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2017 Bruins Playoffs Odds - Currently 73.7% chance of qualifying

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01-14-2017, 04:49 PM
  #1
Fenway
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2017 Bruins Playoffs Odds - Currently 73.7% chance of qualifying

It is pretty simple. The Bruins have 36 games left and they can not afford many more regulation losses. The #1 priority is they can not let either Tampa Bay or Florida pass them.




Last edited by Fenway: 03-07-2017 at 05:47 AM.
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Old
01-15-2017, 07:11 AM
  #2
ODAAT
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fenway View Post
It is pretty simple. The Bruins have 36 games left and they can not afford many more regulation losses. The #1 priority is they can not let either Tampa Bay or Florida pass them.


looks eerily like my final GPA at University

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01-15-2017, 07:15 AM
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DKH
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Good stuff

Likeable team

Play hard

23-13 gets them 97
Montreal first round & knock them out

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01-15-2017, 07:20 AM
  #4
ODAAT
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Good stuff

Likeable team

Play hard

23-13 gets them 97
Montreal first round & knock them out
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k-SPDW7dEk4

One by one they`ll knock them out

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01-15-2017, 07:51 AM
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Dennis Bonvie
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With their win yesterday, the Hurricanes pass Philly & Boston and are actually now in the final playoff spot.

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01-15-2017, 07:52 AM
  #6
Sharp Shooting Neely
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DKH View Post
Good stuff

Likeable team

Play hard

23-13 gets them 97
Montreal first round & knock them out
Getting to 97 would make life so much easier for them especially with playing well down the stretch.

Given the unusual circumstances in the Atlantic and the Metro this season, outside of the blazing Metro front runners, any reason to believe something around 91 to 94 could actually result in securing a WC spot this season?

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01-15-2017, 07:55 AM
  #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DKH View Post
Good stuff

Likeable team

Play hard

23-13 gets them 97
Montreal first round & knock them out
Yea, they are a likeable team. Much better than last years version. Problem this year (besides the home record) is they can't seem to put together a half sensible win streak. Losses this year are more due to lack of finish then defensive breakdowns......offence seems to be coming around with the return of Vatrano, allowing for a bit more balance, PP slightly improving as well, again I think slotting Vatrano in their allows for 2 better PP lines. Hopefully the 2nd half of the season is kinder to the Bruins than the past 2 years...

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01-15-2017, 07:58 AM
  #8
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Yea, they are a likeable team. Much better than last years version. Problem this year (besides the home record) is they can't seem to put together a half sensible win streak. Losses this year are more due to lack of finish then defensive breakdowns......offence seems to be coming around with the return of Vatrano, allowing for a bit more balance, PP slightly improving as well, again I think slotting Vatrano in their allows for 2 better PP lines. Hopefully the 2nd half of the season is kinder to the Bruins than the past 2 years...
having even an average PP, one that opponents, at the very least have to be aware of has the potential to change an approach of an opponent. When opposing teams know the team they are playing have zippo going for them on the PP, they can take liberties, chances vs them knowing the chances they pay the price if they go down a man is unlikely.

Now, the B`s have started to show some life on the PP, have a few guys who the opponent has to be mindful of and respect. You don`t need to be in the top 5 on the PP , just bring something to the table where the opponent has to respect the PP and recently the B`s have done that

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01-15-2017, 03:41 PM
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As it stands now you have SEVEN teams fighting for the last 3 slots and Toronto is in very good shape.

Ottawa is starting to fade so the Bruins still have a legit shot of making the top 3.

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern.html

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01-15-2017, 08:04 PM
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Saxon Eric
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I think those odds are high,Boston is low hanging fruit for the teams behind them with games in hand,I'm not feeling it

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01-15-2017, 09:13 PM
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BklyNBruiN
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looks eerily like my final GPA at University

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01-15-2017, 09:16 PM
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Need to stop losing to Ottawa and Toronto to have any shot whatsoever.

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01-15-2017, 09:23 PM
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Was thinking... .this team is like two teams. One when Rask plays, and the other when they have anyone else play. Rask this year has won 70% of his games roughly. If Tuka played all the games the bruins would have won aprox. 33 games this year and be roughly at 66 points. And yes i am aware of the fact that he cant play all the games. BUT.. he will play all of the games should they make the playoffs.

So.. should they make the playoffs.. could this team be a dark horse contender ? just a thought.. may be really interesting if he keeps playing this well.

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01-16-2017, 06:04 AM
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If I were forced to say one way or another, I say they don't get in.

The consistency isn't there and the math fails to add up.

Too many teams with too many games in hand.

