The Wild are just as close to 3rd as they are to 9th. Win tomorrow night, and the division title is still within reach.
Which means it's as unlikely for them to win the division as it is for them to miss the playoffs. 4pts is a very large gap with so few games remaining. I guess the only thing making it MORE likely is the fact that it's a 2 team race... where as 9th in the same range involves 4 teams. VERY UNLIKELY the Wild miss the playoffs, only slightly unlikely they win the division.
Originally Posted by Sportsfan1
let's clinch first then we will worry about seeding.
Keep in mind, the biggest reason the Wild will be hard pressed to win the division... no games vs the Canucks remain. They have a shot at the 4th seed because they have a game against both teams ahead of them for that spot.
Canucks schedule remaining...
@ Stars - likely win
vs Red Wings - likely win
vs Blackhawks - likely loss
vs Ducks - toss up
@ Oilers - likely win
Wild remaining schedule
@ San Jose - toss up
vs Calgary - likely win
vs Los Angeles - toss up
vs Edmonton - likely win
@ Colorado - likely win
Both teams with 3 likely wins, Vancouver with 1 likely loss and one toss up... Wild with two toss ups.
Unless the Wild win both toss ups and Vancouver loses their games with Chicago and Anaheim while both following suit on the others... that's the only chance the Wild have. Win the division by tie-breaker.
Ask yourself... what are the chances the Wild win out the last 5 games? That's ultimately what is realistically needed to win the division.
You think Columbus and Detroit are going to win out?
I posted last night, the Wild clinch with just 3 regulation wins as it stands right now. That's already 99% likely looking at the schedule, and even more likely considering there's no way two of Dallas, Detroit and Columbus will win out meaning it's more likely less than 3 regulation wins is required.
I'm not optimistic about tonight at San Jose or Los Angeles next week, but they should win the Edmonton game and probably Calgary as well. Maybe Colorado will finally run out of steam when we close the season against them.
Don't even need to be regulation wins, just 6 points and we clinch. If Dallas wins out, neither Columbus or Detroit can, because Dallas has games against both. Columbus would be behind us anyway, because at best they can tie our ROW and we've got more points out of regular season match-ups. So if both Detroit and Columbus win the rest of their games, only Detroit could get ahead.
Columbus is capable of winning out I think. Capable. Unlikely to. Neither of the other two are capable of winning out, however. Honestly I think of those three, Columbus makes it. First playoff since 1990 without Detroit.