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hototogisu's 2 Round Mock Draft (with justifications!)

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06-28-2013, 09:57 AM
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hototogisu's 2 Round Mock Draft (with justifications!)

Thoughts/discussion/criticism welcome.

Round 1

1. Colorado Avalanche – C Nathan MacKinnon
The Avs weren’t bluffing, and MacKinnon is the best player in the draft. Easy choice.

2. Florida Panthers – D Seth Jones
The Panthers would rather MacKinnon, but settle for the best defenseman in the draft by far.

3. Tampa Bay Lightning – LW Jonathan Drouin
One French-Canadian star exits (Lecavalier) and another one enters. I don’t believe the departure of Vinny will turn them away from Drouin into taking a center. Too much skill to pass up on.

4. Nashville Predators – C Aleksandr Barkov Jr.
Put simply, the Preds don’t have anyone near Barkov’s caliber down the middle and he’s ready to contribute immediately.

5. Carolina Hurricanes – C Sean Monahan
Monahan has drawn a lot of comparisons to Hurricanes’ franchise player Eric Staal. He’s the best center on the board and they’re hurting for a stud of his caliber in their system.

6. Calgary Flames – RW Valeri Nichushkin
The Flames know their fans need something to get excited about and swing for the fences. Nichushkin is a risk like all Russians, but he has legitimate star potential.

7. Edmonton Oilers – C Elias Lindholm
The Oilers need D, but Lindholm is BPA. Combined with Renney’s comments about seeking to add a centre through the draft, this just fits…whether it’s the right choice or not remains to be seen.

8. Buffalo Sabres – D Darnell Nurse
After shoring up their forward depth with the additions of Grigorenko, Larsson, Girgensons and Armia, the Sabres add the 2nd best defenseman in the draft.

9. New Jersey Devils – LW Hunter Shinkaruk
The Devils kept this pick and will be forfeiting next year’s in the Kovalchuk contract fiasco. They won’t risk it on a goalie and D is pretty solid – instead they’ll maximize its value with Shinkaruk’s gritty, skill game.

10. Dallas Stars – C Max Domi
The Stars have solidified their defense by picking up Joe Morrow at the deadline – now they look to boost a decent but unspectacular forward group with a dynamic offensive talent in Domi.

11. Philadelphia Flyers – D Samuel Morin
The monstrous (6’7”) Morin already has the defense the Flyers need and the temper they love, and he showed a surprise explosion of offense upon returning from injury.

12. Phoenix Coyotes – C Curtis Lazar
Lazar fits the mold of a Coyotes forward to a tee – exceptionally hard worker who won’t always get on the scoresheet but will play a responsible, tireless game.

13. Winnipeg Jets – D Nikita Zadorov
The Jets don’t have many riches in their prospect pool but defense is the thinnest. Zadorov is a rare breed - massive, can skate, and isn’t shy to jump in on the rush.

14. Columbus Blue Jackets – RW Anthony Mantha
Mantha is huge and scored 50 goals – but there are serious questions about his willingness to pay the price in the NHL. A team with multiple first rounders will take a chance on him because the package is too intriguing to pass on.

15. New York Islanders – G Zach Fucale
The Isles have added pretty good depth in the forward and defense positions, but goaltending continues to be touch-and-go (as it has been since, say, 2000). Fucale gives them a legitimate 1A option in the pipeline.

16. Buffalo Sabres – LW Kerby Rychel
The Sabres have added a lot of skill, but grit has been harder to come by. With Rychel they get a potential power forward who plays mean and can put the puck in the net (40 times last year, to be exact).

17. Ottawa Senators – C Bo Horvat
Horvat won’t replace Daniel Alfredsson, but they share similar traits – underrated skill, ability to lead and a burning desire to win. A character guy to complement a lot of the skill Ottawa has drafted recently.

18. Detroit Red Wings – C Alexander Wennberg
The Wings’ first round drafting recently can be described as…conservative. The smallish, skilled Wennberg is in contrast to that, and he’s from the country where the Wings have gotten so much success from in the past.

19. Columbus Blue Jackets – D Rasmus Ristolainen
Ristolainen’s limited offensive upside will keep him from going higher but his skill set is hard to pass on here – big, tough defensively and a solid puck-mover.

20. San Jose Sharks – D Josh Morrissey
The Sharks don’t have much to look forward to on the back end so they grab Morrissey, a heady puck-mover who skates well and can help out the PP.

