Scott, I'm not going to lie I'm not like the trends tonight. A lot of the guidance is shifting it to the east.
Right now it's the world against the euro.
I don't either :/...
I do like that the GFS caught onto the slower trend.
GGEM = slightly east from 12z
GFS = Still out to sea but looks better at H5 in terms of setup.
GEFS = I'm not putting any faith into the Ensembles.
Euro = Can't come soon enough
NAM = Looks like the Euro from 2 days ago out to @84h.
But overall, the storm system still hasn't come ashore in the Pacific yet. The models will have upper air data to work with once it does arrive, which would work out some kinks (if any) in the progs.
1pm- OMG we're gonna get dominated by snow
1AM- urmm...not much doing.
i'm not bashing you guys, but yea, maybe you do need your own thread to speculate and talk about changing patterns or whatever.
i don't need to be getting paranoid about my saturday night plans because i chose to poke my head into the off topic thread and one of our weathermen is predicting armageddon.
Problem is the threat is there. If someone chooses to ignore it and decide to listen to the T.V Mets 2 days before the event, it could ruin plans/cause problems.
A) Like talking about it here because it's NY/NJ/PA/CT/Etc. It effects a lot of people, regardless of a massive storm or not. Knowing that, even if it's the slightest possibility, that it could happen, is better than not knowing at all or knowing too late.
B) It gives a heads up to people who actually take the time to read that we're not saying it will do this or do that; Nothing we're talking about is set in stone at all. We're simply showing that there is a possible threat so keep your eyes peeled. Some people will surely look at the weather post and read "Jesus Blizzard they say" and then come back to bash us/others in the end because we even mentioned the threat for something, when in fact we're simply suggesting situations.
And I agree on the separate thread, but that's not up to us.