I doubt the Islanders pick turns out to be better than Zadorov, they'd have to really suck for that to be likely.
If the Isles miss the playoffs then it's automatically a better pick and even with Vanek the Isles are no lock to make it. At the moment the Isles 1st round pick is at #13, I'd be happy if they stayed at that pick. The season is still so long that the Isles can go on a big losing streak and finish in the bottom 10.
How incredible would it be for us to finish dead last, Isles miss the playoffs and win the lottery and we end up with 1 and 2 ... Reinhart and Nylander/Ekblad ?!
I will say this, Vanek did end up returning more then Poms did.I can honestly see MM returning a big haul at the deadline turning the Vanek return into a kings ransom.