21. Toronto Maple Leafs – LW Adam Erne
Erne fits the bill of a lot of recent Leafs draft picks – big-bodied who can play a physical game when he wants to, and has a good amount of skill. He won’t drive the boat, but he’ll be a good complementary winger.

22. Calgary Flames – D Ryan Pulock
Pulock is a solid, good skating defenseman with the hardest shot in the draft. He’s a bit of a ‘boom or bust’ pick but, like Nichushkin, could pay huge dividends.

23. Washington Capitals – C Frederik Gauthier
Things are thin for the Caps’ prospect pool, especially down the middle. The enormous Gauthier might only top out as a 3rd line center, but he’s a solid bet to make it to the show sooner or later.

24. Vancouver Canucks – D Mirco Mueller
The Canucks could use the help on D. Mueller is a tall, smooth-skating defenseman who won’t be a big point producer but will play a solid two-way game.

25. Montreal Canadiens – C Laurent Dauphin
The Canadiens head back into their own backyard for a player with a smart, high intensity level who could play on any of their top 9 lines.

26. Anaheim Ducks – RW Ryan Hartman
Hartman isn’t the biggest but he competes like no tomorrow and can put up decent numbers too.

27. Columbus Blue Jackets – C Jacob de la Rose
With big swings on their first 2 picks the Jackets settle down slightly and go with de la Rose – the offense won’t blow you away but he’s an exceptionally smart player who will be a steady fixture on a 2nd or 3rd line.

28. Calgary Flames – LW Valentin Zykov
The Flames go all in an effort to add potential stars to their forwards and defense in this draft. Zykov scored 40 goals as a rookie in the Q, and doesn’t shy away from the rough stuff.

29. Dallas Stars – D Chris Bigras
There’s nothing flashy about Bigras, but he goes out and gets the job done as a solid two-way presence.

30. Chicago Blackhawks – RW Michael McCarron
The Hawks have never been shy about using early picks on big, moderately skilled forwards – sometimes it works (Bickell) and sometimes it doesn’t (Beach), but they’ll be back at the well again this year.


Round 2:

31. Florida Panthers – LW Morgan Klimchuk
Klimchuk is a speedy winger who had a good showing at the U18’s and is arguably the best winger left on the board.

32. Colorado Avalanche – D Ian McCoshen
McCoshen is a good skating, all-around two-way defenseman who won’t hesitate to get his nose dirty.

33. Tampa Bay Lightning – D Steven Santini
The Bolts had added good offensive depth, especially with the addition of Drouin. Santini is a rock on the back-end and another guy who had a strong U18 showing.

34. Montreal Canadiens – D Tommy Vannelli
The Canadiens have turned to Minnesota high school before and they do it again with the big, mobile, and unspectacular Vannelli.

35. Carolina Hurricanes – LW Andre Burakowsky
The Canes have rolled the dice before on skilled Swedes in the second round (Viktor Rask) and they take arguably the best forward still on the board.

36. Montreal Canadiens – LW Emile Poirier
With Poirier the Canadiens pick up a hard-working player with a good mix of size and skill.

37. Edmonton Oilers – G Tristan Jarry
The Oilers don’t have much in the way of goaltending prospects and to grab a good one from their own backyard makes plenty of sense.

38. Buffalo Sabres – LW J.T. Compher
The Sabres are thrilled to find the hard-working, clutch Compher still on the board this late in the draft.

39. New Jersey Devils – G Philippe Desrosiers
Desrosiers has the potential to be as good as any keeper in the draft. The Devils are still searching for an elite G prospect and might have finally landed one.

40. Dallas Stars – C John Hayden
The Stars have never been shy about adding size, especially in round two, and Hayden gives them another big forward in the mold of Benn and Chiasson.

41. Philadelphia Flyers – RW Zach Nastasiuk
It’s hard to imagine the Flyers not liking Nastasiuk’s gritty, in-your-face game.

42. Phoenix Coyotes – D Robert Hagg
The Coyotes look to bolster an already deep, Swede-heavy blueline with the addition of the steady Hagg.

43. Winnipeg Jets – C Nicholas Petan
The Jets go in the complete other direction of their first pick and take a forward who oozes skill but doesn’t have the size to go with it.

44. Columbus Blue Jackets – D Shea Theodore
They already picked up Ristolainen to man the D zone, now they take arguably the best powerplay defenseman in the draft in Theodore.

45. Anaheim Ducks – C Jason Dickinson
The Ducks look to add size and skill in Dickinson, hoping he grows into the power forward game that Getzlaf and Perry have made so immediately associable with the Ducks’ identity.

