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2015 NHL Draft Thread Part IV (Draft Lottery: April 18, 8:00 pm ET, NBC, CBC and TVA)

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Old
03-21-2015, 09:36 PM
  #1
BlameUtley
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2015 NHL Draft Thread Part IV (Draft Lottery: April 18, 8:00 pm ET, NBC, CBC and TVA)

UPDATE on APRIL 12:

NHL draft lottery to be held Saturday April 18 at 8 pm ET on NBC, CBC and TVA sports
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


March on.

http://hfboards.hockeysfuture.com/sh...836961&page=41
-------------------



http://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/s...held-april-18/

Quote:
That day will come on April 18 when the NHL draft lottery is held to determine which team will have the right to draft sensational teenager Connor McDavid of the OHL Erie Otters at the NHL draft in June, sources tell Sportsnet.

The draft lottery will take place in Toronto and will be broadcast during a Hockey Night in Canada playoff show.
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Old
03-21-2015, 09:40 PM
  #2
FLYguy3911
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McDavid

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Old
03-21-2015, 10:17 PM
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Inching closer to that 7.5%

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Old
03-21-2015, 11:45 PM
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Let's do this!

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Old
03-22-2015, 05:11 AM
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TheKingPin
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Can't sleep...

Ran the NHL draft lottery 12 times and the flyers won 3 times! Second only to Buffalos 4. Pretty exciting how plausible it is. When is the lottery? Heard it was pretty soon after the reg season is over.

http://nhllotterysimulator.com/#/

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03-22-2015, 06:02 AM
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Eric Lindros
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheKingPin View Post
Can't sleep...

Ran the NHL draft lottery 12 times and the flyers won 3 times! Second only to Buffalos 4. Pretty exciting how plausible it is. When is the lottery? Heard it was pretty soon after the reg season is over.

http://nhllotterysimulator.com/#/
I just ran it 35 times before the Flyers won once. Buffalo with 10 wins in there.

Unfortunately, I think my results are statistically more probable. Any statisticians want to confirm?

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Old
03-22-2015, 06:50 AM
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BillDineen
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheKingPin View Post
Can't sleep...

Ran the NHL draft lottery 12 times and the flyers won 3 times! Second only to Buffalos 4. Pretty exciting how plausible it is. When is the lottery? Heard it was pretty soon after the reg season is over.

http://nhllotterysimulator.com/#/
Bob Mac said 1rst Saturday after the season ends, so April 18th.

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Old
03-22-2015, 07:45 AM
  #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheKingPin View Post
Can't sleep...

Ran the NHL draft lottery 12 times and the flyers won 3 times! Second only to Buffalos 4. Pretty exciting how plausible it is. When is the lottery? Heard it was pretty soon after the reg season is over.

http://nhllotterysimulator.com/#/
Quote:
Originally Posted by Eric Lindros View Post
I just ran it 35 times before the Flyers won once. Buffalo with 10 wins in there.

Unfortunately, I think my results are statistically more probable. Any statisticians want to confirm?
Over an even number of trials that they both have in common, so 420, your scenario is actually the less likely one. The sample size on both is way too small to get an accurate distribution though. Huge error values. Take my math with a grain of salt though probability isn't my strong suit.

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03-22-2015, 07:49 AM
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Outside of the Flyers winning the lottery, I really hope Buffalo finishes second last to Arizona and they get bumped to third.

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Old
03-22-2015, 07:59 AM
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Originally Posted by BillDineen View Post
Outside of the Flyers winning the lottery, I really hope Buffalo finishes second last to Arizona and they get bumped to third.
The howling coming out of Buffalo will be deafening if that happens.

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Old
03-22-2015, 08:08 AM
  #11
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Outside of the Flyers winning the lottery, I really hope Buffalo finishes second last to Arizona and they get bumped to third.
Just as long as Edm doesn't win it again, but yes it would funny if Buffalo got bumped to 3rd

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03-22-2015, 08:59 AM
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I want provorov or however you spell that, dude has potential to be #1 d man in this league and is more than gifted offensively and defensively I'd take him or hanifan tbh

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Old
03-22-2015, 09:01 AM
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Originally Posted by BillDineen View Post
Bob Mac said 1rst Saturday after the season ends, so April 18th.
That's a day to look forward too. Thanks for the info.

