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The sports club stat magic number thread.

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Old
03-21-2012, 04:40 AM
  #26
pb1300
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99.3% is SO close to 100%, but until we get that X or Y next to our name, we still need to win every point available.

Funny AG, again I want to make a comment about our opponents coming up, but I stop myself short. I just get this nasty feeling in my stomach when I try finishing a sentence During the Buffalo game, I had to get up and put my ipad on my washing machine, because that is where it was during the first three games of the homestand, and I left it there last night as well I know, being a Panther fan since 93 has really F#$@!D with my head.

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Old
03-21-2012, 05:35 AM
  #27
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Originally Posted by pb1300 View Post
99.3% is SO close to 100%, but until we get that X or Y next to our name, we still need to win every point available.

Funny AG, again I want to make a comment about our opponents coming up, but I stop myself short. I just get this nasty feeling in my stomach when I try finishing a sentence During the Buffalo game, I had to get up and put my ipad on my washing machine, because that is where it was during the first three games of the homestand, and I left it there last night as well I know, being a Panther fan since 93 has really F#$@!D with my head.
LOL I was at the Buffalo game and during the shootout I had my drink on the floor next to my seat. I picked it up when Buffalo was going for the win in the 3rd round expecting them to score and me to leave. They missed so for the rest of the shootout I put my drink on the floor for the Panthers shot and held it in my hand for the Buffalo shot. Man it's pathetic being a fan sometimes

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Old
03-21-2012, 06:49 AM
  #28
adam graves
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Originally Posted by pb1300 View Post
99.3% is SO close to 100%, but until we get that X or Y next to our name, we still need to win every point available.

Funny AG, again I want to make a comment about our opponents coming up, but I stop myself short. I just get this nasty feeling in my stomach when I try finishing a sentence During the Buffalo game, I had to get up and put my ipad on my washing machine, because that is where it was during the first three games of the homestand, and I left it there last night as well I know, being a Panther fan since 93 has really F#$@!D with my head.
..PB.we all feel the same....that why there's no "who do you want to face in the playoffs" thread...it's just part of being a panther fan, waiting for the proverbial other shoe to drop. 15 yrs of leaving that arena with van murph and caftan and my son in a walk of shame will end soon.

So our real magic number is 6 wins, my perceived is 4. Let's just count them down each game ..

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Old
03-21-2012, 08:46 AM
  #29
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Originally Posted by KWGoon View Post
I think 5-5-0 will get the division title at 95 pts almost guaranteed. Wash have 9 gms, I don't see them getting more than 15 out of 18 possible. In fact 4-6-0 might do it.

Having said that, no point thinking that way. They're on a roll, awesome time to peak and go into playoffs with home ice and major momentum. Shoot for 100pts.

Every bad karma gets broken some time. Indians have forgiven by now. Their ancestors like good hockey.
Epic.

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Old
03-22-2012, 08:45 AM
  #30
adam graves
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Florida Panthers Playoff Chances
Lost to Carolina 1-3, playoff odds down 1 to 98.3%
85 points * 36 24-13

Thursday
Win OT SO Win OT SO
Philadelphia 0.3 (0.20) -0.0 (-0.01) -0.0 (-0.01) Washington -0.3 (-0.28) -0.3 (-0.28) -0.3 (-0.28)

Oh of course root against Boston!

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03-22-2012, 09:10 AM
  #31
adam graves
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What remains from our competitors below:

Current Standings:
OTT 74 GP 84 pts
WAS 73 GP 80 pts
BUF 74 GP 80 pts
WPG 73 GP 76 pts
CAR 74 GP 75 pts

Remaining schedules:
OTT: @ MON, v PIT, @ WPG, @ PHI, @ NYI*, v CAR, v BOS, @NJD^
WAS: @ PHI, v WPG, v MIN*, v BUF, @ BOS, v MON*, @ TAM^, v FLA, @ NYR^
BUF: @ NYR, v MIN, @ WAS, v PIT*, @ TOR, v TOR, @ PHI^, @ BOS^
WPG: @ WAS, @ NSH, v OTT, v NYR*, @ CAR, @ TAM, @ FLA, @ NYI^, v TAM
CAR: @ CLS, @ DET, @ TOR, v WPG, v NJD, @ OTT, v MON*, @ FLA

Bold=2nd game of Back to back
*= opponent is playing 2nd game of back to back
^=opponent's last home game.