46. Minnesota Wild – LW Artturi Lehkonen
The Wild have mined Finland for plenty of success in the past, and do so again with the fearless, offensively-charged Lehkonen.

47. St. Louis Blues – C Connor Hurley
Hurley may not have high-end potential but he’s a cerebral forward who could pay off long-term if the Blues are patient.

48. Detroit Red Wings – D Jan Kostalek
The Wings scoop up another big, rangy defenseman from the Q. He doesn’t have Ouellette’s offensive upside but he’s a capable two-way guy.

49. San Jose Sharks – D Dillon Heatherington
Heatherington provides size and toughness on the back-end and his composure makes him an even more attractive asset.

50. San Jose Sharks – C Jimmy Lodge
Lodge has a big frame and some big skills to match, and he could be a force if he grows into a power forward game.

51. Toronto Maple Leafs – D Madison Bowey
Bowey is everything the Leafs like on the back-end – an ability to move the puck and work the PP and chip in with some physicality.

52. Buffalo Sabres – C William Carrier
After filling other needs with their first 3 picks the Sabres turn to the offensive end of the spectrum and take an underrated skill player in Carrier.

53. Washington Capitals – LW Pavel Buchnevich
The Capitals are one of the few teams still willing to roll the dice on Russians playing in Russia, and Buchnevich would help fill the gaping hole in their prospect pool after the Filip Forsberg trade.

54. Dallas Stars – D Brett Pesce
Pesce is another solid, unspectacular, two-way defenseman that the Stars can count on to fill out their blueline in a few years’ time.

55. Montreal Canadiens – RW Justin Bailey
Bailey has some question marks but he’s a big body up front and brings an edge the Habs can use. They also get a player they kept a real close eye on at their prospect camp.

56. Edmonton Oilers – D Jonathan-Ismael Diaby
The Oilers aren’t shy about reaching for toughness and size, and Diaby is that, in addition to providing a dimension the Oilers are sorely lacking in their system.

57. Los Angeles Kings – G Eric Comrie
After letting ex-2nd round goalie prospect Christopher Gibson walk, the Kings try again with a skilled goalie who isn’t without his question marks.

58. San Jose Sharks – C Marko Dano
Dano is on the small side but uber-skilled, and could make an exciting tandem with first rounder Tomas Hertl down the road.

59. Winnipeg Jets – D Eric Roy
Roy is big if not physical and can move the puck competently. He should be able to bolster any team’s blueline in a few years.

60. Boston Bruins – LW Adam Tambellini
Tambellini is a highly-skilled, extremely speedy winger who would excel surrounded by other behemoths in Boston’s forward group.

61. Winnipeg Jets – RW Nick Baptiste
Baptiste is a speedy winger with an intriguing frame who needs to work on his consistency. With the last pick in the second round, it’s a risk the Jets can afford.


Last edited by hototogisu: 06-28-2013 at 01:43 PM.
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Old
06-28-2013, 10:05 AM
  #2
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Habs would take Zykov at 25 over Dauphin, who will probably be there at 34 or 36 for the Habs

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06-28-2013, 10:21 AM
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Isles could use Fucale but if Ristolainen is still on the board I think Garth goes BPA and takes him. Really don't think we'd tunnel vision in on a goalie and ignore Ristolainen's potential. Hamonic/Reinhart/Ristolainen would make the Islanders a pain to play against for the next decade.

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06-28-2013, 10:25 AM
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Originally Posted by NoahH57 View Post
Habs would take Zykov at 25 over Dauphin, who will probably be there at 34 or 36 for the Habs
I have a hunch the Habs like Dauphin (and probably some other guys...Hartman and Poirier were two others I considered for them at 25) more than Zykov. That's all it is though, a hunch.

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Isles could use Fucale but if Ristolainen is still on the board I think Garth goes BPA and takes him. Really don't think we'd tunnel vision in on a goalie and ignore Ristolainen's potential. Hamonic/Reinhart/Ristolainen would make the Islanders a pain to play against for the next decade.
Fair point. Thinking purely in terms of BPA (and as hard as it is to judge two players who play different positions) I don't think there's a world of separate between Ristolainen and Fucale though. But then again I have a higher opinion of Fucale and a lower opinion of Ristolainen than most...

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06-28-2013, 10:52 AM
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I think the Sabres would pick Horvat at 16 if he was still there.

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06-28-2013, 11:13 AM
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I think the Sabres would pick Horvat at 16 if he was still there.
I could see that too. Both Horvat and the guy I have them picking (Rychel) offer a pretty unique dimension to their current prospect pool.

