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Mizral's 2004 Entry Draft Preview (long)

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05-29-2004, 05:40 PM
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Mizral
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Mizral's 2004 Entry Draft Preview (long)

The following is my annual draft preview. This one I put a significant amount more effort into it than I did last years. My top 30 in the draft are all scouted here. Please note that I saw most, but not all of the players here several times. I utalized scouting reports I could find on the net, as well as impressions I might have had from seeing a player from time to time, as well as contacting others who catch a lot more of these European leagues. Much of the information here was compiled over 6 months, took me about 2 weeks to put it all together here.

The scouting report, flaws, NHL potential, and Player Comparison are all my own.

In regards to player comparison, please note I am going more on the style of play rather than a complete and utter comparison. Some are lesser comparisons than others, as several players in this draft almost defied comparison.

Without further adu: My top 30 prospects heading into the 2004 NHL Entry Draft:

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1st Overall
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Name: Alexander Ovechkin
Position: Left Wing
Height: 6'2
Weight: 200
Birthdate: September 17th, 1985
Shoots: Left
Born: Moscow, Russia

Team: Dynamo Moscow (RSL)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 53 13 10 23 -- 42

A true thoroughbred, Alexander Ovechkin was born to be a hockey player. Will go #1 overall in 2004, and is often compared to Atlanta's Ilya Kovalchuk. Ovechkin is the total package prospect. Elite shot, other-worldly playmaking, explosive skating, silky-smooth hands, a relentless attitude towards the puck, and a great hitter. Great hand-eye co-ordination allows him to bat down pucks in the air with ease. Often with these straight-to-the-NHL superstars that have gone through the draft can be a bit arrogant and have it affect their play - not Alexander Ovechkin. Truly a gentleman, he is always available to those who wish to ask him questions, is very cordial off ice. On the ice, Ovechkin is known to be very physical, but always within the rules set out for the game. Almost indefatiguable, Ovechkin is the kind of player that can turn a franchise around.

Flaws: There are so few weaknesses in Ovechkin's game, so forgive me for being a bit nitpicky. While improving his defensive game, he still could improve. Is one of the oldest player in the draft which maybe makes him look slightly better than he is - though don't count on it. Has not been as dominant as some hoped in the RSL this past season. Could not take the Russian WJC on his back to the Gold Medal game.

NHL Potential: NHL Superstar
Player Comparison: Joe Sakic

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2nd Overall
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Name: Evgeny Malkin
Position: Centre
Height: 6'3
Weight: 190
Birthdate: July 31st, 1986
Shoots: Left
Born: Magnitogorsk, Russia

Team: Magnitogorsk (RSL)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 34 3 9 12 -- 12

Malkin is a strong, two-way player that, while not as skilled as Ovechkin, is without a doubt going to go #2 overall in the draft. Malkin is very strong, and drives to the net with authority. Loves to hang around the net, and has slick hands which he uses to move the puck around goaltenders or defensemen around the net. A good skater for his size, Malkin is able to utilize his speed on the backcheck and plays very well away from the puck for such a young player. A tenacious player who doesn't stop pressuring on offense. Is exceptionally consistent. Has had some outstanding showings at tournaments which might lead one to believe he'd be a great playoff performer in the NHL. Very strong on the puck, and can give or take hits very well. Excellent along the boards and in corners - loves to get his nose dirty.

Flaws: His top speed lacks a little. Could use to add some weight to his large frame. Suffered a grade 3 concussion in February 2004 which could come back to haunt him later in his career.

NHL Potential: 1st line centreman
Player Comparison: Vincent Lecavalier

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3rd Overall
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Name: Cam Barker
Position: Defense
Height: 6'3
Weight: 215
Birthdate: April 4th, 1986
Shoots: Left
Born: Winnipeg Man., Canada

Team: Medicine Hat (WHL)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 69 21 44 69 +17 105

The top rated defensemen heading into the 2004 NHL Entry Draft, Barker is the total package. Great size, great play in his own zone, and phenomenal offensive upside, Barker has drawn comparisons to everyone from Jay Bouwmeester to Chris Pronger. Barker is very good in his own zone due to his fantastic mobility - good accelleration, and excellent lateral movement. Barker keeps things simple in his own zone and is very good at taking down forwards in one on one situations. Barker has a spectacular first pass out of the zone, a trait of most #1 defensemen in the NHL. Offensively, he is an absolute stud - a great low, hard shot that over the season he used more and more. He's very smart in pinching in on the rush as well.

Flaws: His top-end speed could be improved, sometimes gets confused positionally, while he's still a physical player, he'll never be confused with Scott Stevens in terms of his hitting.

NHL Potential: #1 Defenseman
Player Comparison: Chris Pronger

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4th Overall
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Name: Andrew Ladd
Position: Left Wing
Height: 6'2
Weight: 210
Birthdate: December 12th, 1985
Shoots: Left
Born: Maple Ridge B.C., Canada

Team: Calgary Hitmen
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 71 30 45 75 +39 119

Ladd is a power forward who can do more than just hit and score. Ladd hits can sound like thunder crackling through the arena as he nails defenders on the forecheck, and his elite playmaking and vision translates into a potential NHL superstar. However, what perhaps is the most impressive thing about Ladd is his skating. A tremendous first step, very quick acceleration, and strong top speed gives Ladd not only the size to make huge hits, but the speed to give those hits the velocity that really makes players feel it. He is very good at understanding where he needs to go on the ice, and loves to drive the net. His overall commitment to the game is exceptional, and he truly loves to play hockey.

