Ovechkin is the only one who might reach 1400 points from the current list of active NHLers. None of the Swedes are closer, or were more prolific than Sundin, So the answer in my mind is a RESOUNDING no.
Look at how snipers age, and I thinks that it is more likely that Backstrom gets to 1400 points than AO. The smart playmaker types typically stay productive much later in their careers.
I think 1400 points is a huge bar to cross in today NHL. Need to combine crazy skills, longevity and health which is a tough combination.
Selanne was considered a sniper, and he aged just fine. At least since he got his knees operated. AO could easily do the same kind of transition to a playmaker.
"Could" make that transition? Sure - it's possible, but if you expand the sample size to bigger than one guy, you find that most snipers tend not to "age" as well as playmakers do historically. Sure - there are outliers, and some guys with really high hockey IQ's are able to transition their games, but that's not AO to me. I wouldn't want to count on winning the Powerball because someone did it last week. And I realize that's a big stretch analogy wise - but look at what happened to a guy like Peter Bondra.
I'm a big AO fan, but I think that the way the game is currently played makes it very unlikely that any current player makes it to 1400 points.
Kinda a silly question. Only 19 players have scored 1400+ points; you need a generational talent combined with extraordinary health and good luck to not get cheap-shot injured.
Just my $.02 - but the big difference is the way the game is played currently compared to the 80-90's. While all amazing players, I wouldn't consider Ron Francis, Mark Recchi, Doug Gilmour, or Dale Hawerchuk to be generational talents. They were lucky enough to play in a period of time when scoring was much higher. If their careers were starting right now, there is likely no way that they'd make it to 1400 points (possible exception - Francis).
They would likely need a few 100+ point seasons in the next few years to cover for declining point totals later (which they are capable of doing).
H. Sedin is at 792. Lets say over the next 8 years he gets the following totals:
That is 630, which brings him to 1422.
But it is still very close and absolutely depends on him producing near Art Ross numbers for the next couple of years, and being a PPG player until he is 36. Plus one major injury could really make things tough--especially if in the prime years where he needs to build up those high totals.
You're saying Hank will be a top 5 scorer in the league for 4-5 consecutive years? Don't know about that.