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06-28-2013, 12:06 PM
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Updated the OP to include Round 2.

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06-28-2013, 12:26 PM
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I'd be pissed if the Stars passed on Petan twice. Bigras, Pesce, and Hayden are not the boom/bust picks I feel like we need at this point, nor do we need anymore LHD.

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06-28-2013, 12:50 PM
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No to Mueller. I'd take Zykov easily over him.

The Canucks have more than enough "solid all-round guys" both on the roster and in our prospect system.

We need either a high-upside forward or PMD. I'd even take Theodore over Mueller.

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06-28-2013, 12:56 PM
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No to Mueller. I'd take Zykov easily over him.

The Canucks have more than enough "solid all-round guys" both on the roster and in our prospect system.

We need either a high-upside forward or PMD. I'd even take Theodore over Mueller.
Yep agreed.

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06-28-2013, 12:58 PM
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I'd be pissed if the Stars passed on Petan twice. Bigras, Pesce, and Hayden are not the boom/bust picks I feel like we need at this point, nor do we need anymore LHD.
Boy I can never win with you Stars fans...I drafted for you guys in the Habs board mock and got ripped apart there too

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No to Mueller. I'd take Zykov easily over him.

The Canucks have more than enough "solid all-round guys" both on the roster and in our prospect system.

We need either a high-upside forward or PMD. I'd even take Theodore over Mueller.
Mueller's a very good PMD...of course, Theodore is too, but Mueller's the safer bet IMO. I feel like Theodore might be little more than a PP specialist which is why I dropped him.

I also went with a D over a forward as the Canucks just spent first round picks on forwards like Gaunce, Jensen and Schroeder. Thought it would make more sense to diversify things a little bit.

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06-28-2013, 01:16 PM
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45. Anaheim Ducks C Jason Dickinson
The Ducks look to add size and skill in Dickinson, hoping he grows into the power forward game that Getzlaf and Perry have made so immediately associable with the Ducks identity.

46. Minnesota Wild LW Artturi Lehkonen
The Ducks have mined Finland for plenty of success in the past, and do so again with the fearless, offensively-charged Lehkonen.
So, we're getting that pick from the Wild? Wouldn't mind it, nor would I mind Lehkonen there... Back-to-back picks are always fun.

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06-28-2013, 01:43 PM
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So, we're getting that pick from the Wild? Wouldn't mind it, nor would I mind Lehkonen there... Back-to-back picks are always fun.
Oops...well in my defense, both teams have had success with Finns

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06-28-2013, 01:49 PM
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Oops...well in my defense, both teams have had success with Finns
Oh, no defense needed. (That's what Kevin Lowe said.) We gladly share that kind of success with the Wild. But we could need another Finnish pick sometime to not not annoy our Finns too much with all our more recent Swedish picks...

I always enjoy seeing Vannelli relatively high up there. I had no idea about this draft when we had that Moderator's draft, and when I read up on things and came across him, everything sounded pretty good, and really too good for not being considered a 2nd rounder in most rankings or mocks at the time. He feels like a bit of my discovery to me now, and I hope he'll do well.

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06-28-2013, 02:41 PM
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Oh, no defense needed. (That's what Kevin Lowe said.) We gladly share that kind of success with the Wild. But we could need another Finnish pick sometime to not not annoy our Finns too much with all our more recent Swedish picks...

I always enjoy seeing Vannelli relatively high up there. I had no idea about this draft when we had that Moderator's draft, and when I read up on things and came across him, everything sounded pretty good, and really too good for not being considered a 2nd rounder in most rankings or mocks at the time. He feels like a bit of my discovery to me now, and I hope he'll do well.
I think he's a guy that could go higher than a lot of people have him ranked.

I have no inside scoop or anything that Montreal even likes him, he just seems like the kind of guy we'd draft. I know most Hab fans aren't too high on him though.

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06-28-2013, 03:13 PM
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If you think the Sharks have nothing to look forward to on defense, try checking out our team. We had 6 defensemen 25 or younger play on the roster this year, which doesn't include Brent Burns. Both members of our shut-down pairing in the playoffs were 25 years old. Never mind several strong young defensemen playing in the AHL who could see time this year.

It's in the forward department that the Sharks have little to look forward to. Beyond Couture, Hertl, and hopefully Matt Nieto, there's little in the way of top-6 players. I like the Dano and Lodge picks a lot, and I don't mind the Heatherington pick, but taking a defenseman in the first round just won't happen. From every corner, people are saying the Sharks will pick a forward in the first round. I like Morrissey a lot, but with players like Zykov (my first choice there), Burakovsky, Klimchuk, even Erne, Dauphin, Poirier on the board, picking D would be a horrendous blunder. I'm MUCH more concerned with replacing Thornton and Marleau than I am replacing Boyle.