Flaws: When he hits, it's great, but you wish he would be even more physical. His shot lacks a snap that could take him to the next level. Play away from the puck could use some work.

NHL Potential: 1st line power forward
Player Comparisons: Bill Guerin

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5th Overall
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Name: Robbie Schremp
Position: Centre
Height: 5'11
Weight: 200
Birthdate: July 1st, 1986
Shoots: Left
Born: Syracuse N.Y., United States of America

Team: Mississauga/London (OHL)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 63 30 45 75 +15 18

Aside from Alexander Ovechkin, Rob Schremp is perhaps the most skilled player in the draft. An absolute wizard with the puck, Schremp's puck handling, hands, shots, and playmaking are all at an elite-level, even at an NHL level. Can quarterback a powerplay effortlessly, and is very graceful on his skates. His overall skating is not great, however when a loose puck is out there, or he has a chance on a breakaway, he can really fly. Exceptionally creative with the puck and on his blades, he can confuse and confound defenders and goaltenders with ease. While not big, Schremp does not get pushed around on the ice, and uses his low centre of gravity to defend the puck well. Some scouts have expressed concern about his attitude, but I don't buy it. He loves to play and is overall a great kid.

Flaws: Takes some nights off, but this isn't unusual with supreme talents like Schremp (I think guys like him sometimes get bored out there). Seemed to tail off down the stretch. Needs to go into traffic more.

NHL Potential: 1st line centreman
Player Comparison: Zigmund Palffy

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6th Overall

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Name: Rostislav Olesz
Position: Centre
Height: 6'1
Weight: 200
Birthdate: October 10th, 1985
Shoots: Left
Born: Ostrava, Czech Republic

Team: Vitkovice (CZE)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 35 1 11 12 +6 10

An all out offensive player, Olesz can score goals or set up plays with equal talent - which makes him especially dangerous as it keeps goaltenders guessing. Possesses a great wrist shot with an edge. Is used in all situations on his Czech league team. Displayed good grit and skill in the World Juniors tournament. Hard to knock down, and especially shifty on his skates. Superb stick handler. All around fine offensive player with good maturity to his game.

Flaws: Might not have the size to compete physically in North America the way he did in the Czech Republic. Suffered a concussions after a brutal open-ice hit by Dion Phaneuf in the WJC tournament.

NHL Potential: 1st line sniper
Player Comparison: Martin Havlat

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7th Overall
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Name: Lauri Tukonen
Position: Right Wing
Height: 6'2
Weight: 200
Birthdate: September 1st, 1986
Shoots: Right
Born: Hyvinkaa, Finland

Team: Espoo (FIN)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 35 3 3 6 -2 16

Tukonen is a very competitive, gritty skilled forward who can be relied upon in the final minutes of the game holding a lead, or to score the big goal when down one. A tremendous skater, Tukonen has fine breakaway speed, and seems to be even quicker with the puck than without. A terrific shot in close. Is exceptional at protecting the puck with his body and along the boards. Can handle the puck terrificly even with only one hand on his stick. Clever on his skates, he can elude checkers with quick turns. Drives the net a ton and showed tremendous gumption physically in the 2004 WJC's. A clever playmaker too, Tukonen is equally adept in shooting the puck as he is dishing it off.

Flaws: Hands aren't quite as elite as some of his other skills. Holds on to the puck way too much.

NHL Potential: 1st line winger
Player Comparison: Richard Zednik

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8th Overall
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Name: Alexandre Picard
Position: LW
Height: 6'2
Weight: 190
Birthdate: October 9th, 1985
Shoots: Left
Born: Les Saules Que., Canada

Team: Lewiston (QMJHL)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 69 39 41 80 +4 88

Picard is just a pure unadulterated offensive player with a never-say-die attitude on the ice. Great shot and positioning makes Alexandre a great goal scorer, but Picard is not unfamiliar with physical play. While not a hitter, Picard uses his size and hard work to out-battle players all over the ice for loose pucks, or use his size to fend off attackers while getting into better scoring areas. Nicknamed 'Igor' by some fans due to the strange hunched-over way Picard skates on the ice, he can still get from point A to point B very fast. Proven himself to be a clutch scorer when his team needed him.

Flaws: Really bad defensively, cheats sometimes but this can be taught. I didn't think he was half the playmaker as he was a shooter.

NHL Potential: 1st line winger
Player Comparison: Patrick Marleau

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9th Overall
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Name: Marek Schwarz
Position: Goal
Height: 6'0
Weight: 180
Birthdate: April 1st, 1986
Catches: Right
Born: Mlada Boleslav, Czech Republic

Team: Sparta (CZE)
Year GP W L T SO GAA Save%
2003-04 23 8 13 2 0 3.20 .918

Schwarz is a very mature goaltender from the Czech Republic, and after a good World Juniors tournaments, drew comparisons to Czech great, Dominic Hasek. It wasn't a stretch either, as Schwarz possesses one trait that Hasek certainly employed in the NHL - absolutely lightning-quick reflexes. However, what separates Schwarz from Hasek is he isn't lying on the ice as much. Schwarz spends most of his time on his feet, which reminds one of the stand-up goaltenders of the 1980's. Not the most technical North American goaltending style we are used to in the NHL, but he still gets the job done. Schwarz challenges shooters well, coming out of his net to cut down the angles. He never lets a bad goal affect his play.

