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Loui Eriksson's Next Contract

View Poll Results: What will Eriksson's next contract pay him per year?
No Contract - Player Traded 1 3.13%
$2.5 to $3 million 2 6.25%
$3 to $3.5 million 2 6.25%
$3.5 to $4 million 17 53.13%
$4 to $4.5 million 10 31.25%
$4.5 to $5 million 0 0%
$5 million or more 0 0%
Voters: 32. You may not vote on this poll

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Old
08-12-2009, 08:58 AM
  #1
BigG44
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Loui Eriksson's Next Contract

Dallas has a large group of free agents to sign over the next year. Piqued's prospect poll made me think of a contract poll.

One of the most important free agents, IMO, is Loui Eriksson. He'll be an arbitration eligible Restricted Free Agent turning 25 years old. What do you think his contract will be valued at per year?

I think Eriksson will end up with a 6 year deal in the $4 to $4.5 million range. Why?

Brenden Morrow and David Booth.

The Dallas Stars knew how important Brenden Morrow was to the team. They gave him a 6 year contract worth $4.1 million a year to ensure he'd be a core member of the Stars. At the time, the contract may have been a little steep, but Morrow has proven he took a discount to sign long term with Dallas.

David Booth faced the same situation this offseason that Eriksson will deal with next summer (or hopefully sooner). Booth is entering his 25 year old season, and he was an arbitration eligible free agent coming off a 30 goal season. His contract is a 6 year deal worth $4.25 million. I don’t believe Booth impacts a game like Eriksson can.

Loui Eriksson is arguably one of the most important forwards on the team. While he is only a fraction of the defensive stalwart Lehtinen was in his prime, Eriksson is probably the best defensive forward on the team right now considering Lehtinen’s age/health. Plus, Eriksson appears to have the potential to reach Lehtinen's defensive skill. No other player can have as significant an impact in every facet of the game as Eriksson for the Stars.

Giving Loui $4 million a year right now may make some people cringe, but this is the type of contract you give to the type of players you need to win a Stanley Cup.

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Old
08-12-2009, 10:19 AM
  #2
map94
 
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I would guess it will come in just south of $4M but it won't be for more than about 3 years.

When Morrow signed his current deal, he was a pending UFA. After this season, Eriksson will still have three more seasons as an RFA, so that makes Morrow's deal a little hard to compare.

Here are a couple contracts signed by similar arbitration eligible players this off season.
Tuomo Ruutu, 3 yrs, $11.4M ($3.8M cap hit)
Travis Zajac, 4 yrs, $15.55M (~$3.9M cap hit)
Not to mention the $3.9M Nikolai Zherdev was awarded at Arbitration.

David Booth deal is for a similar amount, but the number of years is pretty high. Perhaps this is an overpayment, at least in terms of years by Florida to get a player to stay with that team.

I really don't think he gets signed to a long term deal (5+ years) for his next contract unless it's very favorable to the team. I don't see any examples of the Stars giving a player that long of a deal until he had reached his UFA years. I think the Stars would love to sign him to a 2 year deal so he would again be an RFA after that deal is done. In fact, if Eriksson ends up electing arbitration next off season, I would guess the Stars would opt for a two year arbitration deal (which they would have the right to do if Eriksson elects arbitration).

Several other issues like the teams financial situation and a possible declining salary cap could affect his situation quite a bit, which makes this a difficult prediction right now.

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Old
08-12-2009, 11:56 AM
  #3
Chad_
 
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Apparently this is poll week, and I'm a bit upset I didn't get the memo.

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Old
08-12-2009, 02:34 PM
  #4
Captain Awesome
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If he has a repeat of last season in the 30 goal range I think he gets 4.0-4.5 mil. If he put up more points I think he would get more, but because of his goal scoring prowess and his defensive abilities I still think he merits that salary. I honestly don't think he's a better player than Ribeiro so I can't imagine the salary being matched or surpassed.

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08-12-2009, 03:49 PM
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Dallasman
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I bet he gets a 3 year $12.25mill contract from Dallas. And I'd be ok with that...depending on his year this year. If he maintains what he did last year, than he deserves it. If not, bump that down to a 3 year $11.5mill contract and I'd be ok with that.

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08-12-2009, 04:13 PM
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Caseman
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Just give him a contract that extends into his 40's. That seems to be the "it" thing around the league now.

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08-12-2009, 04:26 PM
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Dominic Roussel
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Caseman View Post
Just give him a contract that extends into his 40's. That seems to be the "it" thing around the league now.
I'd be alright with a 15 year deal @ 4.5 per.

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08-12-2009, 05:11 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by LeShizzle View Post
I'd be alright with a 15 year deal @ 4.5 per.
Charles Wang is posting on the Stars board?

Call me crazy, but I like to see a player have at least 2 good seasons before I offer him a 15 year deal. I guess I'll never be qualified to be an NHL GM.

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08-12-2009, 05:13 PM
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Captain Awesome
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You'll also never be qualified to teach a lesson in sarcasm.

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08-12-2009, 05:18 PM
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Dominic Roussel
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You'll also never be qualified to teach a lesson in sarcasm.


I love it.

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Old
08-12-2009, 06:14 PM
  #11
hairylikebear
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Assuming his production remains consistent, I figure he'll probably sign a 2-year deal at $3.5 mil per, and then sign long term in the $4.5 mil range, maybe higher if he ever manages to hit 40 goals or win a selke nomination.

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08-12-2009, 07:37 PM
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map94
 
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Originally Posted by Captain Awesome View Post
You'll also never be qualified to teach a lesson in sarcasm.
My wife would disagree with that statement.

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Old
08-12-2009, 09:24 PM
  #13
Hull Fan
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I think they'll wait to see how he opens the season. Kinda like they did with Ribiero. They'll watch the first three months of the season and then come January if he's still scoring at the same pace as last year or better he'll get a three or five year deal. Loui isn't Jere but the differences in offense vs. defense means Loui's closer than people would give him credit for.

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08-13-2009, 12:48 AM
  #14
catters078
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3.9 per over 4...

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Old
08-20-2009, 12:18 PM
  #15
LordHelmet
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Anyone that scores 30+ gets the bucks.

$4.5 - $5 million, for 5-7 years.

And I'd be thrilled.

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