CAR's max is 64 points. WPG's max is 62 points. NYI's max is 61 points.

So for magic number purposes, CAR is leading their division and WPG is the team we count as the magic number team.

So we need 63 points to beat WPG's 62. We have 49 now. 14 points is the magic number.

Never really get how these things work. It's not possible for Carolina to finish with 64 points and Winnipeg to finish with 62 points because they play each other. If Carolina got 64, the most Winnipeg could get is 61. If Winnipeg got 62, the most Carolina could get is 63. Obviously the more teams play each other the more that will be the case. The Islanders play Carolina, NYR and twice against Philly and Winnipeg. How is that taken into account?

Pace: Habs .721, NYR: .515.
So we get .721*2 per game and NYR loose .485*2 per game.

So 14 = n * (.721 + .485) * 2 or n=7/1.206
n = 5.8
So in 6 games = April 11th against Buffalo

or can also use NJD (assuming a team will outpace the NYR)
7/(.721+.442)= 7/1.163 = 6.01 games

Edit:
I assume that 14 more points puts us in PO for sure...
Edit-2:
14 points seems good: we are 14 points ahead with 14 games to play.
Edit-3:
Using NJD means 18 as a magic number...
so 9/1.163 = 7.738 = 8
So between 6 to 8 games...

"Clinching" implies mathematical clinch. It means you can litterally lose every game until season end, and everybody under you can win all their games, and you'll still make the playoffs.

At this point, I doubt anyone doubts the Habs will make the PO anyway.

"Clinching" implies mathematical clinch. It means you can litterally lose every game until season end, and everybody under you can win all their games, and you'll still make the playoffs.

Hence my use of the word "pretty much" gets us in. Anyways 1 more point gives us a 93.3% chance of getting into the playoffs. Finishing 0-13-0 still leaves us with a 53.8% chance.

Hence my use of the word "pretty much" gets us in. Anyways 1 more point gives us a 93.3% chance of getting into the playoffs. Finishing 0-13-0 still leaves us with a 53.8% chance.

Yeah, I never got this whole 'magic number' concept. We're basically talking about something that is highly improbable (i.e. the habs needing 62 points to make the playoffs). And by highly improbable, we're talking about something that would happen once every 1 000 000 years.

Based on previous seasons and on current pace, something like 53 or 54 points should get you in the playoffs with 99.99999% certainty. Hence, with 1 or 2 more wins, habs will, in all likelihood clinch it.

Just relax guys, no need to calculate magic numbers. Habs are in.

In probabilities we're a lock, but not mathematically.

Just nice to know, they might get around 10 games where they can put the foot off the accelerator and mend some wounds.

Lol...math says we made it already.
Habs can go 0 wins 12 loss 1ot loss and still make playoffs ..as pointed out ,we could go 0 and 13 and still make it.....habs are already in,only thing left now is how high we finish.

Lol...math says we made it already.
Habs can go 0 wins 12 loss 1ot loss and still make playoffs ..as pointed out ,we could go 0 and 13 and still make it.....habs are already in,only thing left now is how high we finish.

You mean "still potentially make the playoffs"

It'll depend on the performances of the teams at that level. Our fate will be out of our hands. Let's avoid that, shall we?

Lol...math says we made it already.
Habs can go 0 wins 12 loss 1ot loss and still make playoffs ..as pointed out ,we could go 0 and 13 and still make it.....habs are already in,only thing left now is how high we finish.

yes but Math also said that the habs can miss the playoff and finish dead last
Mathematically speaking.

Habs lose it all --> 51 pts
Florida (right now 15th) Wins it all --> 52 pts

Here is the magic number that at 100% of all possibilities, the habs make the playoffs

That means that the Habs need 11pts to officially make the playoffs

Well, again, this is waaaaayyyy too much of a 'worst-case scenario' to be even remotely realistic. 2 or 3 wins and we're in with a 99.99999% probability, which is usually more than enough.

The concept of the magic number is much more suited for teams in positions 6-12 when there's between 5 and 10 games left. In that case you can really assume that your magic number is actually required to make the playoffs.

Of course, the habs have been in that situation for more than a decade, so we've developed this habit of calculating magic numbers. But this year??

2nd place team at the 3/4 mark --> don't waste your time calculating, this team is in.

Well, again, this is waaaaayyyy too much of a 'worst-case scenario' to be even remotely realistic. 2 or 3 wins and we're in with a 99.99999% probability, which is usually more than enough.

The concept of the magic number is much more suited for teams in positions 6-12 when there's between 5 and 10 games left. In that case you can really assume that your magic number is actually required to make the playoffs.

Of course, the habs have been in that situation for more than a decade, so we've developed this habit of calculating magic numbers. But this year??

2nd place team at the 3/4 mark --> don't waste your time calculating, this team is in.

I know this team is in. I can easily say that the will get the home ice advantage for round 1