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2013 Minnesota Wild News And Notes II

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Old
04-18-2013, 12:29 AM
  #776
J22
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The Wild are just as close to 3rd as they are to 9th. Win tomorrow night, and the division title is still within reach.

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04-18-2013, 12:30 AM
  #777
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Hrm... my post got lost in that merge...

As I mentioned, I wouldn't mind a matchup vs the Ducks. The Wild clearly outplayed them the last two games they played but the Ducks ended up stealing the games late etc...

Vancouver is absolutely the best matchup for the Wild though, they matchup VERY well vs that team right now.

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04-18-2013, 12:31 AM
  #778
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let's clinch first then we will worry about seeding.

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04-18-2013, 12:32 AM
  #779
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Quote:
Originally Posted by J22 View Post
The Wild are just as close to 3rd as they are to 9th. Win tomorrow night, and the division title is still within reach.
Which means it's as unlikely for them to win the division as it is for them to miss the playoffs. 4pts is a very large gap with so few games remaining. I guess the only thing making it MORE likely is the fact that it's a 2 team race... where as 9th in the same range involves 4 teams. VERY UNLIKELY the Wild miss the playoffs, only slightly unlikely they win the division.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportsfan1 View Post
let's clinch first then we will worry about seeding.
Don't be afraid!

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04-18-2013, 12:37 AM
  #780
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Keep in mind, the biggest reason the Wild will be hard pressed to win the division... no games vs the Canucks remain. They have a shot at the 4th seed because they have a game against both teams ahead of them for that spot.

Canucks schedule remaining...

@ Stars - likely win
vs Red Wings - likely win
vs Blackhawks - likely loss
vs Ducks - toss up
@ Oilers - likely win

Wild remaining schedule

@ San Jose - toss up
vs Calgary - likely win
vs Los Angeles - toss up
vs Edmonton - likely win
@ Colorado - likely win

Both teams with 3 likely wins, Vancouver with 1 likely loss and one toss up... Wild with two toss ups.

Unless the Wild win both toss ups and Vancouver loses their games with Chicago and Anaheim while both following suit on the others... that's the only chance the Wild have. Win the division by tie-breaker.

Ask yourself... what are the chances the Wild win out the last 5 games? That's ultimately what is realistically needed to win the division.


Last edited by TaLoN: 04-18-2013 at 12:52 AM.
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04-18-2013, 02:12 AM
  #781
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Quote:
Originally Posted by J22 View Post
The Wild are just as close to 3rd as they are to 9th. Win tomorrow night, and the division title is still within reach.
Yes but.... good teams have more of a tendency to keep playing well, and worse teams have a tendency to continue to play up to that standard.

Keep in mind I said thats the tendency. Obviously not the rule.

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04-18-2013, 03:02 AM
  #782
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I'll relax once we've actually clinched.

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Old
04-18-2013, 03:23 AM
  #783
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I'll relax once we've actually clinched.
Well as long as we don't clench, we should clinch, hehe

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Old
04-18-2013, 04:26 AM
  #784
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Yeo must have been clenching, while watching his team struggle to clinch a win late in the game against the Oilers.

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04-18-2013, 04:45 AM
  #785
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NHL1674 View Post
Yeo must have been clenching, while watching his team struggle to clinch a win late in the game against the Oilers.
I think you mean against the Flames... the Oilers game was never in doubt.

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04-18-2013, 05:04 AM
  #786
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TaLoN View Post
I think you mean against the Flames... the Oilers game was never in doubt.
While the final result was never in doubt, that shouldn't give Yeo a pass. Come playoffs, we won't be scoring five goals a game. We can't afford to keep giving up two goals late in the game.

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04-18-2013, 07:50 AM
  #787
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I don't know if you guys are interested, but here's the link to the top Wild scorers per 60 minutes 5v5.

http://www.behindthenet.ca/nhl_stati...+5+17+18+19+20

It's a pretty good site, you can check 5v4 and 4v5 statisicts, as well as Qual Comp, Corsi etc.

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04-18-2013, 09:05 AM
  #788
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Projected Standings and Stats
RankTeamGPPtsProjPythMagicG/GRankGA/GRankS/GRankPP%RankPK%Rank
1CHICAGO427080.079.8In3.172nd1.981st31.25th15.420th86.14th
2ANAHEIM436067.066.5In2.817th2.448th27.423rd21.27th80.122nd
3VANCOUVER435561.461.5In2.6514th2.284th28.119th15.024th84.28th
4LOS ANGELES435359.259.512.799th2.407th30.310th20.39th82.711th
5SAN JOSE435359.258.712.3526th2.336th31.84th19.112th86.14th
6ST LOUIS425057.157.022.5717th2.4812th27.922nd19.410th84.37th
7MINNESOTA435156.956.822.5618th2.4913th28.418th18.314th82.711th
8COLUMBUS444953.553.332.3625th2.469th26.329th12.430th83.99th
9DETROIT434752.552.742.4621st2.469th29.712th17.616th80.721st
10DALLAS424551.451.352.7610th2.9824th26.428th17.217th81.615th
11PHOENIX424349.149.662.5519th2.6216th30.59th14.526th82.413th
12EDMONTON423944.645.0Out2.4820th2.7920th27.026th22.34th83.310th
13CALGARY433842.442.5Out2.7013th3.3529th27.324th19.410th80.918th
14NASHVILLE443841.541.7Out2.2330th2.6618th26.030th17.019th76.928th
15COLORADO433539.139.2Out2.3724th3.0927th29.613th14.327th80.918th

Still project MN in 7th but Columbus over Detroit for the 8th seed now.

