I foresee Regehr as our top line, go-to guy on defense. He's going to play the most ES and the most time on the PK. I think he is going to be on the ice for many of a hockey game's most pivotal plays, and I think he makes us better in all of those situations. He's signed for 4 mil per season, but I think the value he brings in terms of need and skill is closer to 6 mil.
Weber's contract is a huge bargain on the back end, but I think he has more holes in his game and can be beat. I have a hard time saying Weber would be worth 3 mil this year (+ 2 mil) and an easy time saying I would pay Regehr 6 mil (+2 mil).
I know this logic makes Ehrhoff as the only other player who's real value may be 2 mil over thier cap hit, but I have a hard time voting for him here knowing that he's making 10 mil.
Going with Stafford but only on the assumption he can replicate his level of play from last season. He had a truly great goal-scoring pace last season getting 31 goals in 62 games while putting up decent assist totals for a player of his role. Among forwards, he tied with Vanek and Gaustad for the lead in DEFENSIVE point shares despite playing in only 62 games and was second to Vanek, of course, in offensive point shares. Tied for the team lead in PP goals. Tied for second-best +/- on the team. Second-highest goals created totals and led in goals created per game (which means higher than Roy as well).
In other words, he had a statistical season that was in many ways comparable to the top guns of Vanek and Roy, with a much lower salary than Vanek and the same as Roy. Roy is far more proven (and a center) so he is the more surefire value, but if Stafford can keep up this play his new deal is, imo, the second-best value until a guy like Gerbe or Sekera really put it together for a full season on their cheaper contracts.