I always thought Cogliano would be a very good first or second line centre.
At the start of his career there was the perfect storm of opportunity that he(and Gagner and a few others) enjoyed on the Oilers.
Cogs and these young guys got a good opportunity and really played well...seemed to flourish.
But was it too much too soon?
Gagner seems to be coming out of things and having a decent bounce back year, but for Cogs it has been one struggle after another....his Ice time is now under 10 minutes a game, and his promise seems to be fading...
I really hope it's just that this is a bad year, but tell me Oilers fans, and please be honest....What is going on with Cogliano and what does his future hold?
Thanks for any and all responses, and may you land Taylor Hall or Seguin!!
Cogliano is looking more like Todd Marchant every day. Both smaller, speedy guys who showed decent offensive promise upon entering the league. Marchant never did have that offensive breakout we predicted would come for years and eventually developed into a very good third line checking center. Cogliano, well I guess we'll have to wait and see.
He's young, he'll change but by looking at his skill set he would be best suited to be a defensive forward. However most kids who rise up through Junior as scorers are extremely reluctant to make the switch.
Those are the stats for Gagner, Penner, and Cogliano over the previous two seasons combined. You can see they are all very close in points, overall. However, after factoring in their total time on ice over those two years, you find that Cogliano is actually the best producer of the three. He takes advantage of his minutes better than the other 2. Despite having less even strength TOI and less PP TOI, as well as inferior linemates (not to mention being used in a defensive, checking role), Cogliano actually scores more per minute of ice time than the other two, in the past 2 seasons (though the difference is almost negligible between Gagner and Cogliano. Penner is the worst producer those 2 seasons.)
Penner and Gagner have stepped up their offense this season, and Cogliano obviously hasn't. However, this season is an off-season for Cogliano, not an indication of his top end offensive potential. He's been keeping up to our other offensive forwards, even when not given equal opportunity. This is simply his "sophomore slump" season (though not actually his second season.) Gagner and Penner were given tons of offensive minutes when they were going through their slumps. Cogliano is on the 4th line during his. That's why his slump this year is so noticeable. There is a very good chance he will rebound.