Flaws: Can let in bad goals from time to time due to his style of play. When he looks bad, he really looks bad. When he looks good, he really looks good. He is terrible at handling the puck as well, but this can be taught.

NHL Potential: Franchise Goaltender
Player Comparison: Dominik Hasek

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10th Overall
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Name: Drew Stafford
Postision: Right Wing
Height: 6'2
Weight: 200
Birthdate: October 30th, 1985
Shoots: Right
Born: Faribault Minn., United States of America

Team: North Dakota (WCHA)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 36 11 21 32 -- 30

Drew Stafford is another strong skater with exceptional offensive ability. His shot, playmaking, and puck control are all top notch. He loves to play in traffic, and has a work ethic that is second to none. Loves to drive the net, and is very good at using his reach to protect the puck with his body. He's got great strength and often plays a power forward in the WCHA, though it's tough to say if he'll be able to play the same style of play in the NHL. Strong in the corners and along the boards.

Flaws: Not an elite offensive wizard such as Schremp, his 'top end' may be limited though it's hard to say for sure.

NHL Potential: 1st line winger
Player Comparison: Ryan Smyth

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11th Overall
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Name: Alvaro Montoya
Position: Goal
Height: 6'2
Weight: 190
Birthdate: February 15th, 1985
Catches: Left
Born: Chicago Il., United States of America

Team: Michigan (CCHA)
Year GP W L T SO GAA Save%
2003-04 43 30 10 3 4 2.33 .911

As astounding performance at the World Juniors helped Alvaro Montoya to not only a Gold Medal, but an exceeding amount of hype throughout the year as potentially the 2004 drafts top goaltender. Showed tremendous clutch play throughout the tournament and his year in Michigan. One of the best puck handling goaltenders to ever come through the draft. Great reflexes and lightning-quick legs to add to his size make the lower part of the net disappear very quickly to shooters. Superb push-offs from post-to-post. Handles rebounds responsibly. A firey competitor with a great work ethic and will to win.

Flaws: When he's off, he guesses too much. Sometimes challenges shooters too much and can be beaten with patience. Lets opposition rattle his cage too much.

NHL Potential: Franchise Goaltender
Player Comparison: Marty Turco

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12th Overall
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Name: Kyle Chipchura
Postision: Centre
Height: 6'2
Weight: 200
Birthdate: February 19th, 1986
Shoots: Left
Born: Vimy Alta., Canada

Team: Prince Albert (WHL)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 63 15 33 48 +6 118

Kyle Chipchura is about as well-rounded of a player as you'll find in the 2004 NHL Entry Draft. Kyle is an extremely good skater, finishes every check, an extremely tough player who loves to play in traffic. A true leader, Kyle for his age is very good in his own zone, and is perhaps the most responsible back-checker in the entire 1st round. Let me clear the air about his offensive ability - they are far better than some advertise. Chipchura's hands are very good, and his play at the U18 tournament showed glimmers of the offensive talent he has. Quarterbacked Canada's power play, and nearly broke out and let loose his true potential.

Flaws: Some scouts feel he's not the offensive player I do, very inconsistent offensive zone play. Some nights he'll look like Joe Thornton, others Scott Thornton.

NHL Potential: 2nd line centreman
Player Comparison: Rod Brind'amour

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13th Overall
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Name: Alexander Radulov
Postision: Right Wing
Height: 6'1
Weight: 175
Birthdate: December 28th, 1985
Shoots: Left
Born: Moscow, Russia

Team: Tver (Rus 2)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 42 15 16 31 +6 102

With Radulov, it's not necessarily what he did in Russia that set scouts abuzz, but what he did at tournaments abroad. Absolutely dominated the U18 5 Nations Cup, Radulov has the ability to beat defenders 1 on 1. Has been compared to Russian star Aleander Mogilny. Very fast skater who is quite creative on his blades. Is a gifted playmaker as well as a real sniper out there. There is nothing Radulov cannot do at top speed either, and is a tremendous breakaway player. Not overly physical, but does not get pushed around either. In terms of puck-skills, Radulov remains as one of the top 5 or 6 players in the draft.

Flaws: Depending on whom you want to believe, Radulov apparently has character flaws that expose him of being a potential coaches nightmare. Rags the puck at times and sometimes does not like to make the easy plays, and would rather try to deke through players too much. Didn't have the kind of season in the Russian High League that one would expect of a top-tier prospect.

NHL Potential: 1st line winger
Player Comparison: Alexander Mogilny

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14th Overall
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Name: Wojtek Wolski
Position: Left Wing
Height: 6'3
Weight: 200
Birthdate: February 24th, 1986
Shoots: Left
Born: Zabze, Poland *

Team: Brampton (OHL)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 66 29 41 70 +4 30

A true finisher, Wojtek Wolski can really shoot the puck. He loves to set up in the slot and unload onto the goaltender with a great wrist shot. Wolski is a very clever shooter and displays great patience, often just showing the goaltender a flash of his blade, forcing the goaltender to make the first move before Wolski puts the puck up high into the net. Great accelleration and very clever at finding holes in the oppositions defense. Can play pretty good two-way hockey too, and hustles on the back-check quite a bit for a player his age. Consider also that Brampton really wasn't a very good team at all, yet Wolski still was able to put up great numbers. Is very good along the boards, not necessarily using his size, but seeming to always know where the puck is, even if it's not directly in sight.

