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2011-12 Sens Stats & 82 Games Paces

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Old
02-09-2012, 07:21 AM
  #51
tony d
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Shows you how far Michalek has fallen. Guy was on pace for 50 goals at 1 point now thatès down to 34. I wonder if he will pick it up by the end of the season.

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02-09-2012, 07:40 AM
  #52
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Originally Posted by tony d View Post
Shows you how far Michalek has fallen. Guy was on pace for 50 goals at 1 point now thatès down to 34. I wonder if he will pick it up by the end of the season.
It's not likely he scores 40 goals this year, put it that way.

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03-03-2012, 05:42 PM
  #53
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paces through 66 Games

Player GP G A P
Jason Spezza 82 34 54 88
Erik Karlsson 82 18 63 81
Daniel Alfredsson 82 27 31 58
Milan Michalek 82 36 21 57
Nick Foligno 82 16 3147
Sergei Gonchar 82 02 38 40
Colin Greening 82 14 19 33
Filip Kuba 82 06 23 29
Zack Smith 82 16 12 28
Chris Neil 82 12 16 28
Erik Condra 82 08 17 25
Kyle Turris 82 08 15 23
Matt Gilroy 82 02 20 22
Chris Phillips 82 05 16 21
Bobby Butler 82 07 11 18
Peter Regin 82 09 09 18
Jared Cowen 82 04 12 16
Stephane Da Costa 82 07 05 12
Kaspars Daugavins 82 05 07 12
Jesse Winchester 82 03 07 10
Zenon Konopka 82 03 02 05
Matt Carkner 82 01 01 02

*added gilroy
**will add o'brien after 75 or so games

Spezza has 21 points in his last 10 games
Karlsson 13 in last 6 games
Cowen is pointless in 17 games

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Old
03-03-2012, 05:50 PM
  #54
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that's kind of crazy that 4th place in the league is only on pace for 88 pts. Damn scoring is really down.

for comparision's sake, 4th in 05-06 (alfie-heatley tie) was 103 pts.
in 06-07 (heatley) it was 105 points.

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03-03-2012, 08:00 PM
  #55
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Thanks for taking over this

Turris pace doesn't make sense... he has 17 pts in 33 games with the Sens (42 pts pace), he can't have a projection of 23 pts in 82 games...

And Gilroy numbers shouldn't be there... he only played 2 games with the team. Initially, this thread was made to reflect Sens players paces WITH the team.

And well, I looked at others like Regin and Da Costa.... Again, it doesn't reflect their real pace through 82 games. Same with Michalek, he missed a few games and it says his pace is 57 pts, when in fact it should read 62 pts (that could be his pace if he didn't miss any game)

It's like saying Crosby has a 12 pts pace this year... doesn't make any sense

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03-03-2012, 08:58 PM
  #56
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Quote:
Originally Posted by danishh View Post
that's kind of crazy that 4th place in the league is only on pace for 88 pts. Damn scoring is really down.

for comparision's sake, 4th in 05-06 (alfie-heatley tie) was 103 pts.
in 06-07 (heatley) it was 105 points.
This also makes Karlsson's achievement and play THAT much better.

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03-03-2012, 09:33 PM
  #57
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Good to see turris with 2 more pts than phillips. Originally i was worried we gave up too much.

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03-04-2012, 01:09 PM
  #58
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Quote:
Originally Posted by topshelfie View Post
paces through 66 Games

Player GP G A P
Jason Spezza 82 34 54 88
Erik Karlsson 82 18 63 81
Daniel Alfredsson 82 27 31 58
Milan Michalek 82 36 21 57
Nick Foligno 82 16 3147
Sergei Gonchar 82 02 38 40
Colin Greening 82 14 19 33
Filip Kuba 82 06 23 29
Zack Smith 82 16 12 28
Chris Neil 82 12 16 28
Erik Condra 82 08 17 25
Kyle Turris 82 08 15 23
Matt Gilroy 82 02 20 22
Chris Phillips 82 05 16 21
Bobby Butler 82 07 11 18
Peter Regin 82 09 09 18
Jared Cowen 82 04 12 16
Stephane Da Costa 82 07 05 12
Kaspars Daugavins 82 05 07 12
Jesse Winchester 82 03 07 10
Zenon Konopka 82 03 02 05
Matt Carkner 82 01 01 02

*added gilroy
**will add o'brien after 75 or so games

Spezza has 21 points in his last 10 games
Karlsson 13 in last 6 games
Cowen is pointless in 17 games
How did you count Regin's stats? It should give 16g 16a 32pts.

