Yes, he's a lock this season. My guess is that he'll get somewhere around 60 points this season.
Unless he plays like he did tonight. Despite the goal, the kid was a defensive liability. Too many blind passes, a bit of floating and not enough back-checking. Martin benched him for much of the second period - deservedly. He can't play like that in the Sens system. He's going to have to learn. My guess is that Martin is in for a rough ride with the fans this year - every time he benches Spezza (which might be often), the fans that don't understand hockey much (a large percentage) will be on his back. Offensively, he's a star but I really hope Spezza pays more attention to his defensive game and his play away from the puck.
i think this is going to be alot like the havlat situation, as far as the benchings go. It took Havlat a good 2 years, and into about the 3rd month of last season until martin was considering him a positive in all zones
Spezza is probably a little further along in his development, due to his year in the AHL, so we shall see how long it is til he grasps it