^ He has a very legitimate shot. I'd go as far as to say it's likely that he makes the team out of camp.
Let's tap the brakes a bit on this one.
Larsen's looked good, and God knows we need some fresh faces back there, but Robidas, Daley, Fistric, Skrastins and Woywitka all have contracts for next season, and Grossman and Niskanen are RFA's who I can't imagine won't be tendered. That's 7, which makes Larsen 8. Skrastins or Woywitka can be 7's and Larsen a 6, which means we've gotta move at least one guy, unless management is more put-off than I realize and the plan is to let Niskanen walk, which I can't imagine it is.
I don't think even Modano knows at this point, honestly.
As far as Larsen, I always worry about young defensemen lacking strength, and I think a year of AHL time does wonders for confidence, decision making and adjustment to NA rinks, angles and style of play. I think, unless he's just otherwordly at camp, the risks to his development of having him at the NHL level is too high when compared to the potential for success.
You risk shattering his confidence like they've apparently done to Niskanen.