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06-28-2013, 03:31 PM
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If you think the Sharks have nothing to look forward to on defense, try checking out our team. We had 6 defensemen 25 or younger play on the roster this year, which doesn't include Brent Burns. Both members of our shut-down pairing in the playoffs were 25 years old. Never mind several strong young defensemen playing in the AHL who could see time this year.

It's in the forward department that the Sharks have little to look forward to. Beyond Couture, Hertl, and hopefully Matt Nieto, there's little in the way of top-6 players. I like the Dano and Lodge picks a lot, and I don't mind the Heatherington pick, but taking a defenseman in the first round just won't happen. From every corner, people are saying the Sharks will pick a forward in the first round. I like Morrissey a lot, but with players like Zykov (my first choice there), Burakovsky, Klimchuk, even Erne, Dauphin, Poirier on the board, picking D would be a horrendous blunder. I'm MUCH more concerned with replacing Thornton and Marleau than I am replacing Boyle.
I respect your concerns, but I will say that a) I don't think nearly as highly as half of those 25-or-under defensemen as you do, and b) I think Morrissey has the potential to be better than any of them, and possibly sooner rather than later.

I also took the Sharks' recent drafting history into consideration - their first 4 picks last year were forwards, and 3 of their first 4 the year before were forwards. Whether any of them turn out to be the "high end" guy you say they're missing is one thing, but it looks to me like they've done their stocking up up front and would turn their attention to the blueline next.

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06-28-2013, 03:32 PM
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Terrific job!

Clearly a lot of work and thought put into this mock draft, I think it was quite well done!

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06-28-2013, 03:40 PM
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^ Much appreciated

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06-28-2013, 03:46 PM
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Even if the Sharks were to take a D at #20, I think I might prefer Pulock to Morrissey there, since both are still available. I am about as far from an expert as you can get, but pretty much everything I've read has Pulock rated higher than Morrissey.

I agree with Jux, though. I think it far more likely the Sharks take a forward with that pick.

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06-28-2013, 03:48 PM
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Even if the Sharks were to take a D at #20, I think I might prefer Pulock to Morrissey there, since both are still available. I am about as far from an expert as you can get, but pretty much everything I've read has Pulock rated higher than Morrissey.

I agree with Jux, though. I think it far more likely the Sharks take a forward with that pick.
Pulock's stock has taken a beaten recently, but I still like him. However, I don't like him more than Morrissey

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06-28-2013, 03:56 PM
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I respect your concerns, but I will say that a) I don't think nearly as highly as half of those 25-or-under defensemen as you do, and b) I think Morrissey has the potential to be better than any of them, and possibly sooner rather than later.

I also took the Sharks' recent drafting history into consideration - their first 4 picks last year were forwards, and 3 of their first 4 the year before were forwards. Whether any of them turn out to be the "high end" guy you say they're missing is one thing, but it looks to me like they've done their stocking up up front and would turn their attention to the blueline next.
Look at our prospect pool and then tell me again, seriously, that you think they're done stocking up on forwards, and I won't argue. But seriously, I have no clue how you could jump to that conclusion. Outside of Hertl, there's just a huge bunch of question marks., and ****-all outside of Couture in the NHL.

But again, let me re-iterate. Our top pairing, comprised of two 25 year old kids, just got done completely shutting down the Sedins in Vancouver, and Kopitar in LA. And that doesn't include Burns, who I expect to move back to D. So yeah, you may not be as high on them as I am, but the Sharks organization is. Every indication is that they'll take a forward.

And there is a very, very low chance that Morrissey is better than Vlasic, and Morrisey is very far off, he's nowhere near NHL-ready.

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06-28-2013, 04:35 PM
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Flamesarmstrong22
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Flames need atleast one center this draft and if the opt for Nichuskin at 6 than they will get a C at 22, think Gautheir or at 28, maybe Compher

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06-28-2013, 04:40 PM
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MagnumForce
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Give the Sabres.....Horvat at 16 and Nastasiuk at 38 and I love the draft.

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06-28-2013, 05:09 PM
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Morry83
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Domi pick is great. Hate Bigras pick, would prefer Petan. Love the Hayden pick, after selecting two small forwards, a big one would be necessary. Would prefer Dano at 54.

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