Flaws: While not small, Wolski plays smaller than he is. Like many other youngsters, Wolski remains very inconsistent. Relies on an adept playmaker to get many of his goals - isn't the kind of guy to do it all himself. Gives up the puck a little too easily when pressured.

*note: While Wolski was born in Poland, he grew up in Mississauga, Ontario.

NHL Potential: 2nd line winger
Player Comparison: Simon Gagne

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15th Overall
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Name: Mike Green
Position: Defense
Height: 6'1
Weight: 195 pounds
Birthdate: October 12th, 1985
Shoots: Right
Born: Calgary Alta., Canada

Team: Saskatoon (WHL)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 59 14 25 39 -29 92

Mike Green is a rare defenseman in that he combines mean, in-your-face play, strong puck skills, and exceptional speed for a defenseman. Very mature for his age, Green is at his best when he's behind the net punishing opposition forwards. He can make absolutely explosive hits either in the middle of the ice or along the glass. With Mike Green, it's not a matter of if he'll make the NHL, but when.

Flaws: I didn't like his shot compared to other top defensemen in the draft, as well he might not have the imposing size to back up his physical play at the NHL level

NHL Potential: Top 4 defenseman
Player Comparison: Chris Phillips

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16th Overall
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Name: A.J. Thelen
Position: Defense
Height: 6'3
Weight: 210
Birthdate: March 11th, 1986
Shoots: Left
Born: Savage Minn., United States of America

Team: Michigan State (CCHA)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 42 11 18 29 +16 50

An amazing skater with great hands, Thelen could be a true force in the NHL on the offensive side of the puck. Thelen has one of the hardest shots from the point in the draft, but Thelen can also slide down into the slot releasing strong wrist shots, or move around the outside of the offensive zone looking for smart passes or shooting lanes utilizing his size to fend off the opposition, or use his quick hands to mystify them. Overall, a great offensive defenseman.

Flaws: Thelen's misses the net with those point shots more than you'd like to see, he can be very inconsistent, looking like a top 10 pick some days, a 2nd rounder others. Defensive play leaves much to be desired - often gets lost positionally. The big concern with mose scouts is that Thelen's backwards skating is very slow.

NHL Potential: Power play quarterback
Player Comparison: Sergei Gonchar

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17th Overall
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Name: Wes O'Neill
Position: Defense
Height: 6'4
Weight: 215
Birthdate: March 3rd, 1986
Shoots: Left
Born: Essex Ont., Canada

Team: Norte Dame (CCHA)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 39 2 10 12 +7 28

At 6'4, 215 pounds, Wes O'Neill is an absolute force physically in his own end. Doesn't mess around, and loves to make life miserable for the opposition. A coaches dream, O'Neill doesn't try to re-invent the wheel in his own zone. He keeps things simple, makes the simple play, and doesn't try to get overly fancy, and rarely turns over the puck. A true student of the game, O'Neill is sound positionally and reads plays well using his strong skating and smooth stride. Offensively, O'Neill has only scratched the surface of his potential. Was the power play quarterback for Canada's U18 team. Has a great shot, but doesn't use it enough.

Flaws: Had a very dissapointing season offensively in Notre Dame last year. Sometimes tries to force passes through the neutral zone. Lacks creativity with the puck.

NHL Potential: Top 4 defenseman
Player Comparison: Eric Brewer

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18th Overall
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Name: Johan Fransson
Postision: Defense
Height: 6'1
Weight: 185
Birthdate: February 18th, 1985
Shoots: Left
Born: Kalix, Sweden

Team: Lulea (SEL)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 44 3 3 6 +9 28

Fransson drew some comparisons to former Lulea defenseman Mattias Ohlund during the season. One of the most skilled defensemen in the draft, Fransson plays in every situation for Lulea - even strength, power play, and the penalty kill. A good skater, Johan is good at picking his spots to jump up into the play, and his playmaking skills are at an elite level. Silky smooth hands and a heck of a low, hard shot - although which seems to be an inconsistant usage in his repertoire - give Fransson everything an NHL team would want in a potential future power play quarterback. His coach Mikhail Andersson said: "He plays like a god and I wouldn't trade him for any other defenseman in the league.".

Flaws: Displayed some error-proneness at the World Juniors, has had chronic groin injuries which might lead one to believe in poor conditioning.

NHL Potential: Power play quarterback
Player Comparison: Dick Tarnstrom

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19th Overall
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Name: Dave Bolland
Position: Centre
Height: 5'11
Weight: 170
Birthdate: June 5th, 1986
Shoots: Right
Born: Mimico Ont., Canada

Team: London (OHL)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 65 37 30 67 +18 58

An absolutely relentless player, Bolland never quits. A very multi-dimensional player who seems to have just about everything you would want in a hockey player. Took key faceoffs for London all year long, Bolland was used in key situations and performed well. Displayed good scoring instincts using a strong shot and adept play around the net, particularly showing great hands and patience, forcing goaltenders to move first. Is very quick off the hop, which he utalizes not only in the offensive zone, but on the back-check. A very smart hockey player who could very well become a coaches dream in the NHL.

