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2011-12 Minnesota Wild III - It doesn't matter

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Old
02-29-2012, 10:24 PM
  #1
Puhis
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2011-12 Minnesota Wild III - It doesn't matter

Proceed.


Last edited by Puhis: 03-02-2012 at 09:48 PM. Reason: More fitting title
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Old
02-29-2012, 10:31 PM
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Fel 96
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Don't forget tomorrow's game will be on FSN+.

EDIT: Wait, it's on CBC as well? Awesome.

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03-01-2012, 07:43 AM
  #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fel 96 View Post
Don't forget tomorrow's game will be on FSN+.

EDIT: Wait, it's on CBC as well? Awesome.
So I get to choose between alt-channel Dumb and Dumber and CBC's Habs coverage? Talk about a no-win...

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03-01-2012, 08:12 AM
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Wait did we get new "Trade Ideas" "Non Minnesota news" and "Minnesota Wild" threads all in the same day?


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03-01-2012, 11:58 AM
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Originally Posted by squidz View Post
So I get to choose between alt-channel Dumb and Dumber and CBC's Habs coverage? Talk about a no-win...
You might be able to get RDS...

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Old
03-01-2012, 04:42 PM
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Puck Daddy just posted a pretty sizable piece on the Wild and "regressing to the mean." We get a few indirect mentions.

What's really interesting is that, among some entirely valid statistics, there are some pretty glaring flaws. Specifically, they repeat the notion of "regressing to the mean," which suggests that we're dealing with dependent events––that the outcome of one game directly affects the next. If they're independent events, which are usually used in probability, then the odds of winning any game is always about the same, regardless of how many games we may have won in unlikely fashion before it. That means we should have gone about .450 (or whatever our Fenwick suggested) in the span after our winning streak--not that the team would lose enough games to fall to .450 in the span of the next 30 games.

It's frustrating that they use the losing streak to validate their prediction that the Wild's success wouldn't last; in fact, probabilistically this losing streak is just as unlikely as a winning streak.

Also, there's no mention of the inconvenient fact that our losing streak coincided with an improvement in our Fenwick and Corsi.


Last edited by llamapalooza: 03-01-2012 at 04:57 PM.
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Old
03-01-2012, 04:52 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tyratoku View Post
Wait did we get new "Trade Ideas" "Non Minnesota news" and "Minnesota Wild" threads all in the same day?

2 out of 3 at the very least.

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Old
03-01-2012, 05:02 PM
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And were like 50 posts away from the next OT thread.

Were rocking.

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Old
03-01-2012, 05:03 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by llamapalooza View Post
Puck Daddy just posted a pretty sizable piece on the Wild and "regressing to the mean." We get a few indirect mentions.

What's really interesting is that, among some entirely valid statistics, there are some pretty glaring flaws. Specifically, they repeat the notion of "regressing to the mean," which suggests that we're dealing with dependent events––that the outcome of one game directly affects the next. If they're independent events, which are usually used in probability, then the odds of winning any game is always about the same, regardless of how many games we may have won in unlikely fashion before it. That means we should have gone about .450 (or whatever our Fenwick suggested) in the span after our winning streak--not that the team would lose enough games to fall to .450 in the span of the next 30 games.

It's frustrating that they use the losing streak to validate their prediction that the Wild's success wouldn't last; in fact, probabilistically this losing streak is just as unlikely as a winning streak.

Also, there's no mention of the inconvenient fact that our losing streak coincided with an improvement in our Fenwick and Corsi.
Not only that, but 30 games is NOT a relatively small sample size over an 82 game season. I believe the Wild will be the first team in NHL history to not make the playoffs after leading the league so late in the season.

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03-01-2012, 05:04 PM
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Not only that, but 30 games is NOT a relatively small sample size over an 82 game season. I believe the Wild will be the first team in NHL history to not make the playoffs after leading the league so late in the season.
At least in the last 30 years.

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Old
03-01-2012, 08:43 PM
  #11
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Well, I guess the Wild will recall Hackett tomorrow.

Should be interesting considering the Wild play tomorrow night.

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Old
03-01-2012, 09:28 PM
  #12
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Tomorrows game should be interesting for a few reasons.

Not the least of which is all the messed up avatars.

At least I only have to wear mine for a week.

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03-01-2012, 09:28 PM
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Quote:
Wild GM Chuck Fletcher said it didn't look like a short-term injury for Backstrom. Very unfortunate.
http://twitter.com/#!/FriedgeHNIC/st...04178120769537

So yeah, Hackett will definitely be in Detroit tomorrow.

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Old
03-01-2012, 09:29 PM
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Also, Kassian really deserves his spot in the lineup for the next game.

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Old
03-01-2012, 09:31 PM
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So, Hackett or Harding tomorrow? Harding had over a full game tonight (60:30 TOI) so I'd be inclined to go with Hackett. Of course, I would have been going with Hackett regardless so that might not be a fair assessment.

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Old
03-01-2012, 09:31 PM
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It better damn well be Hackett.

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Old
03-01-2012, 09:34 PM
  #17
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No Lidstrom tomorrow. Wow.

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Old
03-01-2012, 09:34 PM
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No Lidstrom tomorrow. Wow.
So that means that game is suddenly winnable?

Wow.

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Old
03-01-2012, 09:35 PM
  #19
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Yeah, he has a sore ankle.

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Old
03-01-2012, 09:36 PM
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Wow, the avatars are seriously throwing me off.

At least I know the one with cluster f-bombs is Avder.

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Old
03-01-2012, 09:37 PM
  #21
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Yeah this is gonna be messed up for the next week.

In fact I think I'll put a countdown timer in my user title.

Edit: there we go. Hopefully that helps.

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Old
03-01-2012, 09:39 PM
  #22
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We need a fourth. I put the image in the other thread.

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Old
03-01-2012, 09:41 PM
  #23
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We need a fourth. I put the image in the other thread.
What the heck just happened to yours? It went all blurry.

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Old
03-01-2012, 09:43 PM
  #24
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Gotta be Harding tomorrow only because of his record vs. Detroit. After that, it's Hackett time! I really want to see how this kid can handle some pressure.

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Old
03-01-2012, 09:45 PM
  #25
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Oh yeah, the Harding's Detroit law.

I kinda forget it.

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