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Old
07-29-2008, 12:38 PM
  #1
john skull
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Forward point predictions

Simple thread. Post your point predictions for the Stars' forward line-up. Here is mine, assuming health all around.

Ribiero-24g-53a-77pts
Morrow-28g-36a-64pts
Richards-23g-56a-79pts
Lethinen-26g-21a-47pts
Avery-19g-22a-41pts
Erikkson-23g-25a-48pts
Mo-20g-40a-60pts
Ott-9g-19a-28pts
Neal-13g-18a-31pts
Brunnstrom-10g-23a-33pts
Lundqvist-7g-14a-21pts
Peterson-8g-10a-18pts
Sawada-3g-6a-9pts

I picked a few guys I've heard could make the roster. Feel free to do anyone you like to make the team.

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07-29-2008, 01:22 PM
  #2
Sony Eriksson*
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by john skull View Post
Simple thread. Post your point predictions for the Stars' forward line-up. Here is mine, assuming health all around.

Ribiero-24g-53a-77pts
Morrow-28g-36a-64pts
Richards-23g-56a-79pts
Lethinen-26g-21a-47pts
Avery-19g-22a-41pts
Erikkson-23g-25a-48pts
Mo-20g-40a-60pts
Ott-9g-19a-28pts
Neal-13g-18a-31pts
Brunnstrom-10g-23a-33pts
Lundqvist-7g-14a-21pts
Peterson-8g-10a-18pts
Sawada-3g-6a-9pts

I picked a few guys I've heard could make the roster. Feel free to do anyone you like to make the team.
I see Morrow scoring 30+ goals and having somewhere around 80-85 points.

If Avery could score 19 goals and have 41 points he will be worth the money.

I have Richards at about 30 goals as well and leading the NHL in PP goals or Assists.

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Old
07-29-2008, 01:37 PM
  #3
john skull
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Addiction View Post
I see Morrow scoring 30+ goals and having somewhere around 80-85 points.

If Avery could score 19 goals and have 41 points he will be worth the money.

I have Richards at about 30 goals as well and leading the NHL in PP goals or Assists.
Yeah, Morrow could easily get as many goals and assists, or more, as last year. But since it was a career year to date, I thought I would try to be realistic(I guess almost pessimistic).

Avery was on pace for 47pts last year, 21g 26a give or take. So if he's healthy and fits with Richards or Mo he could easily score in that range.

I don't think Richards will score 30g. He never has. And I think he'll be looking to spread the attack around around first, use his line mates and the Stars' depth to make himself as effective as possible.

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Old
07-29-2008, 02:40 PM
  #4
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Ok, check this out.

Since we're doing projections, I thought it might be useful to see the directions various guys' scoring production are taking. I used PPG totals from the post-lockout years as that normalizes for injuries and the general style of hockey.

Let's start with the 1st line --






As you can see, all 3 are trending upward. Ribeiro improved so much that it may be difficult to get any better than he already is. I'd expect to see some improvement from Morrow, especially as his slap shot and passing skills continue to evolve. If Lehts can stay healthy I don't think another big year is out of the question. He can go a long way toward replacing Hagman/Miettinen's output.


Last edited by piqued: 07-29-2008 at 06:53 PM.
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Old
07-29-2008, 02:59 PM
  #5
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Continuing on in the order of our Fan Voted Lineup™, the 2nd line --







The first thing that jumps out is how consistent Avery has been over the last 3 years. I think you can almost write down in ink ~40 points, barring some sort of mega-chemistry with Richards. Richards himself is a bit of a mystery as several factors have impacted his stats. Hopefully there'll be an improvement to around .90 - .95 PPG this year. As for Loui, I think some of the calls for him to step up in the other thread are unwarranted. His natural progression will take care of itself.


Last edited by piqued: 07-29-2008 at 06:53 PM.
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Old
07-29-2008, 06:22 PM
  #6
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Taken from the main board, these are my highly optimistic Stars player stats projections:

Morrow: 31-50-81
Ribeiro: 34-51-85
Lehtinen: 29-36-65

Avery: 23-34-57
Richards: 27-47-74
Eriksson: 19-32-51

Brunnstrom: 16-18-34
Modano: 23-37-60
Conner: 12-14-26

Lundqvist: 9-10-19
Ott: 10-14-24
Petersen: 4-8-12

Zubov: 14-48-62
Boucher: 18-35-53

Niskanen: 12-27-39
Robidas: 9-18-27

Daley: 10-15-25
Grossman: 3-12-15


Snowball's chance, I know, but what can I say, I was feeling overly optimistic at the time, and may end up being right for most of them.

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Old
07-29-2008, 06:52 PM
  #7
piqued
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Modo View Post
Conner: 12-14-26
You weren't kidding about the optimism.