Flaws: Top-end speed is not very good, whoever taught him how to skate clearly didn't do a very great job. While his puck skills are very good, they are not 1st line in the NHL kind of stuff.

NHL Potential: 2nd line centre
Player Comparison: Daymond Langkow

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20th Overall
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Name: Ladislav Smid
Position: Defense
Height: 6'3
Weight: 205
Birthdate: February 1st, 1986
Shoots: Left
Born: Liberec, Czech Republic

Team: Liberec (CZE)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 45 1 1 2 -5 51

His Czech League stats didn't do him justice there, so I'll post his Czech Junior league stats: 14 points in 14 games. Ladislav Smid is an all out offensive presence on the blueline who can also play pretty solid hockey in his own zone. His bread and butter as his playmaking skills, as well as some slick puck control which allows him to rush the puck up ice with authority. His skating stride is about as textbook as you could ask for, which adds to a poised and confident look with or without the puck. Defensivly Smid has the ability to carry a puck out of a zone making elite maneuvers to get by forechecking forwards and turn it back on the other team with a crisp breakout pass.

Flaws: Sometimes tries to do too much in his own zone which can lead to turnovers. Had a disappointing WJC tournament. Doesn't shoot enough. Not physical at all, which is a concern considering his good size.

NHL Potential: Power play quarterback
Player Comparison: Tomas Kaberle

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21st Overall
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Name: David Shantz
Position: Goal
Height: 6'1
Weight: 200
Birthdate: May 5th, 1986
Catches: Left
Born: Hamilton Ont., Canada

Team: Mississauga (OHL)
Year GP W L T SO GAA Save%
2003-04 43 21 18 3 1 2.90 .911

After an absolutely amazing year backstopping his team to the OHL Finals, David Shantz saw his stock rise immeasurably throughout the year. A tremendous reflex goaltender, Shantz can make big-time saves with his amazing quickness. Thriving in big games, Shantz acts almost like a captain of his team - his teammates look to him for a lot of their on-ice leadership, and he provided it throughout the year. Great rebound control, a wickedly fast glove hand, and moves into the butterfly, closing up the 5-hole with great speed, Shantz is all about being faster than the puck - which he often is.

Flaws: Not the biggest goaltender in the world. Sometimes relies too much on his reflexes and not enough on positioning - he could really use a good goalie coach.

NHL Potential: #1 Goaltender
Player Comparison: Dan Cloutier

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22nd Overall
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Name: Travis Zajac
Position: Centre
Height: 6'2
Weight: 200
Birthdate: May 13th, 1985
Shoots: Right
Born: Winnipeg Man., Canada

Team: Salmon Arm (BCHL)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 59 43 69 112 -- 110

Zajac is an especially smart player who has flown under the radar of most scouts until only just recently. An absolute game breaker, Zajac is a offensive player with all the tools. An impressive skater with amazing top-end speed, but even more impressively, he can make great moves while in top speed - this is a trait even few NHL'ers have. A determined player, Zajac has an edge to his game, both physically and offensively. Not happy unless he's won a game, he galvanizes his teammates both with his on-ice play and his off-ice leadership. Backs up the leadership with great defensive play - often being used on the penalty kill. His skating allows him to rundown almost anybody. Top tier vision gives Zajac an impressive playmaking ability to go along with his already great package.

Flaws: Doesn't go into traffic as much as you'd like to see. Isn't really as physical from game to game as you'd want. Play in the BCHL might make him look better than he actually is.

NHL Potential: 2nd line centre
Player Comparison: Joe Nieuwendyk

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23rd Overall
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Name: Boris Valabik
Position: Defense
Height: 6'7
Weight: 220
Birthdate: February 14th, 1986
Shoots: Left
Born: Nitra, Slovakia

Team: Kitchener (OHL)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 68 3 12 15 +2 278

Boris is big. Real big. Like, we're talking Zdeno Chara-big here. Okay, maybe not quite that big, but getting there. At 6'7, 220 pounds, Valabik is an absolute behemoth. While this is good enough for some scouts, it helps that Valabik does actually have some attitude to go with that size, as well as some puck handling skills. Valabik is quite mean, as witnessed by his 278 penalty minutes in the OHL this past season. While his skating was atrocious early in the season, Valabik has made some strides, literally and figuratively, to improve it. He has the attitude that could very well take him to the NHL, and with that size, he'll no doubt be a pretty good NHL'er. Valabik rarely commits mistakes in his own zone, and has a fine breakout pass too.

Flaws: His skating is still terrible and needs a lot of work. There is not much offense here to speak of either.

NHL Potential: Top 4 defenseman
Player Comparison: Hal Gill

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24th Overall
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Name: Cory Schneider
Position: Goal
Height: 6'2
Weight: 195
Birthdate: March 18th, 1986
Catches: Left
Born: Marblehead MA., United States of America

Team: Phillips-Andover (USHSE)
Year GP W L T SO GAA Save%
2003-04 24 17 5 2 -- 1.42 .956

Good size, and age leads one to believe he could still grow. A true athlete who also played with the varsity Baseball team last summer. Can make the big save of the game look easy. Sound positioning, and textbook technique. Very quick glove can suck up the upper left corner of the net in a hurry. Is a bit of a throwback in that he likes to use the poke-check often. Able to anticipate plays in advance and is very good in guesswork that every goaltender inevitably is drawn to do from time to time. Put up amazing statistics at the U18 tournament, and was arguably the US teams' best player.

