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Calling All Weather Enthusiasts: A New Threat For End of Week?

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Old
02-23-2010, 10:21 PM
  #1
Balej20*
 
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Calling All Weather Enthusiasts: A New Threat For End of Week?

Well guys, what should we expect on Thursday and Friday? I'm hearing this storm will be more like a hurricane and will be the most memorable of the year. Looks like NYC and Long Island may have a mix of snow and rain, but heavy winds and flooding. But with a slight shift in the track NYC and LI could also see significant snow fall to go along with coastal flooding problems and hurricane force winds (upwards of 75 MPH).

So...whatcha got for us guys?

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Old
02-23-2010, 10:26 PM
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NYR Viper
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anything for good ole buffalo?

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Old
02-23-2010, 10:29 PM
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Ih8theislanders
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What time should it start Thursday? I have a game in a semi out-door rink, should be interesting

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Old
02-23-2010, 10:29 PM
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nyrpassion
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Dc?

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02-23-2010, 10:31 PM
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NYReign
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I have two papers due Friday lol am I getting a reprieve?

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02-23-2010, 10:38 PM
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17futurecap
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First midterm Friday lol.

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Old
02-23-2010, 10:55 PM
  #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockeyviper87 View Post
anything for good ole buffalo?
Buffalo should be getting a good amount of snow from this system

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02-23-2010, 10:58 PM
  #8
NYR Viper
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Balej20 View Post
Buffalo should be getting a good amount of snow from this system
Thank you very much! Any idea the range? I have a friend who is trying to make her way this way on Friday. It would be a shame if she couldn't make it.

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02-23-2010, 11:03 PM
  #9
bobbop
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77 and partly cloudy in Phoenix. Wish you were here. (Well some of you)

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02-23-2010, 11:05 PM
  #10
NYR Sting
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Again? ****. Guess I better finally get around to buying that shovel tomorrow.

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Old
02-24-2010, 04:26 AM
  #11
Hockey2000nyr
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come on, wheres hpnyr or scottyb, give me some good news that involves that storm shifting to the east a little bit hammering us with snow, haha

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Old
02-24-2010, 05:05 AM
  #12
RyanBozak
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hockey2000nyr View Post
come on, wheres hpnyr or scottyb, give me some good news that involves that storm shifting to the east a little bit hammering us with snow, haha
I'm here

When I wake up later on today I'll be making a map that should cover the questions. Models this morning have basically stayed the same/trended slightly west with the system but that doesn't mean anything; fluctuations will happen up until the storm. The dynamics with this system, even with a slightly westward trend, will still support mainly snow for the entire area. Just early estimates
Southeast PA: 6-12+
South Jersey: 4-10+
East Central PA: 8-12+
Central NJ: 10-16+
NENJ: 12-18+
NWNJ: 10-16+
S USNY: 12-20+
NYC: 12-18 +
C LI: 4-8+
E LI: 2-4/1-3+
S CT: 3-6+

Just early estimates. Unlike last storm, this will definitely pack a punch with winds; unless of course this also fails to make it further north than last time... but I don't see that happening. This low will basically hit a wall once it reaches NYC/LI/NJ, retrograde inland, take a loop, then head NE. Precip to start from south to north Thursday morning/Wednesday night. Might see a start as sleet/mix/rain but changing over.. once again, from south to north/east to west as the storm moves out.
Wind Gusts

Coastal NJ/LI: 45-55mph+
Further Inland and West: 35-45mph
Further Inland and West: 20-30mph

Sustained winds could be around 15-25 mph for most of the area.

So just to touch up, a general 6-12+ inch storm for the majority of the area. Once again, low placement will determine who hits the lollipop 20+ inch totals/precip types/higher or lower totals. Will give you guys an update later today.

EDIT: My totals may be a bit low right now, for all, so just know the probability for the potential of higher totals than those is higher in my mind than it is lower, kept it middle-ground for now.


Last edited by RyanBozak: 02-24-2010 at 05:21 AM.
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Old
02-24-2010, 05:59 AM
  #13
darko
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bobbop View Post
77 and partly cloudy in Phoenix. Wish you were here. (Well some of you)
82 and mainly sunny forecasted for tommorow over here.

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Old
02-24-2010, 06:03 AM
  #14
Hockey2000nyr
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sweet deal, i want a **** load of snow and extremely crappy conditions by thursday at 4 oclock so i can get out of going to school. haha is there atleast that possibility, btw i live on long island and go to school on the north shore.