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04-18-2013, 09:07 AM
  #789
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jarick View Post
Projected Standings and Stats
RankTeamGPPtsProjPythMagicG/GRankGA/GRankS/GRankPP%RankPK%Rank
1CHICAGO427080.079.8In3.172nd1.981st31.25th15.420th86.14th
2ANAHEIM436067.066.5In2.817th2.448th27.423rd21.27th80.122nd
3VANCOUVER435561.461.5In2.6514th2.284th28.119th15.024th84.28th
4LOS ANGELES435359.259.512.799th2.407th30.310th20.39th82.711th
5SAN JOSE435359.258.712.3526th2.336th31.84th19.112th86.14th
6ST LOUIS425057.157.022.5717th2.4812th27.922nd19.410th84.37th
7MINNESOTA435156.956.822.5618th2.4913th28.418th18.314th82.711th
8COLUMBUS444953.553.332.3625th2.469th26.329th12.430th83.99th
9DETROIT434752.552.742.4621st2.469th29.712th17.616th80.721st
10DALLAS424551.451.352.7610th2.9824th26.428th17.217th81.615th
11PHOENIX424349.149.662.5519th2.6216th30.59th14.526th82.413th
12EDMONTON423944.645.0Out2.4820th2.7920th27.026th22.34th83.310th
13CALGARY433842.442.5Out2.7013th3.3529th27.324th19.410th80.918th
14NASHVILLE443841.541.7Out2.2330th2.6618th26.030th17.019th76.928th
15COLORADO433539.139.2Out2.3724th3.0927th29.613th14.327th80.918th

Still project MN in 7th but Columbus over Detroit for the 8th seed now.
So, based on your Magic Number...if the Wild win tonight, you have them down as 'In'?

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Old
04-18-2013, 09:10 AM
  #790
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Those are wins, not points, sorry.

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04-18-2013, 10:12 AM
  #791
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So just double the numbers in that column. Problem solved.

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Old
04-18-2013, 10:33 AM
  #792
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its terrific that we control our destiny, 2 wins should put us in! tonight i will be drinking & clenching while watching on the edge of my seat. GO WILD!

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04-18-2013, 11:30 AM
  #793
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Here's a version with points:

Projected Standings and Stats
RankTeamGPPtsProjPythMagicG/GRankGA/GRankS/GRankPP%RankPK%Rank
1CHICAGO427080.079.8In3.172nd1.981st31.25th15.420th86.14th
2ANAHEIM436067.066.5In2.817th2.448th27.423rd21.27th80.122nd
3VANCOUVER435561.461.5In2.6514th2.284th28.119th15.024th84.28th
4LOS ANGELES435359.259.512.799th2.407th30.310th20.39th82.711th
5SAN JOSE435359.258.712.3526th2.336th31.84th19.112th86.14th
6ST LOUIS425057.157.042.5717th2.4812th27.922nd19.410th84.37th
7MINNESOTA435156.956.832.5618th2.4913th28.418th18.314th82.711th
8COLUMBUS444953.553.352.3625th2.469th26.329th12.430th83.99th
9DETROIT434752.552.772.4621st2.469th29.712th17.616th80.721st
10DALLAS424551.451.392.7610th2.9824th26.428th17.217th81.615th
11PHOENIX424349.149.6112.5519th2.6216th30.59th14.526th82.413th
12EDMONTON423944.645.0Out2.4820th2.7920th27.026th22.34th83.310th
13CALGARY433842.442.5Out2.7013th3.3529th27.324th19.410th80.918th
14NASHVILLE443841.541.7Out2.2330th2.6618th26.030th17.019th76.928th
15COLORADO433539.139.2Out2.3724th3.0927th29.613th14.327th80.918th

STL is over MN yet has more points to clench because they have a game in hand and a slightly better record and goal differential. Really both teams are neck and neck.

You can also see the other teams and how likely/unlikely they are to make it:

Phoenix: 5-0-1
Dallas: 4-1-1
Detroit: 3-1-1
Columbus: 2-1-1
St Louis: 2-4-0
Minnesota: 1-3-1
San Jose: 0-4-1
Los Angeles: 0-4-1

You can see how big those two wins were, because without Wild would have to go 3-1-1 to make the playoffs vs 1-3-1.

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04-18-2013, 12:18 PM
  #794
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Wild need 5-6 points for the playoffs to be very likely(99%). If we get more then we are in without question.

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04-18-2013, 12:49 PM
  #795
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You think Columbus and Detroit are going to win out?

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04-18-2013, 01:07 PM
  #796
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jarick View Post
You think Columbus and Detroit are going to win out?
I posted last night, the Wild clinch with just 3 regulation wins as it stands right now. That's already 99% likely looking at the schedule, and even more likely considering there's no way two of Dallas, Detroit and Columbus will win out meaning it's more likely less than 3 regulation wins is required.

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04-18-2013, 01:30 PM
  #797
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I'm not optimistic about tonight at San Jose or Los Angeles next week, but they should win the Edmonton game and probably Calgary as well. Maybe Colorado will finally run out of steam when we close the season against them.

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04-18-2013, 01:40 PM
  #798
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Don't even need to be regulation wins, just 6 points and we clinch. If Dallas wins out, neither Columbus or Detroit can, because Dallas has games against both. Columbus would be behind us anyway, because at best they can tie our ROW and we've got more points out of regular season match-ups. So if both Detroit and Columbus win the rest of their games, only Detroit could get ahead.

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04-18-2013, 01:53 PM
  #799
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Technically yeah but I doubt that those teams will win out so six points likely won't be necessary.

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04-18-2013, 08:28 PM
  #800
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Columbus is capable of winning out I think. Capable. Unlikely to. Neither of the other two are capable of winning out, however. Honestly I think of those three, Columbus makes it. First playoff since 1990 without Detroit.

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