At least two of Shantz, Munce, Boutin, Nastiuk, Peters, Beauchemin, Dubnyk & Ellis-Plante will likely make the team.
I'd guess Shantz, Beauchemin & Dubnyk.
Well, Dubnyk wasn't even named to the Canada/Russia hockey challenge for the WHL and therefore will probably not have a chance at the WJC this year. I'd say right now, Kevin Nastiuk will have a very good chance and will more than likely make Team Canada. The kid is playing unbelievable for Med Hat right now and has won a gold for Canada at the U18 a few years back. I think his partner for this year should be a guy like Shantz or Peters, so we have at least one returning goalie for next year in Vancouver.
I don't know who is going to make the team, but it is impossible that no goalie from the Q will be there. Impossible.
All of the Q standard bearers of the past few years (Fleury, Deslauriers and Crawford) are all too old, and the crop beneath them is not as strong (Houle and Ellis-Plante are the only ones I could see worthy of an invite), so it's not all that impossible.
While Pogge probably does face more quality shots than Nastiuk, I'd still rather have Nastiuk and _____ as my goalies for the WJC this year.
Pogge imo is a better tender than Rej Beauchemin, but he's still recovering from an injured knee that caused him to miss all of the training camp and then basically the first month of the season. Since he's been back however, he's played quite well, had a couple weak games here and there...but the same can be said for Rej...he stunk up the joint when PA was in PG.....
I'd take Pogge over Rej...but Nasty or even Glass over both of them.
Peters and Shantz are both going through somewhat of a sophomore slump and I've never looked at Ryan Munce as a reliable or consistant goalie, so I wouldn't really be confident in going with one of these guys as the #1.
BTW: Anybody catch Bob Mackenzie's piece tonight? he did a segment on this exact topic. Didn't really lean towards a specific guy/s, just gave a breakdown of the situation and how wide open it is. He did say he doesn't think it will be a Quebec leaguer.