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02-24-2010, 08:02 AM
  #15
Kind of Blue
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ScottB View Post
I'm here

When I wake up later on today I'll be making a map that should cover the questions. Models this morning have basically stayed the same/trended slightly west with the system but that doesn't mean anything; fluctuations will happen up until the storm. The dynamics with this system, even with a slightly westward trend, will still support mainly snow for the entire area. Just early estimates
Southeast PA: 6-12+
South Jersey: 4-10+
East Central PA: 8-12+
Central NJ: 10-16+
NENJ: 12-18+
NWNJ: 10-16+
S USNY: 12-20+
NYC: 12-18 +
C LI: 4-8+
E LI: 2-4/1-3+
S CT: 3-6+

Just early estimates. Unlike last storm, this will definitely pack a punch with winds; unless of course this also fails to make it further north than last time... but I don't see that happening. This low will basically hit a wall once it reaches NYC/LI/NJ, retrograde inland, take a loop, then head NE. Precip to start from south to north Thursday morning/Wednesday night. Might see a start as sleet/mix/rain but changing over.. once again, from south to north/east to west as the storm moves out.
Wind Gusts

Coastal NJ/LI: 45-55mph+
Further Inland and West: 35-45mph
Further Inland and West: 20-30mph

Sustained winds could be around 15-25 mph for most of the area.

So just to touch up, a general 6-12+ inch storm for the majority of the area. Once again, low placement will determine who hits the lollipop 20+ inch totals/precip types/higher or lower totals. Will give you guys an update later today.

EDIT: My totals may be a bit low right now, for all, so just know the probability for the potential of higher totals than those is higher in my mind than it is lower, kept it middle-ground for now.
Coming to you live from the HF Weather Center. This is pretty awesome and hilarious.

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Old
02-24-2010, 08:06 AM
  #16
HockeyBasedNYC
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Another one? wow.

What were the totals for the last one?

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Old
02-24-2010, 08:10 AM
  #17
WhipNash27
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Ugh, give me spring already!

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Old
02-24-2010, 08:14 AM
  #18
94now
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Originally Posted by bobbop View Post
77 and partly cloudy in Phoenix. Wish you were here. (Well some of you)
Not many retired lawyers on this board.

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Old
02-24-2010, 08:30 AM
  #19
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I hope its a big one.

Gives me a good excuse to "work from home*" on Friday



*be home to watch the semi-finals in men's ice hockey.

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Old
02-24-2010, 08:51 AM
  #20
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Ugh, give me spring already!
*hulk hogan mode*

Amen, Brother.

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Old
02-24-2010, 08:54 AM
  #21
WhipNash27
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Originally Posted by AOWRanger View Post
*hulk hogan mode*

Amen, Brother.



Here's a report:
Quote:
Issued by The National Weather Service
New York City, NY
5:33 am EST, Wed., Feb. 24, 2010

... WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... ... WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE TONIGHT... WITH PERIODS OF SNOWFALL THROUGH FRIDAY. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR SIX OR MORE INCHES OF SNOWFALL WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW... SLEET... OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&
More Information

... FIRST STORM COMING TO AN END... WITH A MAJOR STORM TO IMPACT THE NORTHEAST THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE PASSING JUST OFF TO THE EAST WILL RESULT IN THE CONTINUATION OF WINTRY WEATHER THIS MORNING ACROSS PARTS OF THE HUDSON VALLEY. HOWEVER... A MUCH STRONGER STORM WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL OF SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO PORTIONS OF THE TRI STATE AREA LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THERE REMAINS A GOOD DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAR WEST WARM AIR OFF THE ATLANTIC WILL GET WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM. THIS WILL BE A CRITICAL FACTOR IN DETERMINING WHERE THE RAIN SNOW LINE SETS UP. AT THIS TIME... NEW YORK CITY AND POINTS NORTH AND WEST WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE TO SEE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL. THIS THOUGH CAN VERY EASILY CHANGE BASED ON THE FINAL STORM TRACK.
Oh joy.

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Old
02-24-2010, 08:59 AM
  #22
qwertyaas
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I work up in White Plains. Just checked the NOAA.gov radars and it's saying by 10AM tomorrow, there would be close to 6 inches already on the ground. By 4PM, another 4 inches. They don't have the radars updated after 4PM tomorrow.

Now to see if I should take a day off tomorrow. Driving home to Queens won't be fun...

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Old
02-24-2010, 09:10 AM
  #23
HockeyBasedNYC
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**** it, i hope we get like 34 inches.

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Old
02-24-2010, 09:12 AM
  #24
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6 or more inches in DC, supposedly. We're finally getting let of the hook this winter. In my driveway, the piles of snow from shoveling are still as tall as my car.

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02-24-2010, 09:31 AM
  #25
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When is this thing supposed to start for Long Island and NYC?

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