Here are the rest of the forwards who have enough data to make a chart --







The biggest thing there is just to hope that Modano's hemorrhaging of points will stabilize around that .7 PPG mark for the rest of his career. I think it probably will as long as he keeps getting PP time.

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Old
07-29-2008, 06:54 PM
  #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Modo View Post
Taken from the main board, these are my highly optimistic Stars player stats projections:

Morrow: 31-50-81-35-50-85
Ribeiro: 34-51-85 26-61-87
Lehtinen: 29-36-65 23-34-57

Avery: 23-34-57 16-29-45
Richards: 27-47-74 31-64-97 will dominate PP with zubie morrow and ribs..dominate
Eriksson: 19-32-51 about right

Brunnstrom: 16-18-34 15-20-35
Modano: 23-37-60 20-25-45
Conner: 12-14-26 dont think hell play much

Lundqvist: 9-10-19 12-28-40 (i predict he gets some time with rich/loui)
Ott: 10-14-24 about right
Petersen: 4-8-12 about right

Zubov: 14-48-62
Boucher: 18-35-53

Niskanen: 12-27-39
Robidas: 9-18-27

Daley: 10-15-25
Grossman: 3-12-15


Snowball's chance, I know, but what can I say, I was feeling overly optimistic at the time, and may end up being right for most of them.
i think your first line will be accurate, assuming their healthy

im hopeful for avery, but he wont get near that lol...i hope for 45-47 pts for him

and i cant see mo getting more pts than last year..

but i love your optimism!! go stars

(the ones in bole are my predictions)

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Old
07-30-2008, 12:56 AM
  #9
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I dont want to try and think of everyones numbers, but I would bet that Morrow will lead the team in goals. Erikkson will have his best year so far. Richards and Ribs will fight for most points on the team. I also think Daley will have his best year too

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Old
07-30-2008, 10:37 AM
  #10
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Quote:
Originally Posted by catters078 View Post
i think your first line will be accurate, assuming their healthy

im hopeful for avery, but he wont get near that lol...i hope for 45-47 pts for him

and i cant see mo getting more pts than last year..

but i love your optimism!! go stars

(the ones in bole are my predictions)
VERY BOLD prediction for Lundqvist. I'm not sure even being on a line with Richards will make his point totals hit that high. I say he'll get 29 pts AT MOST.

We'll see though. I just don't think Avery is barely ahead of Lundqvist.

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Old
07-30-2008, 02:41 PM
  #11
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what about barch and crombean?? everyone has left them out here! ott and avery wont stand up to st. louis's king and janssen

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Old
07-31-2008, 12:15 PM
  #12
piqued
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Originally Posted by texascrazy horse View Post
what about barch and crombean?? everyone has left them out here! ott and avery wont stand up to st. louis's king and janssen
There's not much point (edit: see what I did there?) in predicting totals in the 5-10 point range. But I will if it makes you happy.

Barch: 8 points
Crombeen: 5 points

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08-09-2008, 07:52 PM
  #13
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The only thing I have to say is that we probably shouldn't expect that much production out of the Defense, sure last year they had low point totals that can be mainly attributed to injuries, but I think they have lost some steam here.

I know this thread is about forward production but the two go hand-in-hand.

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Old
08-09-2008, 09:23 PM
  #14
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Since you brought it up, here's my excuse to post more graphs...









I included playoff totals for Robidas because it seemed that he took a real step forward last year that probably shouldn't be written off as just a small sample or luck.

Anyway, I think we can expect above league-average production from the defense.

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Old
03-13-2009, 11:39 AM
  #15
Modo
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Modo View Post
Taken from the main board, these are my highly optimistic Stars player stats projections:

Morrow: 31-50-81
Ribeiro: 34-51-85
Lehtinen: 29-36-65

Avery: 23-34-57
Richards: 27-47-74
Eriksson: 19-32-51

Brunnstrom: 16-18-34
Modano: 23-37-60
Conner: 12-14-26

Lundqvist: 9-10-19
Ott: 10-14-24
Petersen: 4-8-12

Zubov: 14-48-62
Boucher: 18-35-53

Niskanen: 12-27-39
Robidas: 9-18-27

Daley: 10-15-25
Grossman: 3-12-15


Snowball's chance, I know, but what can I say, I was feeling overly optimistic at the time, and may end up being right for most of them.
*sigh*

If only....

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Old
03-13-2009, 02:03 PM
  #16
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Originally Posted by Modo View Post
*sigh*

If only....
If your numbers were correct, Avery would still be in a Stars jersey.

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Old
03-13-2009, 07:20 PM
  #17
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If your numbers were correct, Avery would still be in a Stars jersey.
If my numbers were correct, there wouldn't have been any problems with Avery in Dallas in the first place.

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