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OT Thread #2: Ryan Bozak From the Side! Weather Update in Post #1...From the Side

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12-24-2010, 12:55 AM
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JeffMangum
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OT Thread #2: Ryan Bozak From the Side! Weather Update in Post #1...From the Side

1st one is nearing 1000.

Continue your weather debates in here, and Merry Christmas Eve!

EDIT: Added the top-5 posters from the 1st thread:

Poster Post count
hpNYR 117
Brian Boyle 98
Hobgoblin Steve 50
we want cup 41
Puckface NYR 37

http://hfboards.com/showthread.php?t=851035

http://hfboards.com/group.php?groupid=75

Many thanks to the legendary AOWRanger for the following hilarious video:



******************************

Weather summary:





Quote:
Originally Posted by hpNYR
Tonights model runs have been coming west. GFS,NAM,RGEM, GGEM all have come west. The area now anticipated to see a Major storm w/ areas seeing true Blizzard conditions. Some models (Euro,NAM, and GFS) are showing over 60KT winds. Significant to major accumulations anticipated.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ScottB
My percentages as of now:

50% Chance of some snow. (Trace - 6'')
10% That it completely misses us.
40% That we see a major storm. (6''+)
------------------

Quote:
Originally Posted by ScottB
Quoted for relevance:

"As of right now:

-Looking like a Sunday morning/mid-afternoon start time, that seems to be consistent between the models.
- Light snow will break out from south to north, taking it through early afternoon where the juicier stuff begins to break out.
- Winds will increase dramatically as the day goes on. There's might be a slight breeze as the snow starts, but come afternoon/dusk, winds will be howling and only getting worse.
- By nightfall the heavier precip will come along. The bulk of whatever we get will be from dusk Sunday until early morning Monday.
- The length of the event is still up in the air. Some of the models show the precip out of here by mid morning Monday, with gusty conditions/cold throughout the day on Monday. Others have the system occlude and take a much slower exit, with precipitation running through the afternoon (light).
- Amounts are up in the air, but look at your local forecasts and discussions from NWS. I firmly believe they will up their totals from what they have listed now.
- I cannot stress the fact that if the low is pretty close to the coast and we have a slower feature, we'll be under a very long period of intense winds. (Could be gusts up to 60mph for certain areas of the tri-state) It would not surprise me at all if areas will be under a blizzard watch sometime this afternoon or tonight.
- If the low tracks a bit further west, upstate New York can also see significant snowfall due to having much higher ratios that the coastal/nyc areas.
- Further south, leaning with the same aspect as above, if the low is further west, there could be the possibility of mixing issues for southern coastal NJ/Eastern LI.
- As it is now, south of Jersey, there could also be significant snowfall as well.
- Same goes for North of NYC/CT. NE area could have a very heavy snowfall as well.


I still don't want to pinpoint totals, but it's looking as if the majority of the area (We'll see PHL/TTN/ERW/NYC/LGA/JFK can see anywhere from 6-18 inches of snow, give or take.
Other areas can see just the same amount, further south or north, but I can only speak for what is listed above, as I'm not as familiar with other areas.


Anyway, just my thoughts. Don't take them as set in stone right now, but they are said with a bit more confidence than before."

That's what I posted last night.


For Wash DC? I would say a foot or more isn't out of the realm of possibility. It really depends where the heaviest bands set up, which is hard to predict but gets a bit easier as the storm gets closer.

Thoughts haven't changed, thinking more of a 6/8-18/20 inch forecast for most of the area, with almost everyone getting 12+.

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Last edited by JeffMangum: 12-25-2010 at 06:13 PM.
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12-24-2010, 01:09 AM
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Amazing title. I saw it coming from the side. You should seriously apply to be a moderator with your 4,700 posts in 3 months.

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12-24-2010, 01:10 AM
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And there is a Christmas Eve score from the side.

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12-24-2010, 01:10 AM
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Originally Posted by kaneone View Post
Amazing title. I saw it coming from the side. You should seriously apply to be a moderator with your 4,700 posts in 3 months.
I actually want to. But, I have to clean up my act(I'm a little aggressive in some of my posts )and I have to be a member for 6 months.