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03-04-2012, 01:13 PM
  #59
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Also Turris's stats should be 13g 23a 36pts.....

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03-04-2012, 01:19 PM
  #60
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Regin is out for the season, his pace shouldn't matter that much, as I didn't bother looking it up. His pace would be 5-5-10 if he started playing again tonight.

i wasn't counting 'just' Turris sens stats but his stats for the whole season, which are more important to me than just his sens stats but if you want to ignore his start of the season in Phoenix then by all means do so.

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03-04-2012, 01:32 PM
  #61
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Who cares what a players season stats are? All that matters is their production with us.

Also, EK has 66 in 65 yet has a pace of 81 in 82?

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03-04-2012, 01:36 PM
  #62
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Quote:
Originally Posted by topshelfie View Post
Regin is out for the season, his pace shouldn't matter that much, as I didn't bother looking it up. His pace would be 5-5-10 if he started playing again tonight.

i wasn't counting 'just' Turris sens stats but his stats for the whole season, which are more important to me than just his sens stats but if you want to ignore his start of the season in Phoenix then by all means do so.
It doesn't matter what you are counting because your numbers are way off. He is on pace for 23 points in only 55 gp not 82.

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03-04-2012, 01:40 PM
  #63
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you can update the stats next time then

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03-04-2012, 01:40 PM
  #64
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Quote:
Originally Posted by topshelfie View Post
Regin is out for the season, his pace shouldn't matter that much, as I didn't bother looking it up. His pace would be 5-5-10 if he started playing again tonight.

i wasn't counting 'just' Turris sens stats but his stats for the whole season, which are more important to me than just his sens stats but if you want to ignore his start of the season in Phoenix then by all means do so.
The funny thing is that i did use his full season stats which are 6g 11a 17 pts in 39 games(33 with OTT and 6 with PHX) which makes 13g 23a 36 pts over a full season. I don't know how you managed to get 8g 15a....

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03-04-2012, 01:42 PM
  #65
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MattSens65 View Post
The funny thing is that i did use his full season stats which are 6g 11a 17 pts in 39 games(33 with OTT and 6 with PHX) which makes 13g 23a 36 pts over a full season. I don't know how you managed to get 8g 15a....
http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/teams/players/bio/?id=6054

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03-04-2012, 01:42 PM
  #66
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Quote:
Originally Posted by topshelfie View Post
55 GP not 82. Atleast read what you are using as a reference.

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03-04-2012, 01:48 PM
  #67
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ErikKarlsson View Post
55 GP not 82. Atleast read what you are using as a reference.
Who says I didn't read it?I'm aware it's only 55 games but we are judging performace based on 82 game seasons not 55. Geez some of you are a nitpicky bunch, you can update the thread yourselves next time if you want it done your way or aren't satisfied.

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03-04-2012, 01:53 PM
  #68
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Quote:
Originally Posted by topshelfie View Post
Who says I didn't read it?I'm aware it's only 55 games but we are judging performace based on 82 game seasons not 55. Geez some of you are a nitpicky bunch, you can update the thread yourselves next time if you want it done your way or aren't satisfied.
Then why are you using the numbers from his 55 game pace then? Turris 82 game pace is 36 points, like another poster said earlier. So why use the numbers of his 55 game pace as the numbers for his 82 game pace? I don't think its being nitpicky when you are way off on your numbers is all.

