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The magical fourth season: Myth or Reality?

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Old
03-16-2012, 04:37 PM
  #1
Slashers98
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The magical fourth season: Myth or Reality?

The magical fourth season: Myth or Reality? http://wp.me/p17Rp0-8YC

Discuss!

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Old
03-16-2012, 04:39 PM
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Brent Burns
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1. Rookie year
2. Sophomore slump
3. Getting back on the horse
4. "Now I finally get it"

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Old
03-16-2012, 04:44 PM
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Slashers98
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Brent Burns View Post
1. Rookie year
2. Sophomore slump
3. Getting back on the horse
4. "Now I finally get it"
haha, I like it!

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Old
03-16-2012, 05:36 PM
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Elever
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Sophomore slumps don't happen all that much now tbh. I see them happening for a few dmen who are given more responsibility and their play suffers but they haven't actually regressed or anything.

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03-16-2012, 05:42 PM
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The Great Dame
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Quote:
Originally Posted by QuietCompany View Post
Sophomore slumps don't happen all that much now tbh. I see them happening for a few dmen who are given more responsibility and their play suffers but they haven't actually regressed or anything.
Just ask Mattias Tedenby.

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Old
03-16-2012, 06:09 PM
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Who's having a sophomore slump? Paajarvi, maybe Omark, Gabner, Bickell, and maybe Tedenby. Ennis' point totals are gonna be a lot less but that's because of how bad BUffalo was at the beginning and his injuries...he's been their best or 2nd best forward lately.

Not really a lot there especially because Omark/Paajarvi/Bickell/Tedenby didn't do anything special last season to begin with. And Omark/Bickell aren't exactly good hockey players.

Which players have had a 4th season breakout is what I'd be more interested in. Maybe Simmonds to some extent and you can say Giroux but he had his breakout last year. Maybe Perron if you exclude last season when he was injured.

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Old
03-16-2012, 06:36 PM
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Paajarvi, Omark, Grabner, Bickell, and Tedenby are good examples of sophomore slumps!

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03-16-2012, 06:38 PM
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John Carlson got hit with the slump in a big way.

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Old
03-16-2012, 06:42 PM
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Lucic and Neely are prime examples of year 4.

Neely had a career high of 39pts in his first 3 years. Year 4 = 36 G and 72 PTS.

Lucic had a career high of 42 PTS in his 1st 3 years. Year 4 = 30 G and 62 PTS.

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Old
03-16-2012, 07:05 PM
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ponder
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Kulemin is a major exception to this rule, serious regression in year 4. However, I definitely think there's something to this, most forwards do seem to break out around their 4th season in the league.

Interestingly, most rookies (those aged 18-21 when they enter the league) must sign 3 year entry-level contracts. If most forwards break out in year 4, then these forwards have not yet broken out when they become RFAs, so they don't get paid that highly. If entry-level contracts were 4 years, maybe we'd see higher RFA salaries? 3 years seems like the ideal entry-level contract length from the POV of the owners - any shorter and you're not maximizing the amount of time you get the player for cheap, but any longer and you have to pay more for a player who has really broken out. There's potentially some very smart thinking by the owners here!


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Old
03-16-2012, 07:43 PM
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Zach Parise followed this concept perfectly. His 4th season in the league has been his best. He didn't have the sophomore slump though.

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Old
03-16-2012, 07:53 PM
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This depends. Is the 4th year a contract year? (which also depends on how many seasons were spent in the AHL, how long the 2nd contract was, etc.)

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03-16-2012, 08:57 PM
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Didn't read article, but as far as sophomore slumps go: Kevin Shattenkirk has never heard of them.

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Old
03-16-2012, 08:59 PM
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This is Stamkos' fourth season... But I certainly wouldn't say he slumped in his sophomore season...

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Old
03-16-2012, 10:46 PM
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This is Giroux's fourth season. Though he did have a good year last year, just not like this.

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Old
03-17-2012, 11:45 AM
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Slashers98
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JinzoBlaze View Post
This is Giroux's fourth season. Though he did have a good year last year, just not like this.
Giroux had a 29-point increase last season, so we can fairly conclude that he got his offensive outburst during his third year.

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