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Will the Blues make the Playoffs?

View Poll Results: Will the Blues Make the Playoffs?
Yes: Division Winner 1 1.85%
Yes: 4th Seed 11 20.37%
Yes: 5th Seed 10 18.52%
Yes: 6th Seed 14 25.93%
Yes: 7th Seed 10 18.52%
Yes: 8th Seed 1 1.85%
No 7 12.96%
Voters: 54. You may not vote on this poll

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Old
03-03-2013, 06:39 PM
  #1
Twisted Blue
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Will the Blues make the Playoffs?

Blues have gone 5-7-2 over the last 14 games and face the Kings, Coyotes, Sharks, and Ducks to round out this road trip. There is no question they need to play better to make the playoffs, but how much better? Assuming that the 8th seed will need around 56 pts (ratio of average # of pts 8th seed to make playoffs over last ten years, 58% of total points) the Blues need to get 32 out of the final 54 points available. Will the Blues be able to turn things around? My heart says yes, but the window is quickly closing as this team desperately needs points on this road trip and they won't be easy to get.

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Old
03-03-2013, 07:11 PM
  #2
bluemandan
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Yes. Read this article from Travis Yost:

http://www.hockeybuzz.com/blog.php?p...4#.UTP0VzfwGuI

Will it be a battle? Yes. Will the Blues finish in fourth in the West? Doubtful. Will they make the playoffs? Likely.

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Old
03-03-2013, 07:23 PM
  #3
Yoko Ono
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Barely then out in the first round adding to the frustration of being a Blues fan.

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Old
03-03-2013, 07:31 PM
  #4
Twisted Blue
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bluemandan View Post
Yes. Read this article from Travis Yost:

http://www.hockeybuzz.com/blog.php?p...4#.UTP0VzfwGuI

Will it be a battle? Yes. Will the Blues finish in fourth in the West? Doubtful. Will they make the playoffs? Likely.
Great article. Sabremetrics can provide some useful insight, and I agree with the point that a 48 game season allows for a greater fluctuation of results than an 82 game season. The Blues players need to embrace the fact that their season is in jeopardy and play with more urgency. Another losing streak at this point could easily put the playoffs out of reach because they would have to play far better than they are capable and hope for some luck.

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Old
03-03-2013, 07:35 PM
  #5
The Note
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Yeah, but I don't see them doing much in the playoffs. Win a round then out again (I thought they'd make it to the WCF and be close in that series eventually losing before the season.)

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Old
03-03-2013, 07:43 PM
  #6
bluemandan
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Twisted Blue View Post
Great article. Sabremetrics can provide some useful insight, and I agree with the point that a 48 game season allows for a greater fluctuation of results than an 82 game season. The Blues players need to embrace the fact that their season is in jeopardy and play with more urgency. Another losing streak at this point could easily put the playoffs out of reach because they would have to play far better than they are capable and hope for some luck.
Last year really sold me on this way of looking at teams compared to one another early in the season.

Minnesota got off to that great start, and was leading the West for quite some time. But the sabremetricians were calling for them to fall back to the pack well before they did.

Another way to look is simply at goal differentials.

Everything is a bit out of whack this season though with the condensed schedule and the lack of training camp.

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Old
03-03-2013, 09:12 PM
  #7
Daley Tarasenkshow
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jeez, everyone is so negative.

Once our second line returns, Halak gets in stride, and we get off the west coast, we will be set to go.

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Old
03-03-2013, 09:37 PM
  #8
Sushiko
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Don't mean to be negative either, but I think they will be out in the first round too. If they make it to the 2nd, it'll be barely and once to the 2nd it'll be a swift exit, much like last year.

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Old
03-03-2013, 10:57 PM
  #9
MattyMo35
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There's not a doubt in my mind that we make the playoffs. I don't know what we'll do once we're in, but we'll get in.

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03-03-2013, 11:09 PM
  #10
Mike Liut
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Just get in the playoffs and peak at the right time and everything will be OK

Sincerely,
LA Kings

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Old
03-04-2013, 01:31 AM
  #11
Bruv
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This board is quite negative, some of you need to chill out

Yes, I do think they will make the playoffs.. the Blues are too good to not make the playoffs and have much more talent than most teams that will likely make the playoffs as well

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Old
03-04-2013, 05:55 AM
  #12
JustOneB4IDie
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I still belive the Blues will make the playoffs, but it's highly unlikly they advance past the 1st round the way they are playing right now.

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Old
03-04-2013, 07:28 AM
  #13
Bruv
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I laugh at everyone who says "oh they wen't make it past the first round with how they're playing"

It's a slump. Anyone see the Kings last year? Exactly.