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03-04-2012, 02:07 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ErikKarlsson View Post
Then why are you using the numbers from his 55 game pace then? Turris 82 game pace is 36 points, like another poster said earlier. So why use the numbers of his 55 game pace as the numbers for his 82 game pace? I don't think its being nitpicky when you are way off on your numbers is all.
It's his pace for the entire season factoring in the games that he missed from holding out with Phoenix while still counting his performance with them this year for the few games he has played.

In the table, I didn't go through the games played and change them, I guess I figured people would look at his pace and figure out is low because of certain reasons.

So yeah, if he did play all 82 games with the sens this year he would be at a higher point total, but he didn't and that's not how i judge an entire season.

Another way of looking at it is, I'm looking at the players paces based on what already has happened this year and will happen, not just with the Sens.

What about Gilroy? He has 2 points in 3 games with us, but because he played more than %50 of his games with Tampa, I think you have to include those stats as well.

We just have a different way of looking at it.

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03-04-2012, 02:26 PM
  #70
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I always find these kinds of things silly, like posting at the beginning of the season how many pts each player is going to get than arguing with each other why one person's opinion is way off to another person's opinion. It's all speculation which doesn't mean anything or have any bearing, they are statistical possibilities which rarely ever match up.

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03-04-2012, 04:16 PM
  #71
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Quote:
Originally Posted by topshelfie View Post
It's his pace for the entire season factoring in the games that he missed from holding out with Phoenix while still counting his performance with them this year for the few games he has played.

In the table, I didn't go through the games played and change them, I guess I figured people would look at his pace and figure out is low because of certain reasons.

So yeah, if he did play all 82 games with the sens this year he would be at a higher point total, but he didn't and that's not how i judge an entire season.

Another way of looking at it is, I'm looking at the players paces based on what already has happened this year and will happen, not just with the Sens.

What about Gilroy? He has 2 points in 3 games with us, but because he played more than %50 of his games with Tampa, I think you have to include those stats as well.

We just have a different way of looking at it.
Ok I got you now, wasn't really trying to be a ****** I just really wasn't getting how you came up with that. All makes sense now though, thanks for explaining instead of taking it the wrong way.

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Old
03-04-2012, 09:45 PM
  #72
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EDIT : OK, I have updated the 1st post

AFTER 67 GAMES

Player GP G A P
Jason Spezza 82 34 54 88
Erik Karlsson 82 19 63 82
Daniel Alfredsson 82 29 34 63
Milan Michalek 82 38 23 61
Nick Foligno 82 16 32 48
Sergei Gonchar 82 03 41 44
Kyle Turris 82 14 29 43
Colin Greening 82 15 19 34
Chris Neil 82 16 18 34
Filip Kuba 82 07 26 33
Zack Smith 82 16 13 29
Erik Condra 82 09 17 26
Bobby Butler 82 09 15 24
Chris Phillips 82 05 16 21
Jesse Winchester 82 06 15 21
Stephane Da Costa 82 11 08 19
Jared Cowen 82 06 12 18
Jim O'Brien 82 12 06 18
Kaspars Daugavins 82 06 09 15
Zenon Konopka 82 05 03 08
Matt Carkner 82 03 04 07


Two + 80 pts players
Two + 60 pts players
Three + 40 pts players
Three + 30 pts players

I ain't even mad

Very happy with most players paces. Neil and Foligno are producing very well, Michalek is back to SJ form, Spezza and Karlsson are Elite, Alfie is like a good wine. Gonchar, Kuba and Phillips are providing great secondary defense scoring. Cowen's first rookie season is promising. Turris has started to breakout, hopefully he can reach anoher step next season. Greening have proved they can be good bottom-6 forwards who can chip in as well.

Only real disappointment in my books is Bobby Butler who showed some promise last year but hasn't been close to the same player this year except in a few games. Also, missing Regin and Winchester most of the season sucked, particulary defensively. They are among our best forwards defensively.

It also shows that we lack another top-6 forward who should be in the 50 pts (that would mean a lot less production from Greening but I'd take it). Spezza, Michalek, Alfredsson, Player X, Foligno, Turris

Can Silver Surfer do it?