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12-24-2010, 01:12 AM
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I actually want to. But, I have to clean up my act(I'm a little aggressive in some of my posts )and I have to be a member for 6 months.
Lol in the application, just tell them you have more posts than people who were here for two years then they'll have to waive it.

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12-24-2010, 01:12 AM
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Lol in the application, just tell them you have more posts than people who were here for two years then they'll have to waive it.
It shows I'm obviously dedicated to posting here.

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12-24-2010, 01:16 AM
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If GKJ514 was to stop posting right now I see BB catching him this time next year.

61 posts a day is crazy. Highest on HF boards with 3 months of 'service' time or more? Even if I wanted to post that much I wouldnt be able to. Just wouldnt know what to say.

Love the thread title and enjoy all the different discussions that go on in thiese threads ... weather ones too even I dont have much clue whats going on. Something about Oz's, 12s and Euros.

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12-24-2010, 01:21 AM
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Crap I thought I was up there. Maybe I'm in 6th place.

Edit- Doubt it.

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12-24-2010, 01:21 AM
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Frolov still sucks.

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12-24-2010, 01:22 AM
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I basically post whenever I disagree with someone...so, a lot.

Saugus on the Devs board has more PPD than me, and he's been here for a year.

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12-24-2010, 01:23 AM
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Frolov still sucks.
He's actually been pretty good the last few games. He was 2nd star of the game tonight.

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12-24-2010, 01:23 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by darko View Post
If GKJ514 was to stop posting right now I see BB catching him this time next year.

61 posts a day is crazy. Highest on HF boards with 3 months of 'service' time or more? Even if I wanted to post that much I wouldnt be able to. Just wouldnt know what to say.

Love the thread title and enjoy all the different discussions that go on in thiese threads ... weather ones too even I dont have much clue whats going on. Something about Oz's, 12s and Euros.

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12-24-2010, 01:25 AM
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Quote:
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He's actually been pretty good the last few games. He was 2nd star of the game tonight.
He still sucks.

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12-24-2010, 01:26 AM
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Quote:
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He still sucks.


Frolov disagrees.

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12-24-2010, 01:27 AM
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Jesus Was Born Tomorrow. From The Side!

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12-24-2010, 01:27 AM
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I guess I have to get my post count up in this OT thread if its going to be kept track of haha. BTW merry christmas eve everyone!!

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12-24-2010, 01:29 AM
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I guess I have to get my post count up in this OT thread if its going to be kept track of haha. BTW happy christmas eve everyone!!
Yes it is. The top-5 posters get...whatever I find in my pocket.

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12-24-2010, 01:29 AM
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Just checked, there's a Debbies poster with 64+ posts per day. Dayum son.

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12-24-2010, 01:29 AM
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Just checked, there's a Debbies poster with 64+ posts per day. Dayum son.
Definitely my rival. I'll pass him soon enough.

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12-24-2010, 01:30 AM
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Definitely my rival. I'll pass him soon enough.
No one can beat the Almighty Brian Boyle. God speed.

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12-24-2010, 01:31 AM
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Who has the most posts on hfboards, and when does Boyle pass him in like 2 months?

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12-24-2010, 01:32 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 17futurecap View Post
Who has the most posts on hfboards, and when does Boyle pass him in like 2 months?

GJK514 with like 70 K. I give BB till this time next year. Unless he picks up his pace off course.

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12-24-2010, 01:33 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 17futurecap View Post
Who has the most posts on hfboards, and when does Boyle pass him in like 2 months?
Go Kim Jonsson Go has 78,000+ posts. I am currently posting at a ~60 post per day rate, and have 4,700+ posts. At my current rate, it would take me 3+ years to even reach 60,000.

So yeah.

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12-24-2010, 01:38 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Brian Boyle View Post
Go Kim Jonsson Go has 78,000+ posts. I am currently posting at a ~60 post per day rate, and have 4,700+ posts. At my current rate, it would take me 3+ years to even reach 60,000.

So yeah.
That just means you have to step your game up. ~100 post/day.

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12-24-2010, 01:39 AM
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What's with the Lemieux avatar?

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