What do you guys think the likeliness you'd be correct in your assessment of a whether or not a player can be a star player or not after they completed their post draft year, played in a full preseason and played in 9 nhl games (19 years old)
Say if you had 10 players, followed them all, do you think you would be right about the majority of them?
To put it more simply, 3 junior years pre draft, 1 full year post draft, full preseason and 9 game tryout. Should you have a pretty strong grasp on whether its likely theyll be a star, a top 40 scorer
Every player takes a different path in their own development. You can see a player's physical tools like size, skating, hands, IQ, shot etc., and weigh that against the game they play (ie. they're big but do they hit and forecheck, great shot but can they get to those areas to use it). Then there's intangibles like their urge to be the best, their work ethic, their mental and emotional capability of handling being "rich and famous." Some guy's, independent of skill set, come into the league with a great head, some need some personal failures to succeed, some need achievements and some simply won't succeed.
All of those things and probably many more factors are decisive upon their level of success and much of that info is not available to HFers. So, in short, a percentage number is really the most basic way of examining a player's ability to succeed and should truly be evaluated on an individual basis.