Flaws: Competition, as usual, is hard to judge in the High School ranks. Some difficulty with rebound control.

NHL Potential: #1 Goaltender
Player Comparison: Sean Burke

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25th Overall
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Name: Blake Wheeler
Position: Right Wing
Height: 6'5
Weight: 195
Birthdate: August 31st, 1986
Shoots: Right
Born: Robbinsdale Minn., United States of America

Team: Breck (USHSW)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 30 45 55 100 -- 34

Blake Wheeler is about as big as a project as you'll find in the draft. At 6'5, Wheeler boasts tremendous size. As one of the youngest players in the draft, there's reason to believe that Wheeler could grow more physically, and perhaps have a leg up upon others in terms of his overall skill level. Unlike other NHL giants, Wheeler can skate like the wind, and loves to initiate hits all over the ice. Showed a bit of a mean streak at times, he loves to have the puck on his stick, and loves to be the guy to score the winning goal.

Flaws: Considering his competition in the USHSW, it's hard to determine exactly how good he is offensively (Brian Boyle last year dominated high school, but had a miserable year in the NCAA this past season). Is maybe a little to cocky for his own good, and rags the puck.

NHL Potential: Goal scoring winger
Player comparison: Jeff Friesen

-------------------------------------------------------------------------
26th Overall
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

Name: Oscar Hedman
Position: Defense
Height: 6'0
Weight: 205
Birthdate: April 21st, 1986
Shoots: Left
Born: Ornskoldsvid, Sweden

Team: MoDo (Swe Jr)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 25 7 11 18 -2 28

Note that Hedman split the season between MoDo Jr and Modo or the SEL (1 goal, 3 assists through 24 games). Oscar is a stout defenseman who relies on his exceptional 2-way play and intelligent play. Hedman's hallmark is his exceptional decision making out on the ice. Rarely makes mistakes at either the forward or defense position. Almost has a coaches mindset. While not huge, he is very strong for his size and seems to handle himself well physically. Has shown excellent poise as a power play quarterback and has shown some serious offensive upside to his game. Very mature and calm individual who always seems to be in the correct position.

Flaws: Skating could be improved. Oscar is not slow, but his top-end speed leaves something to be desired. Not a very creative player with the puck, which you could say is a good and bad thing.

NHL Potential: Top 4 defenseman
Player Comparison: Karlis Skrastins

-------------------------------------------------------------------------
27th Overall
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

Name: Andrej Meszaros
Position: Defense
Height: 6'2
Weight: 190 lbs
Birthdate: October 13th, 1985
Shoots: Right
Born: Povazska Bystrica, Slovakia

Team: Trencin (SVK)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 44 3 3 6 +2 8

A very smooth skating defenseman, Meszaros was a bit of a mystery-man until a few months ago. Meszaros is an offensive defenseman to the truest form - great skater, accurate shot, and great playmaking abilities combine for what could be a top-notch power play quarterback in the NHL. Is excellent at beating players one on one, and can join the rush to create odd-man rushes utilizing his brilliant acceleration. Could be a project-pick that could pay off huge in the draft if Andrej can learn from a good NHL coach.

Flaws: Can make very risky plays costing his team defensively. Physically, while not small, is certainly not very strong, and can be out-muscled by smaller, more determined opponents. Is really not very good at all in his own zone - maybe he could be converted into a forward?

NHL Potential: Power play quarterback
Player Comparison: Sandis Ozolinsh

-------------------------------------------------------------------------
28th Overall
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

Name: Roman Voloshenko
Position: Left Wing
Height: 6'1
Weight: 190 lbs
Birthdate: May 12th, 1986
Shoots: Right
Born: Moscow, Russia

Team: Krylja Sovetov (RHL)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 47 7 8 15 -2 40

An absolutely incredible U18 tournament left scouts talking about Voloshenko. Showed incredible chemistry with fellow 1st round hopeful and Russian teammate, Alexander Radulov. Displayed puck-skills, excellent all-around offensive talent, and good work in fending off attackers. Has worked on his skating diligently and transformed his skating, which was a negative to scouts, into a positive. Has great strength for his rather average size, and showed a willingness to fight for his scoring chances all year long.

Flaws: His skating, particularly his acceleration, still needs more work. His offensive skills, unlike Radulov, are not quite at that elite level - though still nothing to sneeze at. Size may limit his physical play in the NHL

NHL Potential: 2nd line sniper
Player Comparison: Andrew Brunette

-------------------------------------------------------------------------
29th Overall
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

Name: Jakub Sindel
Position: Centre
Height: 6'0
Weight: 175
Birthdate: January 24th, 1986
Shoots: Right
Born: Praha, Czech Republic

Team: Sparta Praha (CZE)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 34 5 1 6 0 4

Has been compared to fellow Czech Ales Hemsky in the NHL. Sindel, quite simply, is a goal scorer. Adept at picking holes in opposition defense utilizing his exceptional agility on the ice. Soft hands lead to a great puck handler with strong creative instincts. A good playmaker who sees the ice seemingly from above. When Sindel gets hot, he gets flaming hot - can take over games on the scoresheet for 3 or 4 games in a row.

Flaws: Is very soft and can be really taken care of by playing him physical. Must add muscle to his frame. Defensive play is beyond poor. Inconsistency - some games he looks like a world beater, others he just looks beaten.