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01-16-2017, 06:06 AM
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expecting the worst, hoping for the best. just get in

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Old
01-16-2017, 06:41 AM
  #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dennis Bonvie View Post
With their win yesterday, the Hurricanes pass Philly & Boston and are actually now in the final playoff spot.
Maximum 5 teams from that division...

But if Toronto and Ottawa win their games in hand we would compete with Carolina or Philly

Interesting point...Toronto has had no injuries to their top 10 players this year... can any team stay that healthy all year?

Can their goalie stand up to the work load?

Is Ottawa self destructing? Anderson might be lost for the year? Ryan seams to be having an issue?

Honestly Tampa seams a better bet to make playoffs than either Toronto or Ottawa

Tease teams are playing above their heads do to 1 hot 10 game streak... Philly had 1 hot 10 game streak

The rest of the time these teams are below 500... we aren't where we are cause of a fluke hot streak

We've battled injuries and slumps to our best players... and still neck and neck

Will luck continue to go against us?

I'm not saying we are a lock to get in... but the argument against everyone else is stronger

The playoffs are ours if we play to expectations

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01-16-2017, 04:13 PM
  #17
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They're on pace for 89 points.

Not going to be good enough at that rate to qualify.

They already made a mistake bringing back essentially the same club and trying to succeed where they had failed in two prior campaigns.

Time to stop digging the hole. Change course and sell pieces to acquire value which will benefit the up and coming talent.

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01-16-2017, 04:17 PM
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Originally Posted by smithformeragent View Post
They're on pace for 89 points.

Not going to be good enough at that rate to qualify.

They already made a mistake bringing back essentially the same club and trying to succeed where they had failed in two prior campaigns.

Time to stop digging the hole. Change course and sell pieces to acquire value which will benefit the up and coming talent.
Looks like they were counting on duplicating seasons from Krejci,Bergy and Marchand,while enjoying improvement in Vatrano,Pasta,Rask etc. Could have worked,but slow starts and injuries,non performances by Hayes and Beleskey and some very questionable roster spots and in game management has derailed the plan.

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01-16-2017, 04:21 PM
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Carolina is on pace for 93 points.

Ottawa is on pace for 96.

Points percentage pace is just that, a projection based on current pace.

I wish the Bruins' bye week was sooner so we'd know the verdict sooner and be able to make a clearer judgment on the fate of this team.

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01-16-2017, 07:28 PM
  #20
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The loss today dropped the B's chances considerably - now down to 43.2% from 58%

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01-16-2017, 07:31 PM
  #21
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No way we are making the playoffs IMO

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01-16-2017, 07:34 PM
  #22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by smithformeragent View Post
Carolina is on pace for 93 points.

Ottawa is on pace for 96.

Points percentage pace is just that, a projection based on current pace.

I wish the Bruins' bye week was sooner so we'd know the verdict sooner and be able to make a clearer judgment on the fate of this team.
The thing is, one of TB, FLA or OTT has to knock them off, CAR is only scary to PHI being in the Atlantic. Only OTT has a significant advantage in GP, and they don't look any better than the Bruins do. And then there's TOR which have looked hot lately, and have the GP in hand, but could fade away too when the games start coming in bunches.

Those playoff odds were markedly in the Bruins favor last year, and it didn't help. Don't read into them too much unless TWO Atlantic teams get hot at the same time.

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01-16-2017, 07:34 PM
  #23
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Which is why I don't follow percentages

It drops 15% from one loss? this team may very well not make it in, but we won't have an accurate idea until late march at the earliest

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01-16-2017, 07:53 PM
  #24
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Originally Posted by smithformeragent View Post
I wish the Bruins' bye week was sooner so we'd know the verdict sooner and be able to make a clearer judgment on the fate of this team.
The bye week takes some of the sting away from the Disney Death March but then after playing Poutinville on February 12th they resume a week later in California.

One thing seems certain that come deadline day they know what the situation is.

Cam on 98.5 today was answering questions with answers like 'I don't know and I can't explain it'.

I am haunted by a question a respected member of the Bruins media asked me a couple of weeks ago. He asked 'Who do you think will host a playoff game first, Vegas or the Bruins?'

I don't have a clue how to answer that.

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01-16-2017, 07:59 PM
  #25
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Which is why I don't follow percentages

It drops 15% from one loss? this team may very well not make it in, but we won't have an accurate idea until late march at the earliest
Dropping that much makes sense as the previous projection was assuming the Bruins would bank 2 points today instead of zero. The 2 losses to Brooklyn negate the positive of beating Columbus twice. 21 home games and they only have 20 points banked as all 11 losses have been in regulation.

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