With 15 games left, I thought it would be fun (torture) to track our magic number to the playoffs. It's easy in baseball but not so in hockey. With the use of sports club stat, I think we can get a good picture.
We have 75 points and 15 games left.
Clearly the trend has been down from 94 -95 needed to make the playoffs To where now they state 92 points gets u in with a 99.5% certainty...
That makes the magic number 17.
I'll adjust this if play so warrants keeping the magic number at sportsclubstats 99.5%.
Yes I understand the any statistical flaws here, and yes I get the true magic number would be the number right now if we obtain no other team coud POSSIBLY catch us.
That's not what this is about.
So ...17 points, 8-7-1 ...1.1 points per game... CATS DON'T LET US DOWN NOW!!
With 15 games left, I thought it would be fun (torture) to track our magic number to the playoffs. It's easy in baseball but not so in hockey. With the use of sports club stat, I think we can get a good picture.
We have 75 points and 15 games left.
Clearly the trend has been down from 94 -95 needed to make the playoffs To where now they state 92 points gets u in with a 99.5% certainty...
That makes the magic number 17.
I'll adjust this if play so warrants keeping the magic number at sportsclubstats 99.5%.
Yes I understand the any statistical flaws here, and yes I get the true magic number would be the number right now if we obtain no other team coud POSSIBLY catch us.
That's not what this is about.
So ...17 points, 8-7-1 ...1.1 points per game... CATS DON'T LET US DOWN NOW!!
The Red Sox Collapse of 2011 to be repeated at a BAC near you ....
Im more worried about Buffalo and Winnipeg than I am Washington. I want to division because it makes ending the drought that much more special but all that matters is making the playoffs. I think we're a little to early to be doing magic numbers man. Your going to give fellow Panther fans anxiety attacks the entire stretch to the last game.
Im more worried about Buffalo and Winnipeg than I am Washington. I want to division because it makes ending the drought that much more special but all that matters is making the playoffs. I think we're a little to early to be doing magic numbers man. Your going to give fellow Panther fans anxiety attacks the entire stretch to the last game.
It's a baseball thing for sure, not for everyone...
Obviously getting to the playoffs no matter how is the goal. But I'm definitely shooting for the division. We've been in 1st all this time, it would sting to lose it.
AG what is your comfort zone? Mine is 92. Do you want 93-94?
Every season I start with 94, historically a number that gets you in 99.999999% of the time.
As a season winds down, you can tweek it. A few weeks ago, i adjusted it to 93, which is why i have my percieved magic number to 5 more wins, where the reality is that would make it almost impossible for pegs or buff to catch us. They would have to go 8-1-1.
92 pts gives you 99% chance of playoffs and 75% of winning SE
93pts gives you 100%% chance of playoffs and 85% of winning SE
Hey I think 6 wins is a mathematical clinch as 96 is all buff can get to if we win out.
Who has more ROW's??
But I still will bet 4 more wins does it.
I think 5-5-0 will get the division title at 95 pts almost guaranteed. Wash have 9 gms, I don't see them getting more than 15 out of 18 possible. In fact 4-6-0 might do it.
Having said that, no point thinking that way. They're on a roll, awesome time to peak and go into playoffs with home ice and major momentum. Shoot for 100pts.
Every bad karma gets broken some time. Indians have forgiven by now. Their ancestors like good hockey.