NHL Potential: 2nd line winger
Player Comparison: Valeri Bure

-------------------------------------------------------------------------
30th Overall
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

Name: Ryan Garlock
Position: Centre
Height: 6'1
Weight: 200
Birthdate: April 24th, 1986
Shoots: Left
Born: Iroquois Falls Ont., Canada

Team: Guelph/Windsor (OHL)
Year GP G A PTS +/- PIM
2003-04 52 19 28 47 +15 44

A dictionary of hockey terms might have the term 'Nose for the net'. Ryan Garlock's picture should be beside that definition. Garlock loves to make life miserable for defensemen and goaltenders in front of the net, and uses his sturdy body to get in front. While he's not huge, he is hard to move, and is very quick with his stick at deflecting pucks into the net. In open ice, Garlock displays good hands weaving through traffic, and keen smarts for the game. Ryan, more than anything else, is almost always the hardest worker in any given game. He never stops moving his legs or trying to create offense.

Flaws: Offensive skills are note elite. More of a complimentary player perhaps. Size might limit his banging and crashing in the NHL. Not the fastest player on his blades out there. Could work on his shot from the outside.

NHL Potential: Character forward
Player Comparison: Brendan Morrow
-----------------------------------------------------------------------

Thanks to: Russianprospects.com for Russian vitals & stats, McKeenshockey.com for information regarding the U18 tournament, thanks to all the team websites I used at the time, particularly Windsorspitfires.com regarding some vitals that other websites had mixed thoughts on. Thanks for my Russian friend who wishes to remain nameless, as well as Hockey's Future for additional information. Thanks also to Kirk Pedersen for editing this juggernaught of a post.


Last edited by Mizral: 05-29-2004 at 11:40 PM.
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05-29-2004, 05:49 PM
  #2
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Good list, Miz



Although a player who compares to Chris Philips, I wouldn't take over someone who comares to Sergei Gonchar.

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05-29-2004, 05:50 PM
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appreciate the effort

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05-29-2004, 05:56 PM
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Your work is greatly appreciated. Thank you so much for the information!

But, I have a question, how many points do YOU think Olesz can get in the NHL?

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05-29-2004, 05:58 PM
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There's no chance Roman Voloshenko is still available at #28.

I also think that Andrej Meszaros is a little too low, and could be taken late teens and early 20's. Also, where is Lauri Korpikoski? Sure-fire first round pick.

Very good work, none the less.

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05-29-2004, 06:06 PM
  #6
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Fantastic, Mizral. Absolutely great. Thanks for putting in the effort.

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05-29-2004, 06:09 PM
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Mizral thanks for the scouting reports and the comparisons to nhl players.

Wes O'Neill or A.J. Thelen...I'll be happy if the Isles get either young D at #16.

No chance Picard slips down into the middle of the 1st round?

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05-29-2004, 06:20 PM
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A few things:

-Ovechkin shoots right. Honest mistake.

-Comparing Thelen to Gonchar is a stretch.

-Smid impressed at the WJC, didn't play bad.

A great read though Miz, Thanks.

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05-29-2004, 06:22 PM
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Fransson over Valabik is interesting. I don't think Fransson is a clear cut 1st round draft pick, there are quite a few guys just like him, whereas Valabik has the size that makes scouts drool. It's not an every day routine to see a guy like him being available, and with the emerge of Zdeno Chara as a top defenseman in the NHL, I figure scouts would prefer him above Fransson, not taking needs into account that is.

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05-29-2004, 06:26 PM
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Terrific read. I like Smid and Meszaros more than some of the dmen you slotted ahead of them, but that's no biggie. Agree that Picard probably goes top 10 too, and good job throwing Wheeler into the first round.

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05-29-2004, 06:26 PM
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great list, thanx for all the hard work Mizral...

Where do you see the likes of Korpikowski and Lisin landing? I myself saw them as 1st round picks.......

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05-29-2004, 06:32 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RoyIsALegend
There's no chance Roman Voloshenko is still available at #28.

I also think that Andrej Meszaros is a little too low, and could be taken late teens and early 20's. Also, where is Lauri Korpikoski? Sure-fire first round pick.

Very good work, none the less.
Or Alexandrov.. nobody talks about this guy.

Hey, I'm not an expert when it comes to prospects outside America (not that I'm an expert in anything), so I have a question for you guys. I know leagues in Europe are high caliber, but come on, how can a guy register only 6 points in 35 games and be called an NHL-caliber sniper? European leagues must be REALLY boring if a sniper only registers 6 points a season.


Oh and thanks Mizral, very useful writeup, we appreciate it.

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05-29-2004, 06:34 PM
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Man, I tought it wasn't a deep draft!!! ;-)

Having Morrow no.30 and Brewer a few ranks over makes me think this is an increadible draft!!! ;-)

Seriously, I congratulate you for this increadible amount of work!!!




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05-29-2004, 06:40 PM
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Great job Miz.

I like how people say things like:

"NO way so and so slips past spot X or to spot X."

Its as if they're drafting for teams.


