zac Rinaldo on ice 5v5, the Flyers score .73 goals per 60 and allow 3.39 (both numbers worst amongst all Flyers regulars). The Flyers have been outscored 14-3 with Rinaldo on ice 5v5, while they are just barely positive without him (95-93).
In other terms:
Without Rinaldo 5v5, the Flyers score 1.02 goals per every goal they allow. With Rinaldo, they score .21 goals per every conceded goal.
With Rinaldo: 4.67 goals allowed for every Flyers goal
Without Rinaldo: 0.98 goals allowed for every Flyers goal
Rinaldo is also last or 2nd to last among regular forwards in every Corsi%, Fenwick%, Shots%, Goals% category (total or relative) on the team and approaching Jay Rosehill levels of futility. He does all of this against below-average quality of competition.
The unsuccessful Rinaldo PK experiment is basically over (mercifully) because Raffl has superior capability and hockey IQ. Rinaldo neither provides offense, nor PKs, nor takes draws, nor defends, nor creates Power Plays. He just skates, hits, concedes goals and takes penalties. That is a net liability and it's something that should be worked out with the Phantoms, not the Flyers.
What you're left with is an undisciplined and untalented player whose 'intangibles' provide no tangible advantages to his team. Steve Downie is a far superior player in the energy role and gives you meaningful, quality minutes. Hartnell is a better agitator (drawing 50% more penalties than he takes). Replace Rinaldo with a player who belongs in the NHL and you'll lose the hits but find yourself better off with someone who plays sound hockey.
Last edited by MiamiScreamingEagles: 04-07-2014 at 05:38 PM.
I'm not going to compare them in depth statistically, but I liked Sestito more when he was here and watching him last night, I'd easily take him over Rinaldo. Rinaldo may be more "skilled" but neither will ever be skilled enough to play a shift in the top nine or play on the PK, so it's really irrelevant.
Sestito is a better fighter, has much more of an impact while only playing around five minutes a game, and has only taken six minors all year, while Rinaldo has taken 16!
Of course I'd rather have a good hockey player on the fourth line over either of those two, but compared to Rinaldo or Rosehill, I'd take Sestito all day.
I would like to see McGinn given Rinaldo spot on the 4th line, especially since it looks like one of Downie, Raffl, or Hartnell will have to play on that line when everyone is healthy. It sucks to put one of them on that line with Hall who is very limited offensively and Rinaldo who has been terrible this season. I wish Rinaldo would play as well as he did last season, but he isn't close to that at all. IMO the forward lines should be
There are a ton of fourth liners that aren't NHL caliber players. That's why they are on the fourth line.
"Everyone else is doing it too" is not a good excuse to shoot yourself in the foot. Rinaldo is performing below replacement level. Ben Holmstrom is a fringe non-prospect who could replace Rinaldo tomorrow and decrease the Flyers exposure. Not to mention dozens of players in other organizations who could be had for next to nothing. The Flyers have 11 forwards who belong on an NHL roster. No reason not to get closer to having a 12th.
Whats wrong with putting someone like Akeson on the 4th line along with Newbery. Guys that have a pedigree of scoring. Rinaldo is a fast skater supposedly, but it doesnt help his game any. It seems he's forgotten how to agitate without Talbot. And they cant trust Rinaldo or Rosehill to play more than 7 minutes most nights because he's such a liability. I thought they should have held onto Sestito. If anything he's a better Goal Scorer than Rosehill.
He's the embodiment of the type of roster inefficiency handicap this organization keeps imposing on itself. The Flyers could immediately upgrade their team talent 'for free' by replacing Rinaldo, but they choose not to. It's simply accepted as an article of faith that this "type" of player is needed on the roster and fills an "important role" when all the empirical evidence is to the contrary. We do our opponents a favor by rostering (and icing) a player of Rinaldo's ilk, and they have been exploiting our generosity. Putting Rinaldo on ice is the equivalent of giving the other team a mini Power Play (not to mention all the times it nets them a real Power Play).
exactly... he isnt Crosby.. but he is a full speed freight train, which i love seeing.
The team would be better off with someone who stays in position instead of chasing meaningless (and often costly) hits. Even though Rinaldo plays easy competition, no Flyer is more frequently scored against.
No one is asking him to be Giroux or Crosby (huh?), but there are freely available players (even within the organization) who play a game that is not complete garbage.