Full disclosure I lifted this from the main boards.


Last edited by adam graves: 03-22-2012 at 09:18 AM.
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Old
03-22-2012, 02:08 PM
  #32
adam graves
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Damn newspaper stole my thread lol!!!!

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/sports/f...4180.htmlstory

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03-22-2012, 02:37 PM
  #33
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Damn newspaper stole my thread lol!!!!

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/sports/f...4180.htmlstory
I find that imitation is the most sincere form of flattery.

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Old
03-22-2012, 02:49 PM
  #34
adam graves
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I find that imitation is the most sincere form of flattery.
LOL, thats ok goldie stole my 6 in 5... its all good.

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Old
03-22-2012, 08:47 PM
  #35
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Magic number is now 13 points to win division.

Subtract each point the panthers earn, and each points the caps DON'T.

ie caps OTL tonight so magic number diminished from 14 to 13.

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Old
03-22-2012, 11:10 PM
  #36
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Originally Posted by adam graves View Post
Magic number is now 13 points to win division.

Subtract each point the panthers earn, and each points the caps DON'T.

ie caps OTL tonight so magic number diminished from 14 to 13.
Wait a minute. Caps have 8 gms = max 16 pts. We are 4 pts ahead. Do caps own tiebreaker? If so, 13 is absolute worst case. But Caps are not going to go 8-0-0, probabilistically speaking. 5-2-1 is more likely = 11 pts. So realistically we need maybe 8 pts to clinch division. We have 9 gms = max 18 pts.

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Old
03-23-2012, 12:40 AM
  #37
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Originally Posted by adam graves View Post
Magic number is now 13 points to win division.

Subtract each point the panthers earn, and each points the caps DON'T.

ie caps OTL tonight so magic number diminished from 14 to 13.
Looking at it slightly differently .. If the Caps win out, that's 97 pts. Not likely, but it means we win 6 1/2 (yes, same magic number) and we're in with a divisional banner. So 6-1-1 or 5-0-3 and we got it. Likely case is 4 wins in 9 games and its a date with NJ as the SE division champs.

At absolute worst, Buffalo is at 80pts with 8 left. 96 total if they win out means we need 11pts to absolute clinch if they win everything out. That's at WORST 5-2-2 to kill the tiebreak.

I've started making my plans for driving down for the PLAYOFFS?!?! *my best Jim Mora voice*

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03-23-2012, 12:54 AM
  #38
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If this team does not make the playoffs at this point, it would be a choke of epic proportions.

The odds, the schedule. There are no excuses at this point. I think I'd be literally depressed for a couple of days if we're not playing in the second season. At this point, I'd kinda be disappointed if we don't win the division.

9 games...9 strong games. That is all we need. Can't believe the season is almost over. Let's Go Panthers!

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Old
03-23-2012, 04:26 AM
  #39
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LOL, thats ok goldie stole my 6 in 5... its all good.
And you stole it from........ MIKE KEENAN!

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03-23-2012, 04:27 AM
  #40
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If this team does not make the playoffs at this point, it would be a choke of epic proportions.

The odds, the schedule. There are no excuses at this point. I think I'd be literally depressed for a couple of days if we're not playing in the second season. At this point, I'd kinda be disappointed if we don't win the division.

9 games...9 strong games. That is all we need. Can't believe the season is almost over. Let's Go Panthers!
It would be like the Red-Sox last year. Absolutely no excuse not to make it.

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03-23-2012, 06:23 AM
  #41
adam graves
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And you stole it from........ MIKE KEENAN!
True that !!! ( credit given tho in post 1)

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Old
03-23-2012, 06:26 AM
  #42
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Originally Posted by KWGoon View Post
Wait a minute. Caps have 8 gms = max 16 pts. We are 4 pts ahead. Do caps own tiebreaker? If so, 13 is absolute worst case. But Caps are not going to go 8-0-0, probabilistically speaking. 5-2-1 is more likely = 11 pts. So realistically we need maybe 8 pts to clinch division. We have 9 gms = max 18 pts.
Sounds like we agree!

