Go Back   HFBoards > General Hockey Discussion > By The Numbers
Mobile Hockey's Future Become a Sponsor Site Rules Support Forum vBookie Page 2

By The Numbers Hockey Analytics... the Final Frontier. Explore strange new worlds, to seek out new algorithms, to boldly go where no one has gone before.

Playoff probabilities (Sport Club Stats)

Thread Tools
01-09-2014, 03:34 PM
Bear of Bad News
Mod Supervisor
HFBoards Escape Goat
Bear of Bad News's Avatar
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Windsor
Posts: 5,520
vCash: 663
Playoff probabilities (Sport Club Stats)

This link has floated around the boards over the years, but I wanted to highlight it for those who had not yet seen it (it's a cool tool):


The site estimates the likelihood of making the playoffs (including seed) and winning the Stanley Cup. It then looks at the nightly games, showing how the probabilities change with wins and losses of the teams playing.

Bear of Bad News is offline   Reply With Quote
01-09-2014, 06:01 PM
Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: Kelowna
Country: Canada
Posts: 5,859
vCash: 500
It's a good resource, although it's been a bit messed up lately with how it's updating. When you click on conference right now, it's only updated up to last Friday even though the main page is only a day behind.

Users of the site should also keep in mind that the odds are dependent on the weighting of the importance of goal differential in a team's relative strength. The site tends to over-emphasize it sometimes to get more exciting swings in the odds. I do like though that it's taking into account strength of remaining schedule in its simulations.

Page 10 of http://www.hockeyanalytics.com/Resea...babilities.pdf has a good explanation of the formula used.

Hammer79 is offline   Reply With Quote

Forum Jump


Thread Tools

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:17 PM.

monitoring_string = "e4251c93e2ba248d29da988d93bf5144"

vBulletin Copyright ©2000 - 2017, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
HFBoards.com is a property of CraveOnline Media, LLC, an Evolve Media, LLC company. @2017 All Rights Reserved.