I see Morrow scoring 30+ goals and having somewhere around 80-85 points.
If Avery could score 19 goals and have 41 points he will be worth the money.
I have Richards at about 30 goals as well and leading the NHL in PP goals or Assists.
Yeah, Morrow could easily get as many goals and assists, or more, as last year. But since it was a career year to date, I thought I would try to be realistic(I guess almost pessimistic).
Avery was on pace for 47pts last year, 21g 26a give or take. So if he's healthy and fits with Richards or Mo he could easily score in that range.
I don't think Richards will score 30g. He never has. And I think he'll be looking to spread the attack around around first, use his line mates and the Stars' depth to make himself as effective as possible.
Since we're doing projections, I thought it might be useful to see the directions various guys' scoring production are taking. I used PPG totals from the post-lockout years as that normalizes for injuries and the general style of hockey.
Let's start with the 1st line --
As you can see, all 3 are trending upward. Ribeiro improved so much that it may be difficult to get any better than he already is. I'd expect to see some improvement from Morrow, especially as his slap shot and passing skills continue to evolve. If Lehts can stay healthy I don't think another big year is out of the question. He can go a long way toward replacing Hagman/Miettinen's output.
Continuing on in the order of our Fan Voted Lineup™, the 2nd line --
The first thing that jumps out is how consistent Avery has been over the last 3 years. I think you can almost write down in ink ~40 points, barring some sort of mega-chemistry with Richards. Richards himself is a bit of a mystery as several factors have impacted his stats. Hopefully there'll be an improvement to around .90 - .95 PPG this year. As for Loui, I think some of the calls for him to step up in the other thread are unwarranted. His natural progression will take care of itself.
Here are the rest of the forwards who have enough data to make a chart --
The biggest thing there is just to hope that Modano's hemorrhaging of points will stabilize around that .7 PPG mark for the rest of his career. I think it probably will as long as he keeps getting PP time.
I dont want to try and think of everyones numbers, but I would bet that Morrow will lead the team in goals. Erikkson will have his best year so far. Richards and Ribs will fight for most points on the team. I also think Daley will have his best year too
The only thing I have to say is that we probably shouldn't expect that much production out of the Defense, sure last year they had low point totals that can be mainly attributed to injuries, but I think they have lost some steam here.
I know this thread is about forward production but the two go hand-in-hand.