Quote:
Originally Posted by aragorn View Post
I always find these kinds of things silly, like posting at the beginning of the season how many pts each player is going to get than arguing with each other why one person's opinion is way off to another person's opinion. It's all speculation which doesn't mean anything or have any bearing, they are statistical possibilities which rarely ever match up.
Guys... it's not complicated... It's not an opinion thing at all, it's a mathematical thing.

I would like to be able to explain it in one sentence but I'm not sure I can efficiently do that in english. I will give one example instead

The Sens have played 67 games so far this year. Let's say Spezza is injured and doesn't play another game for the remainder of the season. He would finish the season with 72 points. The question is :

What could have been his scoring based on his pace (ppg) if he had played all the 82 games?

The answer is :

82/67 = 1.22
1.22 x 72 = 88 pts


All you gotta understand is the point of my thread was to see what could be the scoring of player X in 82 games based on his scoring pace (ppg). The goal of doing this is to be able to compare players who weren't fortunate enough to play all the 82 games with players who played the full season.

I don't understand the debate about this, it's like arguing that 2 + 2 isn't = 4

If you want to create a new methodoligy with random rules, then create another thread

Now that I have said that, I have to update my thread lol


Last edited by Xspyrit: 03-04-2012 at 10:51 PM.
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Old
03-06-2012, 10:22 AM
  #73
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Winchester skated the PreGame warm up without a No Contact jersey against Chicago. Has to mean he's ready or really close.

Wonder if he gets a sniff or is he done for the season.

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04-07-2012, 07:03 PM
  #74
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FINAL BUMP!

Here's the 82 games paces (82 games projection for every player based on their PPG)

AFTER 82 GAMES

Player GP G A P
Jason Spezza 82 35 51 86
Erik Karlsson 82 19 60 79
Daniel Alfredsson 82 30 35 65
Milan Michalek 82 37 27 64
Kyle Turris 82 20 29 49
Nick Foligno 82 15 32 47
Sergei Gonchar 82 06 35 41
Colin Greening 82 17 20 37
Filip Kuba 82 07 29 36
Chris Neil 82 15 17 32
Zack Smith 82 14 12 26
Erik Condra 82 08 17 25
Bobby Butler 82 09 14 23
Jesse Winchester 82 05 15 20
Stephane Da Costa 82 11 08 19
Chris Phillips 82 05 14 19
Matt Gilroy 82 06 12 18
Jim O'Brien 82 09 09 18
Jared Cowen 82 05 12 17
Kaspars Daugavins 82 06 08 14
Rob Klinkhammer 82 00 11 11
Matt Carkner 82 03 05 08
Zenon Konopka 82 04 03 07


Greening (37) - Spezza (86) - Michalek (64)
Foligno (47) - Turris (49) - Alfredsson (65)
O'Brien (18) - Smith (26) - Neil (32)
Daugavins (14) - Winchester (20) - Condra (25)
Klinkhammer (11) - Konopka (7) - Butler (23)
Da Costa (19)

Kuba (36) - Karlsson (79)
Cowen (17) - Gonchar (41)
Phillips (19) - Gilroy (18)
Carkner (8)

Anderson
Bishop


Next year, if Silfverberg bumps Greening to the 3rd line (while bumping O'Brien to the 4th line instead of Daugavins) and Zibanejad bumps Neil to the 4th line, it will be perfect.

Silfverberg-Spezza-Michalek
Foligno-Turris-Alfredsson
Greening-Smith-Zibanejad
O'Brien-Winchester-Neil
Condra

No idea if we'll re-sign Winchester but that's the type of line-up we can hope/expect. IMO, guys like Konopka, Daugavins, Klinkhammer and even Butler won't be back

Hopefully, we add a Suter or Parise even if that looks like a pipe dream for now.


Last edited by Xspyrit: 04-07-2012 at 07:19 PM.
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04-07-2012, 07:07 PM
  #75
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Pretty solid stat lines for all our players considering where we are in the standings

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