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05-29-2004, 06:41 PM
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I thought it was an interesting read by a poster who always puts in a big effort. Thanks for the post. I guess I don't take issue with the rankings as much as I do the comparisons (though i am by no means as well versed as many of you are on these prospects.....can't remember a year where I paid less attention to the draft)

Marleu comparison to picard is just odd...Picard is a gritty player who cannot be described as a breathtaking skater....Marleau was a player that was a beautiful skater even at 16, and was known for his goals scoring prowess but a guy that seriously lacked intensity at times, something he is just now getting over. I guess if you want to compare Picard to a shark it would have to be a guy like Damphousse.

Tukonen - Zednik....seems quite a bit off to me....

I always like the upside vs. downside comparison.....seems a little more realistic...like Chipchura being compared to Brindy or Malhotra.

Thanks for the hard work Miz......any ideas for the nux? Was surprised by no Kaspar on your top 30.

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05-29-2004, 06:42 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rahan
Or Alexandrov.. nobody talks about this guy.

Hey, I'm not an expert when it comes to prospects outside America (not that I'm an expert in anything), so I have a question for you guys. I know leagues in Europe are high caliber, but come on, how can a guy register only 6 points in 35 games and be called an NHL-caliber sniper? European leagues must be REALLY boring if a sniper only registers 6 points a season.


Oh and thanks Mizral, very useful writeup, we appreciate it.
Sometimes a guy will split a season with a minor-pro team and a pro team. For instance, a guy might only score 6 goals in 33 games in the Czech pro league, but in a Czech Jr. league where he was half of the year, he might have 9 goals in 13 games. To have such young players in the RSL, Czech, SM-Liiga, and SEL leagues is a huge feat, not many can put up huge numbers there.

As for the comparisons, again, it's about style moreso than talent.

As for the depth of the draft, I dunno. There are several huge dropoffs that really concern me. Compare things to last year where there could be franchise players as late as the 40th overall pick, you'll notice this draft doesn't compare to 2003 at all, nor to other good drafts in the past.

It's not a great draft in my mind, but the top 10 is better than we all thought 6 months ago.

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05-29-2004, 06:47 PM
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Read the whole thing and it was great. Exceptional job Mirzal, really enjoyed it. I haven't been paying a ton of attention to this year's draft but this review has really got me hyped and got ideas into my head of what kind of players are in this draft. Interesting to see so much top-end offensive talent, especially the top 10 calibre.

While I don't agree with all of your comparisions as some may be a bit too much or less, I know it's hard to pick an accurate comparision and you did the best you could. But some sounded bang on.

I hope some of those offensive wizards drop to when the Canucks pick or they move up. Some of those reports really got my mouth drooling but a solid defenseman wouldn't get any complaints from me either.

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05-29-2004, 07:38 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mizral
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
7th Overall
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
NHL Potential: 1st line winger
Player Comparison: Richard Zednik
Tukonen is more like Marian Hossa or Hejduk, but tougher. Richard Zhetnik is too small and don´t look like Tukonen at all.

Good list, but you put some American players too high i think. Where is Nokelainen and Korpikoski on that list? And why Meszaros is that slow and Schremp that high?

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05-29-2004, 07:53 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by IFK
Tukonen is more like Marian Hossa or Hejduk, but tougher. Richard Zhetnik is too small and don´t look like Tukonen at all.

Good list, but you put some American players too high i think. Where is Nokelainen and Korpikoski on that list? And why Meszaros is that slow and Schremp that high?
From what I read about Tukonen he is not a soft player like Hejduk, but I think his upside is a bit better than Zednik.

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05-29-2004, 08:10 PM
  #20
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Excellent work. No real complaints from me, although I think Thelen is low. From what I've read and seen he and Barker are alot closer than your rankings/descriptions would indicate.

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05-29-2004, 08:40 PM
  #21
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Good stuff Mizer.

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05-29-2004, 08:59 PM
  #22
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I have'nt seen most of those guys so maybe the draft is weaker than i though but I'd be VERY surprise if Picard go before 12.

he is'nt really big and not that strong. He have solid skill but nothing really special.

He reminds me a lot J-P Dumont


P.S Is Brule already much better than Chipchura? Because Crosby is already miles ahead of Picard

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05-29-2004, 09:02 PM
  #23
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Thank you Masked Man!

Wow, what a great job!! Best I've ever seen here at HF. AND it's better than THNs.

The only small disagreement I would have is that I don't think Chipchura is the 12th best prospect. I believe he'll go lower in the first round. Having said that, if A.J. Thelen is there at 16 for my Isles....well let's just say I'll be one VERY happy Draftman. I just don't think he will be.

Also, thank you for calling it a draft preview and not a "mock draft". That's one of my pet peeves.

Teacher nitpick alert: it's spelled "adieu"!


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05-29-2004, 09:26 PM
  #24
monster_bertuzzi
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Beatnik
P.S Is Brule already much better than Chipchura? Because Crosby is already miles ahead of Picard
Offensively, yes.

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05-29-2004, 09:38 PM
  #25
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Mizral,

I enjoyed this review, and it was a nice summary of expected 1st rounders.

I will, however, pick one little bone with you over Andrej Meszaros.

I don't think 'All-out' offense and Sandis Ozolinsh comparisons are quite fair and accurate. He was one of the better defensemen in the entire Slovak Extraliga last year, and was steadily improving his defensive zone play throughout the year.

He certainly needs to work on his toughness and defense, but I wouldn't worry about him abandoning his own end thrice a game . The problem may stem from the fact that he was too eager to create offense at the U18 and other International tournaments, while he showed more conservatism on a day to day basis with Trencin.

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