Once a player hits UFA, time in the league does not matter. That point was made with Garrison.
Despite all the claims around here, it isn't just one good season. His improvement is practically linear (which is good).
With all the grief on this issue, I will rub it in when the numbers come out (or not and admit my mistake). My track record has been pretty good. The GMs do use comps and the consistency of the corollaries around comps is pretty good. Most of the violations of principals come in desperate situations or high end players generating a bidding war.
Maybe I missed it. What is your guess? Mine's now 4x$4.25.