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03-22-2015, 09:04 AM
  #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Eric Lindros View Post
I just ran it 35 times before the Flyers won once. Buffalo with 10 wins in there.

Unfortunately, I think my results are statistically more probable. Any statisticians want to confirm?
Just did it 15 more times before the flyers won. LA won it twice before that. Can you imagine if they won it?!

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03-22-2015, 09:05 AM
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I wouldn't put much stock into a lottery draft simulation. There is no random-number generator, only pseudo-random.

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Old
03-22-2015, 09:30 AM
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So looks like we should be no lower than 8th. Hope they don't **** the pick up after sitting through this year.

I ran the simulator once, Flyers won the lottery

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03-22-2015, 09:34 AM
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Originally Posted by bennysflyers16 View Post
So looks like we should be no lower than 8th. Hope they don't **** the pick up after sitting through this year.

I ran the simulator once, Flyers won the lottery
Heyo!

Hopefully Mason gets benched the rest of the year.

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03-22-2015, 12:30 PM
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If Edmonton or Toronto wins the lottery I'll bash my head through a wall.

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Old
03-22-2015, 12:49 PM
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If Edmonton or Toronto wins the lottery I'll bash my head through a wall.
I'll bash your head thru the wall too.... (edit: thats a joke btw - in case it gets lost on some....)

Along with anyone I come in contact with. (Angry at everything)

Season is a nightmare, end it and draft the BPA.


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03-22-2015, 12:49 PM
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We need Rantanen. Would be awesome with G and Jake.


Rantanen-Giroux-Voracek
Schenn-Laughton-Simmonds
Read-Couturier-Raffl
Cousins-Bellemare-White

Leier would eventually replace Read, White, Cousins or Raffl.


I like Jacob Larsson or Jordan Greenway for the later pick.


Morin-Streit
Schultz-Sanheim
Del Zotto-Schenn

I also think Sanheim & Morin are good enough out of camp. Go future, Gostisbehere eventually would replace Streit. Hägg would reace Schultz. Larsson would replace Schenn.


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Old
03-22-2015, 01:12 PM
  #21
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If Edmonton or Toronto wins the lottery I'll bash my head through a wall.
I hope us or yotes. Worst case would be Jackets.

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Old
03-22-2015, 01:40 PM
  #22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Eric Lindros View Post
I just ran it 35 times before the Flyers won once. Buffalo with 10 wins in there.

Unfortunately, I think my results are statistically more probable. Any statisticians want to confirm?

As the sample size grows larger the distribution of lottery wins will converge to each teams expected value - which is the lottery percentage. I.e Buffalo has a 20% chance to win the lottery. If sufficiently many draws are made, the share of lottery wins by Buffalo will eventually get to 20%.


Oh, and:


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Old
03-22-2015, 01:42 PM
  #23
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Flyers have too many home games left. I could see all of NJD, CLB and PHI winning 4 games apiece, leaving the Flyers in 8th.

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Old
03-22-2015, 01:52 PM
  #24
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Rantanen is an off-wing, so he wouldn't fit on a line with Giroux and Voracek.

Rantanen's production levels also haven't been particularly eye-opening.

Can't say he's at the top of my list for what will likely be the 7th or 8th pick in a deep top 10.

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03-22-2015, 02:02 PM
  #25
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ghosts Beer View Post
Rantanen is an off-wing, so he wouldn't fit on a line with Giroux and Voracek.

Rantanen's production levels also haven't been particularly eye-opening.

Can't say he's at the top of my list for what will likely be the 7th or 8th pick in a deep top 10.
0.50 PPG and -1 in Liiga while draft eligible on one of the worst teams in the last few years is pretty good, they only scored 2 GPG this season and were -50 in goal difference.

No player under 20 has scored more than he has this year... heck, he was 7th in scoring for Liiga forwards under age 24.

He was also great at the WJC.

The 'concern' for me with Rantanen is that he is more of a playmaker than the goalscorer... he feels like the kind of winger who will if he hits never really get more than 25 goals, though he definitely has 70pt potential.

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