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03-23-2012, 06:27 AM
  #43
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Originally Posted by Desert Panther View Post
Looking at it slightly differently .. If the Caps win out, that's 97 pts. Not likely, but it means we win 6 1/2 (yes, same magic number) and we're in with a divisional banner. So 6-1-1 or 5-0-3 and we got it. Likely case is 4 wins in 9 games and its a date with NJ as the SE division champs.

At absolute worst, Buffalo is at 80pts with 8 left. 96 total if they win out means we need 11pts to absolute clinch if they win everything out. That's at WORST 5-2-2 to kill the tiebreak.

I've started making my plans for driving down for the PLAYOFFS?!?! *my best Jim Mora voice*
I say 12 to clinch because I thought we lose the buff tiebreak correct me someone thx.

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03-23-2012, 10:06 AM
  #44
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7th -8th pl updated Current Standings:
OTT 74 GP 84 pts 32 ROW
WAS 74 GP 81 pts 35 ROW
BUF 74 GP 80 pts 28 ROW
WPG 73 GP 76 pts 30 ROW
CAR 74 GP 75 pts 30 ROW

OTT: @ MON, v PIT, @ WPG, @ PHI, @ NYI*, v CAR, v BOS, @NJD^
WAS: v WPG, v MIN*, v BUF, @ BOS, v MON*, @ TAM^, v FLA, @ NYR^
BUF: @ NYR, v MIN, @ WAS, v PIT*, @ TOR, v TOR, @ PHI^, @ BOS^
WPG: @ WAS, @ NSH, v OTT, v NYR*, @ CAR, @ TAM, @ FLA, @ NYI^, v TAM
CAR: @ CLS, @ DET, @ TOR, v WPG, v NJD, @ OTT, v MON*, @ FLA

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03-23-2012, 12:21 PM
  #45
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I just can't see how this team does not make the playoffs and I'll be absolutely furious if they don't win the division at this point. With the schedule that we have ahead for the rest of the way, it almost can't get any easier. if you look at the stats on sportsclubstats.com, it seems unless we win or lose almost every game remaining, we're very likely facing the Devils in the 1st round, which I am very satisfied with compared to other matchups.

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03-23-2012, 01:36 PM
  #46
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Originally Posted by adam graves View Post
Damn newspaper stole my thread lol!!!!

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/sports/f...4180.htmlstory
Linky no worky ... Someone have a cached version?

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Old
03-23-2012, 01:38 PM
  #47
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I say 12 to clinch because I thought we lose the buff tiebreak correct me someone thx.
That's why I put 5-2-2 ... I wasn't positive on the tiebreak.

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Old
03-23-2012, 01:39 PM
  #48
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9 games...9 strong games. That is all we need. Can't believe the season is almost over. Let's Go Panthers!
It's only begining ... for once!!

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Old
03-23-2012, 02:17 PM
  #49
adam graves
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9 games...9 strong games. That is all we need. Can't believe the season is almost beginning. Let's Go Panthers!
Fixed!!!

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Old
03-23-2012, 02:26 PM
  #50
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Originally Posted by pb1300 View Post
99.3% is SO close to 100%, but until we get that X or Y next to our name, we still need to win every point available.

Funny AG, again I want to make a comment about our opponents coming up, but I stop myself short. I just get this nasty feeling in my stomach when I try finishing a sentence During the Buffalo game, I had to get up and put my ipad on my washing machine, because that is where it was during the first three games of the homestand, and I left it there last night as well I know, being a Panther fan since 93 has really F#$@!D with my head.
I stop watching the games when the Panthers start losing. If they start winning I continue to not watch. During the 5 game winning streak, I missed every game. I started watching the Carolina game and we lost.

I change my shirt between periods (if possible) if we are down as well.

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