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03-04-2013, 08:24 AM
  #14
Sushiko
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True, but just because the Kings did it, doesn't mean the Blues will.
Maybe some of us are just realists.
Or we're just used to it?

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Old
03-04-2013, 08:43 AM
  #15
Frenzy1
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Twisted Blue View Post
Blues have gone 5-7-2 over the last 14 games and face the Kings, Coyotes, Sharks, and Ducks to round out this road trip. There is no question they need to play better to make the playoffs, but how much better? Assuming that the 8th seed will need around 56 pts (ratio of average # of pts 8th seed to make playoffs over last ten years, 58% of total points) the Blues need to get 32 out of the final 54 points available. Will the Blues be able to turn things around? My heart says yes, but the window is quickly closing as this team desperately needs points on this road trip and they won't be easy to get.
Guys. 6 of those losses were with Elliott starting and he gave up 24 goals. Chill out please.

I would rather peak in April then march. Last year we peaked early.

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Old
03-04-2013, 08:57 AM
  #16
shifting
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We will make the playoffs. At that point if Halak gets hot, we can go far. Its that simple. The regular season this year will be more meaningful than most in the fact that it is shortened. I think the last two weeks will have some pretty compelling games. Particularly Philadelphia, games against the Rangers, Devils, Bruins, Canes, Sens.
In the west the Sharks have LA twice, Phoenix twice and the Stars.

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Old
03-04-2013, 09:00 AM
  #17
bleedblue1223
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2nd in the division, 5th in the conference, yep it's over, might as well pack it in and go for MacKinnon.

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Old
03-04-2013, 09:34 AM
  #18
CarvinSigX
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Of course not. They DID lose the last game they played. Blow it up!

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03-04-2013, 09:51 AM
  #19
PerryTurnbullfan
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike Liut View Post
Just get in the playoffs and peak at the right time and everything will be OK

Sincerely,
LA Kings
spoken like true royalty.... I just asked that the players start getting ticked off 3 games before the end of the season and play like they mean it. Don't settle for good enough, but plan to be better and outplay, outperform, outshoot, and outscore. Kings did....They won! Footprint to follow.

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Old
03-04-2013, 10:07 AM
  #20
GrandPapillon
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I posted this in another thread, but the doom and gloom here makes this a fit here as well I think

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
10 Facts

1. The Blues right now are 11-8-2.

2. If the playoffs started today, they would be in.

3. They are the only other team in the Central besides Chicago
obviously) to have a winning record over their last 10 games.

4. Brian Elliott has a 3.63GAA and a .850 save percentage

5. Brian Elliott's record is 3-6-1

6. That means the Blues record in games started by "not Brian Elliott" is 8-2-1.

7. Halak is healthy now...

8. The Blues have a decent prospect pool to work from and have plenty of draft picks this year.

9. At past trade deadlines, UFAs-to-be usually go for some combination of picks and prospects to contending teams that need to fill some holes.

10. There will be a Trade Deadline this season in less than a month.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I hope you and others here can use those facts and draw some conclusions with perspective. The Blues without Elliott stinking up the place in goal, have largely won at a rate they were expected to win. Their record over the last 10 games doesn't really appear as if the team is in a free fall which would necessitate an immediate trade to save the season. Why not see how the team continues playing in front of Halak for the next month, and then see what is out there at the Deadline when the Blues have plenty of "deadline currency."

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Old
03-04-2013, 10:51 AM
  #21
CarvinSigX
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And...The Blues have an entire scoring line out. The team is fine. Does it need some tweaks? Of course, but we all knew that. We're still looking at a team with a brilliant future. All of our aging pieces are realistically replaceable. Even when Backes's play drops with age, Berglund will be in his prime. The defense is young, aside from Jackman, and it's not like the prospect cupboard is empty. This team is two pieces away from being VERY good...Even when they're not playing as hard as they can. It'll give them the room to step it up come playoff time.

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03-04-2013, 11:01 AM
  #22
bishop12
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Of course they will. Chicken littles

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Old
03-04-2013, 11:14 AM
  #23
Mike Liut
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Yesterday's game was without these 5 players
Halak
AMac
Steen
Tarasenko
Cole

With those 5 players, the game is a different outcome.

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03-04-2013, 11:16 AM
  #24
Izzy
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Only have two losses when Elliott isn't playing. Halak is now healthy, and Allen has earned a spot playing if he needs to be used. Stop being so negative.

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03-04-2013, 11:21 AM
  #25
Multimoodia
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mike Liut View Post
Yesterday's game was without these 5 players
Halak
AMac
Steen
Tarasenko
Cole

With those 5 players, the game is a different outcome.
Likely only lose 3-2 then?

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